Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (1-2) will begin a 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds (2-1) on Monday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cubs went 11-8 vs, the Reds in 2022

The Cubs wrapped up a 3-game series at Wrigley Field against the Milwaukee Brewers losing 9-5 on Sunday, the 2nd straight loss after a win on Opening Day. SS Dansby Swanson has gotten off to a great start for Chicago, going 7-for-12 with 2 RBIs in his first 3 games with his new team.

The Reds went 2-1 in their 3-game opening series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati won 3-1 on Sunday as Graham Ashcraft pitched 7 strong inning (4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB 6 K’s). Jason Vosler, filling in at 1B with Joey Votto injured, hit a solo HR.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. RHP Connor Overton

Smyly was 7-8 in 22 starts in 2022 with a 3.47 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 7.7 K.9 in 106 1/3 IP.

  • Has made 22-plus starts in back-to-back seasons
  • His 3.47 ERA in 2022 was the best mark of his career in a season where he started in 10-plus games since 2015

Overton was 1-0 in 4 starts last season with a 2.73 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 3 BB/9, and 3.8 K/9 in 33 IP.

  • Has yet to make more than 4 starts in a season
  • Didn’t allow more than 2 runs in any of his 4 starts in 2022

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Reds -1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

Even though the Reds have surprisingly begun the season with a winning record, I’ll back the CUBS (-125) in this NL Central matchup.

Run line/Against the spread

REDS +1.5 (-160) is how I’d wager on the spread, though, I’d prefer to get it at -150 odds or better if available. Cincinnati is capable of keeping this game close at home with neither team getting consistency from its bats to begin the season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the pick in this contest despite Great American Ball Park being a favorable hitting venue. Smyly and Overton should have solid outings against these lineups, and fewer than 9 runs have been scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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