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The Cincinnati Reds (34-35) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (40-29) Saturday afternoon. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2.
Cincinnati has won 2 games in a row after taking down the Brewers 6-5 Friday while covering as a +153 road underdog. CF TJ Friedl and 3B Jeimer Candelario each had 2 RBIs for the Reds while RHP Hunter Greene allowed 2 ER in 5 innings to pick up the win.
Milwaukee failed to cover as a -167 home favorite in Tuesday’s loss. 4 different Brewers players had a RBI while the team’s 2-run 9th inning fell short of a comeback. RHP Freddy Peralta allowed 6 ER in 5 1/3 innings to pick up the loss.
Reds at Brewers projected starters
LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Bryse Wilson
Abbott (5-5, 3.28 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 74 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 4-3 win against Chicago Cubs Saturday.
- Career vs. Brewers: 2-2, 3.22 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 20 H, 8 BB, 24 K in 4 starts — last outing in 2023.
Wilson (3-3, 4.19 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.41 BB/9 and 6.83 K/9 through 58 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-2 loss at Detroit Tigers Sunday.
- Career vs. Reds: 2-2, 2.66 ERA (44 IP, 13 ER), 38 H, 5 BB, 29 K in 12 appearances including 5 starts — last outing in April 2024
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-175) | Brewers -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Reds at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
BET REDS (+115).
The Reds have been hot recently, winning 9 of their last 11 including each of their last 5 games on the road. They controlled the game yesterday while allowing Milwaukee to scored 2 runs in the 9th closed the scoring gap. Cincinnati faces Wilson for the Brewers who has struggled recently, allowing 10 ER combined in his last 2 starts while losing both games. The Brewers are just 4-6 in their last 10 games including 1-2 in their last 3 at home.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is no value on the Reds run line in this matchup.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-115).
The Reds have hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 games while the Brewers have failed to hit the Over in 3 of their last 4. Cincinnati has held opponents to 4 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10 games while Milwaukee has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 10.
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