Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (29-41) and Atlanta Braves (42-26) will meet for the 1st time this season Thursday. First pitch from at Truist Park in Atlanta is  7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won 6 of 7 games in 2022

The Rockies took 2 of 3 from the Boston Red Sox in their most recent series and have won 3 of their last 4 games. They’re still 13 games back in the NL West, sitting 12 games below .500 as we approach the midway point of the season.

The Braves are riding a 2-game winning streak coming into this game, holding onto a 4.5-game lead over the Miami Marlins in the NL East. They’ve scored the 4th-most runs (355) and have the 8th-best team ERA (3.84) in MLB.

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves projected starters

LHP Kyle Freeland vs. RHP A.J. Smith-Shawver

Freeland (4-7, 3.91 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 76 innings.

  • Has allowed just 3 ER in 12 IP in June
  • Leads MLB with 14 starts; also has most losses (7) of any pitcher

Smith-Shawver (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.78 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 7 2/3 innings.

  • 20-year-old making just his 3rd career appearance and 2nd MLB start
  • First start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 H 2 R (0 ER), 1 BB, 3 K in 3-2 win over Washington Nationals on Friday

Rockies at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+105) | Braves -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rockies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Rockies 4

Moneyline

The Rockies have played some decent baseball as of late, but they now get a tough opponent in the Braves, winners of 9 of their last 11 games. The Braves should win this game at home, where they’re 20-15, extending their winning streak to 3 games.

The problem is they’re -250 on the money line, which is heavily juiced. I would PASS on the ML at that number.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have covered the run line in 7 of their last 9 wins, beating their opponents by at least 2 runs in each of those contests. As for the Rockies, their last 3 wins have all been by 1 run each, so even when they’ve won, they haven’t done so convincingly.

I like the BRAVES -1.5 (-125) to win and cover the spread by beating the Rockies by at least 2 runs.

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Over/Under

According to Covers, the total has gone Over in each of the Braves’ last 5 home games against lefties. The total has gone Over in 7 of their last 10 overall, including the last 3 games.

BET OVER 9 (-120).

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