The Cincinnati Reds (56-48) begin a 3-game series on Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-43) at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 2-1
The Reds were blanked by the Milwaukee Brewers 3-0 on Wednesday. Cincinnati has won 6 of its last 8 contests and is only 1 1/2 games behind Milwaukee for 1st place in the NL Central.
The Dodgers lost 8-1 to the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday. Los Angeles has gone 1-3 in its last 4 games, but remains 3 games ahead of the San Francisco Giants atop the NL West.
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Reds at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Brandon Williamson vs. RHP Bobby Miller
Williamson (2-2, 4.60 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 58 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-2 home win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 1-1 in 5 starrts with a 4.95 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and 7.2 K/9 in 20 IP
- 2023 vs. Dodgers: 0-0, 9.53 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 6 ER) in 1 start.
Miller (6-1, 4.28 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 54 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 16-3 victory over the Texas Rangers on Saturday.
- 2023 home stats: 2-1 in 5 starts with a 5.93 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and 8.6 K/9 in 27 1/3 IP
- Has never faced Reds before
Reds at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Reds at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Reds 4
Moneyline
While the Dodgers should come away with the win on Friday, I’ll AVOID their moneyline at the current odds (-225).
Run line/Against the spread
DODGERS -1.5 (-120) is how I’d wager on the spread with Los Angeles having plenty of success against Williamson earlier this season. Miller has been solid as a starter and the Reds have somewhat cooled off in recent games.
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Over/Under
OVER 9.5 (-105) has decent value with Williamson getting the nod for the Reds. Williamson is surrendering a 10.3% barrel rate and the Dodgers have 5 players in their projected lineup that possess a barrel rate of 12.4% or better.
The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall, and the Dodgers are 7-2-1 to the Over in their last 10 contests.
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