Tiger Woods: 2023 Masters prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2023 Masters with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Tiger Woods will be teeing it up at the 87th Masters for the 25th time in his career, seeking to win his 6th green jacket. This is only his 2nd competitive round of the 2023 season after playing in the Genesis Invitational, a tournament he hosts at Riviera Country Club in os Angeles.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2023 Masters odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Woods tied for 45th at the Genesis Invitational, which was his 1st tournament since the Open Championship last July. In the Masters last year, Woods made the cut and finished alone in 47th, shooting rounds of 71, 74, 78 and 78.

He’s made the cut in 23 of his 24 Masters appearances, with 14 top-10 finishes in his career at Augusta National. His last Masters win was in 2019 when he finished 13-under par to win by 1 shot over Brooks Koepka, Xander Schauffele and Dustin Johnson.

Follow the 2023 Masters leaderboard, news, groupings, course details and more from Golfweek and USA TODAY. Catch the tournament April 6-9.

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Tiger Woods’ Masters odds and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:53 a.m. ET.

To win (+6600)

Woods knows Augusta like the back of his hand and can pretty much navigate the course blindfolded. However, as impressive as his performance at the Genesis was, his leg injury is still a major hindrance.

I would PASS on taking Woods to win outright because everything needs to go right for that to happen. Augusta isn’t an easy course to walk and the colder, rainy conditions will make it even more difficult.

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Top-5 finish (+1100)

Outside of his win in 2019, Woods hasn’t finished in the top 5 at the Masters since 2013. He’s played well here in the past, of course, but his recent success just hasn’t been there at Augusta – with the exception of 2019, of course.

There are better wagers to make for Woods this week than a top-5 finish. At this point, you might as well take him to win instead. PASS.

Top-10 finish (+500)

We’re getting closer to a range where it’s more reasonable to take Woods. He has 2 top-10s in his last 6 Masters starts, but only 1 of those has come since 2015.

I would still PASS on his top-10 line at +500.

Top-20 finish (+175)

Woods finished 47th last year and that was with 2 rounds of 78 on the weekend. He was in contention before then after shooting 71 Thursday and 74 on Friday. He should be even healthier now and looked good at the Genesis, which gave him a little bit of a tune-up before the Masters. I would BET Woods to finish in the top 20 at +175.

Top-40 finish (-190)

There’s not much benefit to betting him to finish in the top 40 at this number. Woods is -190 to make the cut, which is the top 50 and ties. PASS on this line, but not because I don’t think he’ll finish outside the top 40.

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More Tiger Woods odds and predictions

Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes -190 | No +150

As previously mentioned, Woods has made the cut in 23 of his 24 Masters appearances. His lone missed cut came way back in 1996 in just his 2nd Masters start. The line is juiced, and understandably so, but I expect Woods to make the cut.

Top American finisher (+3300)

This is a loaded field when it comes to the Americans. Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas. The list goes on. Similar to the reason I don’t think I’d take Woods to win outright, there’s just too much competition for him to finish as the top American, too.

PASS on this bet.

Tiger Woods’ Masters first-round odds

  • Leader +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
  • Top 5 +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
  • To shoot 72 or lower -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • To make an eagle +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
  • To go bogey-free +1800 (bet $100 to win $1,800)

Woods doesn’t often get off to blistering starts at the Masters, but he does usually break par. In his last 10 Masters starts, he’s shot 72 or better 8 times. He’s broken 72 in each of his last 3 Masters appearances in 2019, 2020 and 2022, shooting 70, 68 and 71 in those rounds, respectively.

I would BET Woods to shoot 72 or lower at -120, but I’m going to PASS on him to lead or end Round 1 in the top 5.

MORE 2023 MASTERS COVERAGE

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