[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) welcome the Chicago Cubs (81-77) to Citizens Bank Park Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 3-2
The Phillies, who have clinched the NL East, lost to the Cubs 10-4 Tuesday yet beat them to open the series 6-2 Monday.
Philadelphia has been a dynamic 53-27 at home this season. It is just 2-5 over its last 7, dropping 3 of 4 to the New York Mets in the series prior. The Phillies are 78-80 against the spread (ATS) this season and still battling the LA Dodgers for the best record in the NL.
The Cubs have won 4 of their last 6 games, beating the Washington Nationals in 3 of 4 prior to visiting the City of Brotherly Love. Chicago is 39-41 on the road this season and 75-83 ATS overall. It has been eliminated from the playoffs.
Cubs at Phillies projected starters
RHP Javier Assad vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez
Assad (7-5, 3.34 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 142 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-6 home win over Nationals Thursday
- 2024 away stats: 4-3, 4.17 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 14 starts
- Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
Sanchez (11-9, 3.25 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 177 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 12-2 road victory over Mets Friday
- 2024 home stats: 7-3, 2.05 ERA (105 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 16 starts
- Career vs. Cubs: 0-1, 1 road start (July 4), 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-2 defeat
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Cubs at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Cubs 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value on the moneyline. The Phillies (-190) have something to play for and should come out on top. However, they aren’t worth taking at these odds. Avoid a moneyline play.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).
The Phillies have been the best team in MLB at home and also after a loss, both of which ring true in this game. They have won Sanchez’s last 5 starts and beat the Mets 12-2 in his last outing Sept. 20.
Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS in its last 7 home games. The Cubs are 4-3 in their last 7, but all 3 losses were by multiple runs. Chicago is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games. At these odds and given the potential lack of motivation for the road side, back PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-110).
The Cubs put up 10 runs on the Phillies Tuesday and have scored at least 5 in 2 of their last 3 games. They are 3-3-1 O/U in their last 7 games.
The Phillies are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6 games and have scored at least 6 runs in 3 of the 6. Considering the recent trends, take OVER 8 (-110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]