2023 Waste Management Phoenix Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Waste Management Phoenix Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour season is officially heating up with a full-field event this week at the 2023 Waste Management Phoenix Open. The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale will once again host this fantastic event, which will be packed with fans – particularly on the iconic 16th hole.

Below, we look at the 2023 Waste Management Phoenix Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

This is the 2nd elevated event of the season, which means most of the biggest players in the game will be in the field. Jon Rahm and world-No. 1 Rory McIlroy will be competing at TPC Scottsdale, as will Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa and Patrick Cantlay. Scheffler will attempt to defend his title from last year against this stellar field.

The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale isn’t overly long, stretching just 7,261 yards and playing as a par 71. But it is a ball-striker’s course, requiring players to be accurate off the tee and hit an abundance of greens. The greens are pretty large and won’t be running lightning quick, so it certainly won’t be a putting contest in Phoenix.

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Waste Management Phoenix Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:36 a.m. ET.

Xander Schauffele (+1300)

Schauffele has the 4th-best odds in the field, but it still feels like he’s being overlooked a little bit compared to the favorites, McIlroy (+900) and Rahm (+750). His track record at this event is better than most, never finishing worse than T-17 in 5 trips. In his last 2 starts, he tied for 2nd and 3rd, so he’s come close to claiming this title.

Tony Finau (+2000)

Finau has played this event 7 times, but only made the cut in 2 of those starts. The thing is, he came in 2nd and tied for 22nd the 2 times he did make the cut. His 2nd-place finish came in 2020 and he’s playing better now than he was then, so I give him a good shot to win in Phoenix this week. His game is firing on all cylinders.

Collin Morikawa (+1500)

Consistent play from tee to green will be essential this week and Morikawa excels in that area. He’s only played this tournament once before, tying for 25th in 2020, but I’m not worried about any lack of course knowledge or history. He’s a pure ball-striker who can thrive at any course, and he showed that at the Sentry Tournament of Champions before a final-round collapse.

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Waste Management Phoenix Open picks – Contenders

Sahith Theegala (+4000)

Theegala made his debut here last year when he tied for 3rd, and though he’s still searching for his 1st PGA Tour victory, he’s come close again this season, tying for 2nd, 4th and 5th already. In a loaded field, he’s a good value at +4000 with the way he’s playing right now and his impressive debut in 2022.

Rickie Fowler (+6000)

Fowler is fresh off a T-11 at the Farmers Insurance Open and now returns to a place he’s won before. He won here in 2019 and though he’s missed the cut in his last 2 starts at the WM Phoenix Open, he has 3 other top 10s in 14 total appearances here. If Fowler is going to have a big 2023 season like many expect, he could get it started this week.

Waste Management Phoenix Open picks – Long shots

J.T. Poston (+10000)

Poston has played this tournament the last 4 years and hasn’t finished worse than T-37, with a T-11 being his best performance. His odds are much longer than they should be given that course history and his recent play, notching 4 straight top-21 finishes, including a T-6 a few weeks ago at the American Express.

Brendon Todd (+10000)

Todd already has 4 top-25 finishes in his 9 starts this season, including a T-2 at Pebble Beach last week. TPC Scottsdale won’t punish him for being a shorter hitter, so long as he continues to keep it in the short grass like he has all season (8th in fairway percentage). He tied for 22nd and 26th in his last 2 starts here.

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2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

Following Max Homa’s win at the Farmers Insurance Open last week, the PGA Tour remains in California for the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. It’ll feature another 3-course rotation, with play concluding at Pebble Beach on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The field is headlined by Jordan Spieth, a perennial participant in this great event. He’s No. 38 in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings and is tied with Matt Fitzpatrick, the 10th-ranked golfer, as the betting favorite (+900). Viktor Hovland is also teeing it up this week and he’s ranked 14th by Golfweek, the 2nd-highest-ranked player in the field.

Players will be taking on three different courses this week: Pebble Beach (6,972 yards, par 72), Spyglass Hill (7,041, 72) and Monterey Peninsula Country Club (6,957, 71). The cut will be made at 54 holes, with the remaining players finishing the event at Pebble on Sunday.

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:53 p.m. ET.

Maverick McNealy (+380)

McNealy already has 2 career top-5 finishes in this tournament, and he’s playing better right now than he has at almost any point in his career. With 7 made cuts in his last 8 starts, McNealy has shown some consistency this season. He’s a nice fit for this event, which shows in his track record here.

Seamus Power (+425)

Power posted his best career finish at this event last year with a T-9, his 1st top 10. Furthermore, he’s dominating right now with 1 win, 3 top-5s and 4 top-25s in his last 4 starts. He’s among the hottest players on the planet and that should continue this week.

Joel Dahmen (+750)

Dahmen has 3 straight top-10 finishes this season and has made the cut in each of his 5 starts in this tournament. Additionally, he’s come in the top 15 in 2 of the last 3 years here. It’s a perfect combination of course history and recent form.

