The Cincinnati Reds (49-40) square off with the Milwaukee Brewers (48-41) Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game set. First pitch from American Family Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 4-1
The Reds have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past month but they lost the series opener 7-3 on Friday. Cincinnati recently reeled off 12 wins in a row and even with Friday’s loss is 20-5 in its last 25 contests.
The Brewers have also been playing well lately, as they have won 9 of their last 13 games. While Milwaukee has lost its lead in the NL Central to Cincinnati, Friday’s win puts it just a game behind the Reds.
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Reds at Brewers projected starters
RHP Luke Weaver vs. RHP Colin Rea
Weaver (2-2, 6.72 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 69 2/3 IP.
- The Reds have won Weaver’s last 7 turns despite him posting an 8.24 ERA while allowing batters a .961 OPS during that span
- Has recorded just 11 K with 10 BB over 22 1/3 IP across his last 5 outings
- 2023 road splits: 1-2, 5.80 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and 6.7 K/9 through 40 1/3 IP across 8 starts
Rea (5-4, 4.40 ERA) makes his 15th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 75 2/3 IP.
- 2023 home splits: 2-2, 4.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 1.8 HR/9 and 8.3 K/9 across 36 IP over 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Doesn’t get a ton of whiffs in general and has tallied just 8 K in 18 1/3 IP over his last 3 starts
- At Reds on June 3: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 10-8 Brewer’s victory
Reds at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-175) | Brewers -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Reds 5
Moneyline
Milwaukee’s bats have heated up lately, as they have averaged 6.8 runs per game over their last 8 contests. They are certainly in a good spot against Weaver, who has struggled all season. Back the BREWERS (-130) to pick up a win and move back into a tie for the NL Central lead.
Run line/Against the spread
The Reds have lost by more than 1 run just 3 times in their last 25 games. The Brewers have the pitching edge and home-field advantage, but the Reds should keep this game close. Neither side of this wager looks like a good value so PASS.
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Over/Under
The Over has chased in 10 of the last 14 games for Cincinnati, as well as in 6 of the last 7 for Milwaukee. With two mediocre pitchers taking the mound against two hot offenses, we should see enough runs from both sides to push this total OVER 9.5 (-115).
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