Cynthia Frelund predicts Ohio State RB J.K. Dobbins would have biggest impact on Chiefs’ win share

Could Dobbins be the best RB option for the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2020 NFL Draft?

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The Kansas City Chiefs have been doing some homework on running backs ahead of the 2020 NFL Draft. While they have plenty of players at the position currently on the roster, only one of those players is under contract beyond the 2020 NFL season. One player who they’ve shown some interest in ahead of the draft is Ohio State RB J.K. Dobbins.

Recently, NFL analytics expert Cynthia Frelund used her context-based data models to identify the best team fit for her top RB prospects in the draft. She calculated which players will most impact a teams’ win share. In basic terms, Frelund crunched the numbers for what the teams do best, what the prospects do best, and paired them together based on the results. Dobbins landed with the Chiefs, adding a total of +0.40 wins in Kansas City.

Here’s a look at what she had to say about the potential pairing:

Last season, the Chiefs used play-action on 28.8 percent of dropbacks (fifth-highest in the NFL, per NGS). Why am I leading with this? Because one of the most interesting notes from Dobbins’ tenure at Ohio State was the fact that he caught at least 22 passes in each of his three seasons. And here’s the special part: He was spectacular in pass protection, especially against linebackers. The Chiefs also only had 33 rushes of 10 or more yards last season (29th in the NFL), and Dobbins’ game speed measured second-fastest in this RB class. With Andy Reid crafting plays for Dobbins, his transition to the NFL projects to be mutually beneficial with big-play upside.”

What do you think, Chiefs Kingdom? Is Dobbins the best fit for the Chiefs at the RB position in the 2020 NFL Draft? Let us know your thoughts on Facebook and Twitter.

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