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The San Diego Padres (89-66) welcome the Chicago White Sox (36-119) to Petco Park Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the White Sox at Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 2-0
The Padres beat the White Sox 3-2 to open the series Friday and then continued that streak with a 6-2 win Saturday, closing as heavy favorites in both. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and sit 2nd in the NL West. San Diego is 44-36 at home on the season and 79-76 against the spread (ATS).
The White Sox did sustain a 3-game winning streak Sept. 14-16, but are now riding a 4-game skid. They lost a series 2-1 to the Los Angeles Angels Monday through Wednesday. Chicago, despite that win streak, has still dropped 8 of its last 11 games. It is 16-61 on the road and 63-92 ATS.
White Sox at Padres projected starters
RHP Sean Burke vs. RHP Yu Darvish
Burke (1-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 3rd appearance. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 8 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home victory over Oakland A’s Sunday
- 2024 stats with Triple-A Charlotte: 2-6, 4.62 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 16 starts
- Has never faced Padres
Darvish (6-3, 3.21 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 70 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-1 home victory over Houston Astros Monday
- 2024 home stats: 3-3, 3.75 ERA (48 IP, 20 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 10 starts
- Career vs. White Sox: 3-2, 3.57 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 7 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
White Sox at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Padres -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: White Sox +2.5 (-130) | Padres -2.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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White Sox at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, White Sox 2
Moneyline
PASS.
The Padres (-350) are again a hefty favorite in this one, so much so that there is no moneyline play. The White Sox are unlikely to avoid a sweep here.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PADRES -2.5 (+110).
The Padres have been winning with ease as of late. They won a series against the Astros 2-1 Monday through Wednesday and swept the San Francisco Giants in 3 games Sept. 13-15.
The White Sox have lost 2 of their last 4 games by more than 2 runs. Chicago has scored a total of 7 runs over its last 4 games and will be facing a strong starting option in Darvish. Expect the Padres to again win by a sizable margin, and take PADRES -2.5 (+110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).
The White Sox haven’t been able to score consistently as of late and have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games. They are 0-3-1 O/U in that stretch. They are 66-80 O/U on the season. Chicago is 3-8-1 O/U in its last 12.
The Padres have gone Under in 5 of their last 6 games (0-5-1 O/U) and allowed a total of just 4 runs over their last 3.
Take UNDER 7.5 (+100).
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