[anyclip pubname=”2129″ widgetname=”0016M00002U0B1kQAF_M8190″]
The Milwaukee Brewers (56-45) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (55-47) to American Family Field Tuesday. First pitch in the middle game of the 3-game series is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 9-2
The Brewers opened the series with a 3-2 win Monday, using RF Christian Yelich‘s walk-off hit in the bottom of the 9th to seal the deal. They are now 28-23 at home this season and 7-3 over their last 10 games.
Milwaukee has a 1 1/2-game advantage over the Reds in the NL Central. Cincinnati is just 5-5 over its last 10 games and 27-21 on the road this season. Its 5-game win streak was snapped with that opening loss.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Reds at Brewers projected starters
LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Abbott (5-2, 2.10 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 55 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 R (0 ER), 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-1 home win versus the Giants on Thursday
- 2023 road stats: 3-1, 2.86 ERA (22 IP, 7 ER) in 4 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: 1-2, 4.41 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 8 ER) in 3 starts
Burnes (9-5, 3.49 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 121 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 R (0 ER), 2 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 4-0 win at the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday
- 2023 home stats: 4-2, 4.13 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 24 ER) in 9 starts
- Career vs. Reds: 4-1, 2.52 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 17 ER) in 7 starts, including a win on July 14 (6 scoreless IP)
Reds at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Brewers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Reds at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Reds 2
Moneyline
BET BREWERS (-155).
Burnes has been electric as of late for Milwaukee. The former Cy Young winner hasn’t allowed a run in his last 14 IP and has 23 K’s in that span. The Brewers have won 5 straight games with him on the mound, and Burnes has beaten the Reds 3 times in the last 2 months as well.
The Reds’ offense has struggled immensely lately, scoring more than 4 in just 3 of its last 6 games. Its lone score Monday was a 2-run HR by rookie SS Elly De La Cruz.
The Brewers have dominated the Reds, and that should continue Tuesday. Despite the juice, take BREWERS (-155).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There isn’t much value here. The Brewers have beaten the Reds in 5 straight games, but they have won 4 of those by a just 1 run, giving the -1.5 (+135) subpar value.
Despite Abbott’s success on the mound this season, the Reds +1.5 (-160) is too pricey to take here too. Ultimately play the Brewers to win outright for the best team-specific wager.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
In the 3 games Burnes has pitched against Cincinnati, the Reds have scored 7 total runs. He has pitched 6 innings in each and allowed just 5 ER. The Brewers have gone Under in Burnes last 2 starts and have gone Under 10 of their last 11 games.
The Reds have gone Under in 4 of their last 6 games and in 10 of their last 12. Cincinnati is also just 20-26 O/U following a loss this season. Given the strong starting pitchers and recent trends, back UNDER 8 (-115).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]