The Colorado Rockies (45-69) and Los Angeles Dodgers (67-46) open a 4-game set Thursday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 4-1
The Rockies lost 7-6 in extra innings as +199 underdogs at the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday. A throwing error by SS Ezequiel Tovar allowed the winning run to score with 2 outs in the bottom of the 10th. Colorado is 5-5 in its last 10 games but still owns the worst record in the NL.
The Dodgers won 2-0 as -136 favorites at the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday. LF David Peralta hit a 2-run single vs. his former team in the 8th inning as Los Angeles won for the 8th time in 9 games. The Dodgers have a 6-game lead over the 2nd-place San Francisco Giants in the NL West.
According to reports, LHP Clayton Kershaw (shoulder) is scheduled to start Thursday for the 1st time since June 27.
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Rockies at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Ty Blach vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw
Blach (1-1, 4.85 ERA) makes his 4th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 3.8 K/9 in 26 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 6-2 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 0-1, 6.17 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 8 ER) in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
- Career vs. Dodgers: 4-3, 3.27 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 26 ER) in 8 starts and 11 relief appearances — last faced Los Angeles as a starter in 2019 and as a reliever in 2022
Kershaw (10-4, 2.55 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 95 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 5-0 road victory at Rockies June 27
- 2023 home stats: 4-1, 1.70 ERA (37 IP, 7 ER) in 6 starts
- Career vs. Rockies: 27-11, 3.33 ERA (300 IP, 111 ER) in 49 starts
Rockies at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:51 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Dodgers -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-105) | Dodgers -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Rockies at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Rockies 2
Moneyline
Los Angeles (-375) should win for the 9th time in 10 games, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Dodgers should win by margin.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
While Colorado is a respectable 5-5 in its last 10 games, it has been getting blown out in its losses. Six of the Rockies’ last 7 losses have been by 3 or more runs.
Los Angeles is 18-13 on the run line this season in divisional matchups, while Colorado is just 11-17.
LEAN DODGERS -2.5 (-115).
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Over/Under
Blach has struggled on the road this season, but he’s facing a Dodgers team that has cooled down offensively. Los Angeles has scored 5 or fewer runs in back-to-back contests after averaging 8.4 over the previous 7 games. The Under is 36-23 (61%) this season when Colorado is a road underdog and I like its chances to hit again Thursday.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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