The Cincinnati Reds (41-37) open a 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (47-29) on Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; the Reds went 2-1 against the Orioles in 2022
The Reds suffered a 2nd straight loss when they were defeated 7-6 by the Atlanta Braves Sunday. Cincinnati won 12 games in a row before losing Saturday and Sunday and has a 1/2 game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central.
The Orioles beat the Seattle Mariners 3-2 Sunday to give them 2 consecutive victories. Baltimore is 5-5 in its last 10 contests and is 4 1/2 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.
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Reds at Orioles projected starters
LHP Brandon Williamson vs. LHP Cole Irvin
Williamson (1-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 36 2/3 IP.
- Has allowed 3 or more ER in 5 of his first 7 outings
- The Reds are 6-1 in his starts
Irvin (1-3, 7.71 ERA) makes his 6th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 23 1/3 IP.
- Has given up 3 ER or more in 4 of his first 5 starts
- Hasn’t pitched more than 5 1/3 innings in any outing
Reds at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Orioles -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Reds at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Orioles 5
Moneyline
Take the red-hot REDS (+110) Monday despite that the Orioles are 24-14 at home and are one of the best teams in baseball. Since the start of May, Cincinnati has the 5th-best ISO (.188), the 6th-best wOBA (.347), and is tied for the 8th-best wRC+ (111) against left-handed pitching.
Run line/Against the spread
REDS +1.5 (-165) is the play for the run line if you aren’t comfortable taking the moneyline and want a run of insurance. Cincinnati has gone 14 straight games where it has either won or lost by 1 run.
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Over/Under
OVER 9.5 (-110) is how I’d wager on the run total with struggling southpaws taking the mound for both teams. While they’ve been slightly worse against lefties recently, the Orioles still boast the 11th-best ISO (.167), are tied for the 10th-best wOBA (.331) and are tied for the 7th-best wRC+ (112) against left-handed pitching this season.
The Reds are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall, while the Orioles are 5-1 to the Over in their last 6 games overall.
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