The Cincinnati Reds (46-71) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-72) Saturday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 5-5
Cincinnati coughed one up in the 9th inning to fall 5-4 to Pittsburgh in a score we nailed Friday night. The Reds led 3-1 into the 7th inning before unraveling. They’re now 2-8 over the last 10 games and 20-35 on the road.
Pirates CF Bryan Reynolds cooled off with just a single and a walk after hitting 4 homers in 4 games, but some of his teammates stepped up. 2B Kevin Newman tied it at 4-4 with a 9th-inning, one out double. Three batters later, 1B Michael Chavis was the hero with a walk-off, bases-loaded single. The Pirates have won 2 in a row but are just 3-8 over their last 11.
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Reds at Pirates projected starters
RHP Justin Dunn vs. RHP Tyler Beede
Dunn (0-1, 8.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.92 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 8 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 5 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 3 2/3 in no-decision Sunday at home against the Cubs last time out
- Has given up 4 home runs in his 2 starts, 3 to Cubs in last outing
Beede (1-2, 3.72 ERA) makes his 4th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 48 1/3 combined IP with Pirates and Giants this season.
- Stretched out to season-high 74 pitches last time out and allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 3 BB with 3 K in 3 IP of 2-0 loss at Giants Aug. 13
- Has a 3.49 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 15 ER) in 20 appearances, including 3 starts, with Pirates this year
Reds at Pirates odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Pirates -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-170) | Pirates -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Reds at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Pirates 5
Money line
With two questionable starters on the hill, Saturday should be a day for the offense. Seven of the Reds’ starting 9 had hits Friday, and I look for right-handed bats like 2B Jonathan India or OF Aristides Aquino to come alive. Take the REDS (+120) for a HALF UNIT.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Reds’ -170 run line is out of my price range, and these teams are too unpredictable to get cute with a -1.5.
I am confident in REDS OVER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS (-130) and might sprinkle some on REDS OVER 4.5 TOTAL RUNS (+122).
Over/Under
The wind is blowing in from right-center at nearly 8 mph. Otherwise, this total is probably 9.5. Neither starter can be relied upon, and they may not even make it through 5 innings. The Reds have the worst bullpen ERA (4.98) in the majors, and the Pirates are tied for 4th-worst (4.48).
Without hesitation, take the OVER 8.5 (-130).
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