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The Chicago Cubs (18-11) take on the New York Mets (14-14) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Citi Field at 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cubs lead 1-0
The Cubs stole Monday’s game 3-1 after scoring 3 runs in the final 2 frames. They trailed 1-0 for 7 innings before getting on the board with a run in the 8th. INF/OF Christopher Morel delivered a 2-run homer in the top of the 9th to garner the eventual win.
The blown save was uncharacteristic for the Mets, who are 7th with a 2.87 bullpen ERA this season. The Mets were only able to scratch across 1 run on 4 hits Monday. They are 16th with 4.43 R/game and 14th with 4.25 opponent R/game.
Cubs at Mets projected starters
RHP Javier Assad vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Assad (2-0, 2.00 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 27 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K Thursday against Houston Astros
- 1 career start vs. Mets: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K
Manaea (1-1, 3.33 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 24 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K against San Francisco Giants Wednesday
- 2 career starts vs. Cubs: 0-1, 6.30 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 9 K in 10 IP
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Cubs at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-200) | Mets -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Cubs at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 4, Mets 2
Moneyline
The Cubs have won 5 of 7, and they have the advantage on the bump. The 26-year-old Assad has yet to allow more than 2 ER in a start this season. Meanwhile, Manaea has allowed at least 2 BB in all 5 starts.
I like the CUBS +105.
Run line/Against the spread
I don’t like either side of the run line here. I will take a chance on Assad here. He has 5+ K’s in 4 of 5 starts, and he struck out 6 Mets in his only start against them in his career. The Mets are the 6th-toughest team to K, but for the price, I’m taking JAVIER ASSAD OVER 4.5 K’S (+105).
Over/Under
This total has fallen from 7.5 to 7 Tuesday morning, and we’re pegging 6 runs here. However, there’s just too little leverage to risk it.
PASS, and take the aforementioned plus-money ventures.
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