After the first few weeks of the 2023 college football season, almost nothing about this season seems predictable. More so than in past seasons because while chaos is guaranteed in this sport, no team looks ready to dominate the rest of its schedule.
And that’s going to keep the race for the last four-team College Football Playoff interesting — at least for now.
Ahead of Week 4 games, Ohio State is still the team with the best chance at making the playoff — it started the season at the top of this category as well — according to ESPN’s Playoff Predictor. With a 57.7 percent chance, the Buckeyes have a slight advantage over Oklahoma’s 50.5 percent chance while being comfortably ahead of Georgia (41.3 percent) and Texas (34.3 percent) to round out the top-4 teams.
The Playoff Predictor utilizes an algorithm that factors in the same considerations as the selection committee, such as strength of record, number of losses and conference championships (or independent status), along with the Football Power Index.
Here’s a look at the top teams with the best chances to make the College Football Playoff, along with their chances of advancing to the title game and winning it all, per ESPN’s Playoff Predictor, as of Tuesday.