The Colorado Rockies (38-51) face the San Diego Padres (53-38) in the second of three games in San Diego. The Padres won the opener 4-2 Friday night. Saturday night, the first pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 7-6 with a 3.59 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 105 1/3 IP over 18 starts.
The Rockies have won his last four starts, including one on the road. He has an ERA of 0.93 over 29 innings in those four starts.
RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 5-6 with a 2.97 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 94 IP over 16 starts and one game in relief.
He has allowed five earned runs in each of his last two starts for an ERA of 10.00 over nine innings.
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Rockies at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:54 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-145) | Padres -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)
Prediction
Rockies 4, Padres 2
Money line (ML)
Considering the Rockies are 7-34 on the road this season, they are never a good bet on the money line when they are not at Coors Field.
Colorado has one win on this road trip and has not won more than one game in any previous road trip since they won two of seven on the road between April 26-May 2. However, Marquez has been brilliant in his last four starts.
The Padres’ 33 home wins are the most in the major leagues. They have won 12 of their last 15 home games. But Musgrove has struggled in his last two starts.
If there is any road game to take the Rockies for some potential value, tonight is that game.
Take the ROCKIES (+145).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
It is true that the Rockies also have the lowest road cover percentage in the majors at 34.2%. They have covered the spread in only two of their last seven games.
The Padres are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games and 25-25 ATS at home.
But as we expect this to be an outright win for the Rockies, if you aren’t confident enough to take them on the money line, you have an extra run-and-a-half of insurance with this bet.
Take the ROCKIES +1.5 (-145).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Rockies only average 2.8 runs per game on the road and bat .201, so even with Musgrove’s latest struggles, you can’t expect them to produce much.
But with how Marquez has been pitching, it will be tough for the Padres to muster much offense.
Take UNDER 7 (+105).
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