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The Cincinnati Reds (68-64) and San Francisco Giants (67-63) open a 3-game set Monday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 2-2
The Reds lost 5-2 as +110 underdogs at the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday, dropping 3 of 4 games in the series. Cincinnati is 1½ games behind the Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild Card spot.
The Giants avoided a 3-game sweep with an 8-5 win as +114 home underdogs vs. the Atlanta Braves Sunday. San Francisco has lost 14 of its last 20 games and is 1½ games back of the final NL Wild Card.
Reds at Giants projected starters
LHP Andrew Abbott vs. LHP Kyle Harrison
Abbott (8-3, 3.16 ERA) makes his 16th start. The rookie has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 9-4 victory at Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 5-1, 3.51 ERA (41 IP, 16 ER) in 8 starts
- Career vs. Giants: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 5-1 home victory July 20
Harrison (0-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 3 1/3 IP in his MLB debut at the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday.
- Went 1-3 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 6.6 BB/9 and 14.4 K/9 in 65 2/3 IP across 20 starts for AAA-Sacramento in 2023
- No. 1 prospect in the Giants’ system and No. 17 overall per Fangraphs
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Reds at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Giants -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Giants -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Reds at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Giants 2
Moneyline
The REDS (+115) have the advantage at starting pitcher and have been playing better than the Giants recently. Abbot has allowed more than 3 earned runs in just 3 of his 15 career starts, and San Francisco is averaging just 3.38 runs per game over its last 16 outings.
BET REDS (+115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Reds are 41-18 on the run line this season as road underdogs, according to TeamRankings.com. Cincinnati +1.5 (-185) will likely hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Reds should win straight up.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
The Under is 27-13-1 (67.5%) this season when the Giants are home favorites.
The Under has also hit in 3 of the 4 meetings between these teams this year and should cash again Monday as San Francisco’s offense continues to struggle.
LEAN UNDER 8 (+100).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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