The Cincinnati Reds (61-53) will try to halt a two-game skid when they take on the Atlanta Braves (58-55) Wednesday. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Reds vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Reds LHP Wade Miley (9-4, 2.75 ERA) makes his 21st start of the year. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 121 IP.
- Miley has a 51% ground ball rate that has helped him limit the damage done via home runs. In fact, his 0.67 HR/9 is fourth lowest among all qualified pitchers.
- Miley has posted a 2.93 ERA along with a 6.6 K/9 and 0.73 HR/9 in 10 road starts this season. He has struggled a bit with his control in recent weeks as evidenced by a 3.8 BB/9 over his last seven starts.
Braves RHP Touki Toussaint (1-2, 4.43 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 22 1/3 IP.
- Toussaint was very good in his first two starts, including a 10 K performance in Philadelphia. However, he followed that up with a 3 1/3 IP, 7 ER outing against Milwaukee and a start in St. Louis in which he recorded just 3 K and 5 swinging strikes on 94 pitches.
- He hasn’t walked many in his four big league starts this year but walked 14 in 23 1/3 IP in the minors and still boasts an ugly 5.3 BB/9 in 117 1/3 career innings in the majors.
Reds at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-200) | Braves -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Prediction
Reds 6, Braves 4
Money line (ML)
The Cincinnati offense will be a tough test for Toussaint as they rank 7th in wRC+ and 2nd in OPS vs right-handed pitching on the year. The Braves currently sit 26th in wRC+ vs lefties, though they did add some right-handed bats at the trade deadline in RF Jorge Soler and LF Adam Duvall.
Toussaint continues to be hit or miss, as he can dominate one start and get blown up the next. This looks like a pretty even matchup, but we’ll side with the consistency of Miley and take the REDS (+100).
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Each of Cincinnati’s last six road wins has been by multiple runs and there’s simply not enough value on the extra run and a half insurance.
PASS on the run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over is 8-2-2 in the last 12 for the Reds against a right-handed starter.
Despite their struggles against southpaws for most of the year, the total has gone over eight of the last 10 times the Braves have faced one.
Neither offense is likely to get shut down and depending on which version of Toussaint shows up, the Reds could even have a big day. A shaky Cincinnati bullpen could also help the Braves push across a couple runs late, so look for enough offense to push this total OVER 9.5 (-120).
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]