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Texas vs. Baylor fearless prediction and game preview.
Texas vs. Baylor Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 23
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
Network: FS1
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Texas (6-4) vs. Baylor (9-1) Game Preview
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Why Texas Will Win
It’s going to take a colossal gag by Baylor against Kansas next week to miss out on the Big 12 Championship rematch against Oklahoma, but Texas can leave the door open to get into the thing or the second year in a row with a win this week and with a victory over Texas Tech next week, and with an Iowa State loss in the final two games, and …
It’s going to take a minor miracle, but there’s still something to play for.
It’s been a disappointing year for a Longhorn team that had dreams of going to the College Football Playoff, but again, there’s still an outside shot at a conference title, and there’s still a good chance of going to a strong bowl game with two more wins.
The Longhorns are still moving the chains with one of the nation’s most effective offenses on third downs.
The scoring pop is there – even if it’s a bit erratic. There aren’t a slew of mistakes to help out the Bears – like Jalen Hurts gave away at times last week – and the passing game is good enough to keep pressing a defense that struggled against Oklahoma in the second half and was hit for well over 300 yards by Texas Tech and Iowa State.
Most importantly, Texas is better at controlling the pace than Baylor is. The Bears are efficient and timely, but they don’t do anything to handle the time of possession battle.
The pressure is more on the home side of the field. Texas can let it rip.
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Why Baylor Will Win
The Texas secondary hasn’t been healthy, it hasn’t been able to tackle, and it has’t been able to come up with nearly enough big plays in key moments.
Rice is the only team to fail to hit 235 yards through the air against this group, it allowed 16 touchdown passes in the last six games, and it has only come up with two picks in the last four games.
And that’s where Charlie Brewer comes in.
Brilliant in the first half against Oklahoma, everything fizzled and failed in the second half collapse. However, he’s a lock to connect on at least 65% of his passes with two scores.
And then it’s up to the defense to do the rest.
The Bear D couldn’t get off the field in the second half against the Sooners, but overall the pass rush is among the best in the nation – it’s the best in the Big 12 – going against a mediocre Longhorn offensive line that’s not doing enough to keep Ehlinger upright.
Yes, Texas has the offense to make this a bit of a firefight, but it hasn’t done it enough lately. It’s not consistent enough on either side of the ball, but …
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What’s Going To Happen
Do you believe in patterns? Texas has gone win-loss-win-loss-win-loss …
It’s due for a win.
Can Baylor pick itself up off the mat? It’s still good enough and solid enough team to roll through a Texas team that’s having so many issues, but it’s not going to be easy.
Brewer will go off, Texas won’t come up with the key stops it needs, and the pain and angst of last week will go away as the Bears earn a spot in the Big 12 Championship.
Texas vs. Baylor Prediction, Line
Baylor 34, Texas 27
Bet on UT vs. BU with BetMGM, or for latest line
Baylor -5.5, o/u: 58.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
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Must See Rating: 4
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1: Frozen II
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Predicting The Rest of the Season
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