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The Cincinnati Reds (68-66) have lost 2 straight games against the San Francisco Giants (69-63) and look to avoid being swept in the 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Oracle Park is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 4-2
The Reds have dropped 5 of their last 6 games after starting a 10-game road trip with 3 straight wins. Cincinnati is 7 games back in the NL Central and is on the outside looking in for an NL Wild Card spot, 2 games back of the Giants.
The Giants recently went through a rough stretch where they went 5-14 over a 19-game span from Aug. 5-26. However, they have now won each of their last 3 games and they would land the final NL Wild Card spot in a tight race if the season ended today.
Reds at Giants projected starters
RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Logan Webb
Greene (2-6, 5.06 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 80 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 10-8 road loss vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
- Has made 2 starts since missing a couple of months due to a hip injury, totaling 6 2/3 IP with 13 ER, 5 HR allowed and an ugly 8/8 K/BB
- 2023 road stats: 2-2, 3.93 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 23 ER) with 12.6 K/9 in 10 starts
Webb (9-10 3.51 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 174 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 5-1 home loss vs. Atlanta Braves Friday
- 2023 home stats: 5-5, 2.48 ERA (90 2/3 IP, 25 ER) in 13 starts
- Career vs. Reds: 2-0, 0.90 ERA (20 IP, 2 ER) with 18/3 K/BB in 4 appearances (3 starts)
- 2023 vs. Reds: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 4-2 road loss on July 17
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Reds at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Giants -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Reds at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 5, Reds 4
Moneyline
Greene has been roughed up in each of his 2 starts since coming off of the IL. San Francisco’s offense has been pretty quiet lately, ranking 26th in wRC+ during August, though they have shown signs of life lately with 18 runs scored in their last 3 games.
Fade Greene until he shows he is back on track and BET GIANTS (-165).
Run line/Against the spread
The run line is tempting given the way Greene has been knocked around since his return, but the Giants have averaged just 3.35 runs per game over their last 36 contests.
While Webb has been rock-solid throughout the season, he hasn’t been as good lately, with a 4.79 ERA and 6.3 K/9 in his last 7 starts.
PASS on this one.
Over/Under
There probably won’t be a ton of offensive fireworks in this game, but neither of these starting pitchers has been at the top of their game lately. This number is just a little too low, as taking the under with Greene looking so shaky is a risky play. Make a small play on OVER 8 (+100).
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