The Cincinnati Reds (60-95) finish a 3-game set with the Pittsburgh Pirates (58-97) Wednesday at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Pirates lead 11-7
The Reds have dropped the first 2 in this series by the scores of 8-3 and 4-1. Young stud RHP Hunter Greene gave up an unearned run on 4 hits and 3 walks with 10 K’s over 6 IP, and the bullpen gave it away Tuesday.
The Bucs have won 3 of 4 games as they try to battle out of the NL Central cellar. They have had Cincinnati’s number this year, winning the last 6 matchups. SS Oneil Cruz is hitting .283 with 7 homers and 21 RBIs over the last 30 days. He and 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes look to be a solid tandem to build around, and they look to finish the season strong.
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Reds at Pirates projected starters
RHP Luis Cessa vs. RHP Bryse Wilson
Cessa (4-4, 4.78 ERA) makes his 9th start and 45th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 69 2/3 IP.
- Last 5 starts: 1-2 with a 3.81 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 7.3 K/9
- 2022 vs. PIT: 9 1/3 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 7 K
Wilson (3-9, 5.95 ERA) makes his 20th start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.
- Last 28 days: 1-1, 5.32 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.0 K/9
- 2022 vs. CIN: 1-1, 3.26 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 5.6 K/9, 19 1/3 IP
Reds at Pirates odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Pirates -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+155) | Pirates +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Reds at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Pirates 3
Money line
The Reds should get some revenge Wednesday as Cessa is a much better pitcher on the road with a 3.11 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Pittsburgh got to him at Great American Ball Park 2 weeks ago, but he hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in 6 of his 7 other latest outings.
I like the REDS (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
Wilson has allowed at least 3 ER in his last 2 starts against Cincinnati and he’s allowed at least 3 ER in 6 of his last 7 starts overall. I like the Reds to get to him today, but I don’t trust the bullpen enough to go RL here. I like the REDS OVER 1.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-150) and feel it’s close to a lock.
Over/Under
It’s a chilly, 58-degree day at PNC with a 7-mph gust blowing straight out to center field. The Under is 4-0 in Cessa’s last 4 road starts. The Reds are just 2-8 O/U in the last 10 games. I think the Under sneaks by in this one but only risk a HALF-UNIT on the UNDER 8.5 (-125).
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