The Dallas Mavericks (37-40) and Miami Heat (40-37) meet Saturday night at the Miami-Dade Arena. Tip is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Mavericks suffered a 116-108 setback against the Philadelphia 76ers in the 3rd contest of the 5-game road trip, and Dallas is just 1-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) on the journey so far.
Overall, the Mavs are in a tailspin, winning just 3 times in the past 11 games, while going 1-3 ATS across the past 4 games overall. The Under has cashed in 4 in a row and 6 of the past 7 contests overall.
The Heat have dropped the past 3 outings, including the team’s most-recent game at home last Saturday against the Brooklyn Nets, 129-100. Miami is in the midst of a 9-22 ATS skid against the number.
These teams met in Dallas Jan. 20, and the Mavericks posted a 115-90 win as a 2-point underdog as the Under (218.5) connected.
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Mavericks at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Heat -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +1.5 (-115) | Heat -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mavericks at Heat key injuries
Mavericks
- G Frank Ntilikina (knee) questionable
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (hip) questionable
- F Nikola Jovic (back) out
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 107, Heat 101
Moneyline
The MAVERICKS (-105) are worth a play, mainly because of the possibility Adebayo sits for the Heat (-115).
Dallas is not exactly hot, either, losing 5 of its past 6 games overall. It did top the Heat earlier this season, and Miami could also be without Lowry, which would be a major issue.
Against the spread
The MAVERICKS +1.5 (-115) are struggling against the number lately, but they are a solid 3-1-1 ATS in the past 5 road games against teams with a winning home record.
The Heat -1.5 (-105) have managed to cover just 4 of the past 14 games at home, while going 2-10 ATS in the past 12 games when working on 2 days of rest, too. The Heat has managed to go 4-9 ATS in the past 13 after a straight-up loss, too.
Over/Under
UNDER 224.5 (-115) has cashed in 4 straight games for the Mavericks, while going 5-0 in the past 5 games on the road, too.
In addition, the Under is 7-0 in the past 7 for the Mavs on the road against teams with a winning home mark.
While the Over has cashed in 5 in a row at home for the Heat, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 when working on 2 days of rest, and the Under is 7-2 in the past 9 against teams with a losing overall record.
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