Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Rockets (38-35) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (44-29) to the Toyota Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

Both teams are 1-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS) on the season series.

The Rockets have won 11 straight games, covering in 9 of them. They are coming off a 101-100 road win over the Utah Jazz Friday, failing to cover as an 8-point favorite. Houston is 42-30-1 ATS on the season and has scored at least 127 points in 4 of its last 6 games. The Rockets are led in scoring by C Alperen Sengun, who is out with an ankle injury.

The Mavericks have also been one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning 6 in a row and covering in 5 of them. They are coming off a 107-103 road win over the Sacramento Kings, covering as a 1-point favorite Friday. Dallas is 10-1 straight up and ATS in its last 11 games. It is led by G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 33.8 points per game.

Mavericks at Rockets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Rockets +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-112) | Rockets +2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Mavericks at Rockets key injuries

Mavericks

  • G Luka Doncic (knee) questionable
  • G Josh Green (ankle) out

Rockets

  • C Tari Eason (tibia) out
  • C Alperen Sengun (ankle) out
  • F Cam Whitmore (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Rockets 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mavericks have been just as hot as the Rockets and should have a size advantage with Houston down many key big men. Dallas should be able to come out on top, and the better value is on the spread, not the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -2.5 (-112).

Dallas has covered in 8 of its last 10 games on the road and in 3 straight away games. It has covered as a road favorite in 4 of its last 5. While the Rockets have also been on fire, they haven’t taken down many quality opponents.

They are 2-1 ATS but 1-2 straight up in their last 3 home games as an underdog. Houston will be down its leading scorer with its 2 other top-3 options shooting under 43% from the field. Against 2 better, more efficient guards, this will be a tough matchup for the Rockets.

Take MAVERICKS -2.5 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 230.5 (-112).

The Rockets have gone Under in 2 of their last 3 games while the Mavericks have gone Under in 6 in a row.

The Rockets are 34-38-1 O/U on the season. Dallas has strengthened its defense and has allowed 107 or fewer in all 6 games, holding 2 of its last 4 opponents to Under 100. The Mavs are 33-40 O/U on the season.

Given the season-long and recent trends for both teams, take UNDER 230.5 (-112).

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