Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (22-19) head to the City of Brotherly Love Wednesday to play the Philadelphia 76ers (23-16) at Wells Fargo Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Charlotte won both games of a back-to-back set with the reigning champion Milwaukee Bucks Saturday and Monday, both at home. The Hornets won as 1.5-point favorites first and then again as 2.5-point underdogs.

The Hornets are 4-2 straight-up (SU), 4-2 ATS and 2-4 O/U with the 12th-best adjusted net rating at plus-2.2 points per 100 possessions over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Philly has won eight of its last nine games (7-2 ATS) and the last four victories have been by double digits.

The Sixers have the second-best adjusted net rating at plus-14.5 points per 100 possessions and the fourth-best spread differential at a plus-6.8 ATS margin in the last 14 days, per CTG.

The Sixers have beaten the Hornets in 16 consecutive meetings including their first two this season, which were back-to-back games in Charlotte Dec. 6 and 8. However, the Hornets covered both games and were missing guards LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier. 

Hornets at 76ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hornets +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | 76ers -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +5.5 (-107) | 76ers -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hornets at 76ers key injuries

Hornets

  • SF Kelly Oubre (health and safety protocols) out

76ers

  • SF Tobias Harris (shoulder) probable
  • SG Seth Curry (ankle) questionable
  • SG Shake Milton (back) out

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Hornets at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 120, Hornets 110

Money line

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

I’m confident enough in Philly that I’d rather lay the points than pay the extra vig with the 76ers (-230).

Against the spread

BET the 76ERS -5.5 (-115) for 1 unit based on several reasons.

Sixers big Joel Embiid has manhandled the Hornets throughout his career. Embiid is averaging 27.1 points on 64.8% true shooting (.533/.341/.822) and 12.3 rebounds with a plus-17 net rating in 13 career games versus Charlotte. He’s never lost to the Hornets.

The Sixers also put a hurting on bad defenses. Philly is 15-3 SU versus teams with a bottom-10 adjusted defensive rating with the third-best adjusted net rating at plus-10.2 points per 100 possessions and the fifth-best ATS margin (CTG).

Curry, Harris and Embiid like to operate in the mid-range. Philadelphia attempts the fifth-highest percentage of mid-range jumpers in the NBA while the Hornets have the second-worst defensive field goal percentage versus mid-range shots, per CTG.

Finally, the Hornets have gotten smacked around by good teams. Charlotte is 5-11 SU against teams in the top-10 of adjusted net rating. Charlotte ranks 20th in adjusted net rating at minus-6.7 points per 100 possessions and 19th in ATS margin (CTG) against those top-10 teams.

BET 76ERS -5.5 (-115).

Over/Under

PASS ON THE TOTAL with a slight “lean” to the Over 226.5 (-110) because Charlotte has one of the worst defenses in the Association and the Over is 7-1-1 in the last nine Hornets-76ers meetings.

However, the situational trends for both teams point in opposite directions and the Hornets play at the second-fastest pace while the Sixers play at the fourth-slowest pace.

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