Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (42-26) battle the Miami Heat (35-32) Friday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Cleveland is 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season against Miami. It beat the Heat 104-100 Wednesday, covering as a 1.5-point favorite. The Under has connected in all 3 meetings.

The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games but just 4-5 ATS over their last 9 outings. They are 36-29-3 ATS on the season and 32-36 O/U. Cleveland allows the league’s fewest points per game (106.5).

The Heat are 2-8 ATS over their last 10 games and have lost 7 of them outright. They are 24-41-2 ATS this season and 30-37 O/U. They allow the second-fewest points per game (109.1).

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Cavaliers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Heat +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers -1.5 (-115) | Heat +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Cavaliers at Heat key injuries

Cavaliers

  • None

Heat

  • Kevin Love (rib) probable
  • G Kyle Lowry (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Cavaliers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Cavaliers 105

Moneyline

BET HEAT (+100).

The Heat are 21-13 at home this season, and the Cavaliers — while a top team in the league — are still just 14-19 on the road. Miami should also be in desperation mode as it’s been struggling lately and should be competing at a higher intensity.

The Cavs are just 1-3 in their last 4 road games as well, and they forced Miami into 22 turnovers on Wednesday. Expect the Heat to take better care of the ball in the rematch.

Against the spread

PASS.

I prefer the even-money odds on the Heat at home instead of taking the single point of insurance.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 214.5 (-108).

The total is 0-3 O/U in these two teams’ matchups this season, and neither plays at a high tempo and both have defense-first mindsets.

With F Evan Mobley and C Bam Adebayo, the paint should be protected, and it will be difficult to get easy buckets. The Heat are 2-5 O/U in their last 7 while the Cavs are 2-3 O/U in their last 5.

Back the UNDER 214.5 (-108).

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