Tiger Woods will be in the field for his second event — and second major — of the season this week, teeing it up at the 104th PGA Championship in Tulsa. It’s being held at Southern Hills, which is the same course Woods won the Wanamaker Trophy at in 2007.
Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2022 PGA Championship odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Woods finished tied for 47th at the Masters, which was his first tournament in more than a year. He was actually in contention after the first 2 rounds, but he shot 78 on Saturday and on Sunday to fall way down the leaderboard. Still recovering from a severe leg injury suffered in a car crash, Woods has limited his tour schedule to select events.
Despite not being 100% recovered, the 15-time major champion could have a good week on a course he knows relatively well.
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Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship odds and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:14 p.m. ET.
To win (+7000)
I’m not ready to bet on Tiger to win a tournament – yet. I think he has a decent chance to make the cut, but beating the likes of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and the other top 100 players in the world probably isn’t going to happen right now.
Top-5 finish (+1500)
For all the same reasons I’m not betting on Woods to win, I’m also not willing to lay down a bet on him to come in the top 5. There are simply too many great players in this field and with only 1 event under his belt in the last 18 months, I’m going to wait until we see more from Tiger before taking him to come in the top 5.
Top-10 finish (+650)
We’re approaching a bettable range with Woods. The top 10 would still be a huge accomplishment for Tiger, and you can get a good return at +650, but it’ll take a near-perfect week for him to make that happen.
Top-20 finish (+300)
Now we’re talking. Woods was only +150 to come in the top 20 at the Masters, and now his odds have more than doubled after we saw him struggle to stay near the top of the leaderboard at Augusta. At +300, I’d be willing to make a small wager on him to finish in the top 20 on a course where he’s won.
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More Tiger Woods’ odds and predictions
Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes -150 | No +110
Yes. The top 70 and ties will make the cut after two rounds, so all Woods has to do is finish slightly better than the top half in the first 2 rounds. That’s very doable for him, and his odds imply he will make the cut. Even at -150, which are shorter odds than his Masters line of -110, I’m willing to take Woods to play the weekend.
Top former winner finisher (+1000)
(Others: Justin Thomas +230, Rory McIlroy +280, Collin Morikawa +330, Brooks Koepka +550, Jason Day +1000, Keegan Bradley +1000)
After Bradley, the list drops off to Padraig Harrington at +3000, so there are really only 6 other legitimate threats to beat Woods in this former winner group. I still don’t expect it to happen because Thomas, McIlory, Morikawa and Koepka are all legitimate contenders, but there’s decent value here if those others struggle.
Top American finisher (+4000)
With this group, you don’t have to worry about Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Cameron Smith, Viktor Hovland or McIlroy. Any of those players could win this week. But with how much talent there is in this American group – Thomas, Spieth, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, etc. … – I don’t see Woods beating them all.
More PGA Championship coverage:
- Odds, picks and predictions to win
- Prop bet picks and predictions
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: PGA Championship preview
Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship first-round odds
- Leader +6000 (bet $100 to win $6,000)
- Top American +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
- Top 5 +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
- Top 10 +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
- Top 20 +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
At the Masters, we didn’t really know what to expect from Woods on Thursday. Was he going to be rusty? Would his leg hold up for 18 holes at Augusta?
It turns out, the best way to play Woods was to take 1 of his first-round lines because once we got to Saturday and Sunday, fatigue seemed to set in based on his final 2 rounds. There’s good value with his top-20 line at +350, and you could even take him to come in the top 10 after Round 1; he was tied for 10th after the first round at Augusta.
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Golfweek:
- ‘I’ll be ready’ – Tiger Woods confident he can win this week
- Tiger talks Phil Mickelson, plants flag firmly behind PGA Tour
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