The Cincinnati Reds (42-38) finish a 3-game series with the Baltimore Orioles (48-30) Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1
The Orioles and Reds appear to be the up-and-coming teams in the years to come after years of bottom-feeding. Cincinnati’s 3-1 victory Tuesday showcased a little pitching on both sides as Orioles RHP Tyler Wells tossed 6 innings with 2 earned runs and Reds LHP Andrew Abbott went 6 innings with 1 earned run. Cincinnati SS Matt McLain hit the go-ahead home run in the 6th and OF TJ Friedl hit an insurance solo shot in the 8th.
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Reds at Orioles projected starters
RHP Luke Weaver vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Weaver (1-2, 6.86 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 across 60 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 B, 3 K in an 11-10 home win vs. the Atlanta Braves Friday
- Is 0-0 with a 10.80 ERA in 16 2/3 IP over 4 starts in June
Gibson (8-5, 4.30 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 92 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 13-1 home loss vs. the Seattle Mariners Friday
- His June ERA stands at 5.75 through 4 starts after a solid 3.86 ERA across 6 starts in May
Reds at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-130) | Orioles -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Reds at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 7, Orioles 5
Moneyline
Both of these teams have impressed this season and while there are reasons for the Orioles (-175) to be favorites there is more value in picking the Reds (+145).
The Reds are 21-18 on the road and 18-16 as underdogs on the road. They are also 15-2 in their last 17 road matches versus a right-handed pitcher, per covers.com.
LEAN REDS (+145).
Run line/Against the spread
For those looking for a less risky bet, the Reds have a phenomenal 26-13 road record against the spread. Cincinnati has the best ATS record in MLB off a victory with a 65.9% cover percentage. On the other hand, Baltimore has a 14-15 ATS record as a home favorite.
BET REDS +1.5 (-130) if you’d like a little insurance.
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Over/Under
Both teams trend toward the Over Wednesday despite combining for just 4 runs on Tuesday.
The Orioles have gone Over in 4 straight home games with a total between 9 and 10.5. The Reds have a nearly identical trend, going Over in 4 of their last 5 road games when the total is between 9 and 10.5 runs.
BET OVER 9.5 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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