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-10 picks

Jordan Spieth (+140)

Spieth never misses this event, playing every year since 2013. He’s made the cut all 10 times and has only finished outside the top 25 once. In 6 of his 10 starts at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, he’s finished in the top 10. Getting him at plus money for a top-10 finish is good value.

Beau Hossler (+550)

Hossler is a long-shot pick for a top 10, but he finished alone in 3rd here last year so he’s cracked the top 10 before. His short game could put him in contention, but he’ll need to be much better off the tee and into the greens than he has been this season; he’s 150th on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green.

Viktor Hovland (+140)

Hovland is back in action for the 1st time in a few weeks, seeking to continue what’s been a fantastic season so far. He doesn’t have a finish worse than T-21 and only has 4 rounds over 69 in 4 official starts this season. He tied for 38th in his only start here in 2020.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-20 picks

Matt Fitzpatrick (-140)

Fitzpatrick tied for 6th here last year and should once again be in contention. Cracking the top 20 in a field where he’s the only top-10 player in the world shouldn’t be terribly difficult and even at -110, he’s a good bet.

Russell Knox (+260)

Since 2018, Knox has 3 top-20 finishes in 5 years, including a T-7, T-14 and T-15. He’s made the cut in 7 straight starts this season so he comes into this week in good form. His odds should probably be shorter for a top-20.

Troy Merritt (+350)

Betting Merritt is based on his course history, finishing in the top 25 in this event in his last 4 starts. That can be a little bit risky, seeing as his best finish in his last 3 starts this season is a T-65, but he’s worth a shot.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Seamus Power (-120) vs. Justin Rose (+100)

Power is playing better than most golfers on the planet right now, which makes it somewhat surprising that he’s only -120 to finish better than Rose this week. Rose has only played this event 3 times and finished 62nd and T-39 in his last 2 starts here.

Maverick McNealy (-110) vs. Tom Hoge (-110)

Betting against the defending champion can be a scary proposition as Hoge goes for back-to-back wins here, but McNealy actually has a better track record with 2 top-10s compared to Hoge’s 1.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top English

Matt Fitzpatrick (+110)

Fitzpatrick’s stiffest competition to be the top Englishman is Rose, whose odds are +270. Other than that, the other 5 Englishmen in the field are +10000 or longer to win this bet. It’s hard not to like Fitzpatrick, who played well here last year.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Seamus Power (+280)

This group includes Power, Rose (+320), Andrew Putnam (+350), Keith Mitchell (+350) and Matt Kuchar (+400). Mitchell and Kuchar could be dangerous in this group but Power’s recent form gives him the edge.

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2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The biggest pro-am of the year will be held this week at Pebble Beach. The PGA Tour continues the California swing of the schedule with the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, which features a less-stellar field than usual, but also some well-known celebrities.

Below, we look at the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

This year’s tournament will once again feature a 3-course rotation for players. In the first 3 rounds they’ll each play Pebble Beach (6,972 yards, par 72), Spyglass Hill (7,041, 72) and Monterey Peninsula Country Club (6,957, 71). The final round, with the cut after 3 rounds, will be played at Pebble.

Matt Fitzpatrick is the only top-10 player in the field, but notables include Jordan Spieth, Viktor Hovland and defending champion Tom Hoge.

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:49 p.m. ET.

Maverick McNealy (+2000)

The 28th-ranked player in Sagarin Golfweek rankings has played here in 4 of the last 5 years and only missed the cut in 2018. Last year, he finished tied for 33rd after going T-5 and 2nd in the previous 2 years.

Not only is McNealy a great fit at Pebble, but he’s playing well right now, too. He’s made the cut in 7 of his 8 starts this season and hasn’t finished worse than T-31 when he has played the weekend.

Joel Dahmen (+3000)

Golfweek’s No. 49 is scorching hot at the moment, finishing in the top 10 in each of his last 3 starts. Those were all in November, as he’s taken some time off since then, but there’s no reason to believe he can’t pick up where he left off, especially at this tournament.

Dahmen has played here 5 times and made the cut each year, including 2 top-15s in the last 3 years. In 2022, he tied for 6th, which was his best finish at this tournament.

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks – Contenders

Russell Knox (+6000)

Knox has made the cut in 7 straight events this season, most recently tying for 54th at The American Express. In his last 2 starts at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, he tied for 33rd and 7th, adding to his strong record at this tournament; in 2018 and 2019, he tied for 15th and 14th.

His game is better suited for shorter courses, which all 3 this week are.

Davis Riley (+8000)

Riley is by no means a long hitter, which makes him a better fit this week on three shorter courses. Where he excels is his ball striking, ranking 34th in greens in regulation. That’ll help this week with the greens being on the smaller side.

In 2 starts here, he missed the cut and finished 49th.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks – Long shot

Troy Merritt (+9000)

Merritt has played well in this tournament in each of his last 4 trips here. He hasn’t finished worse than T-25 in that span, posting a career-best T-4 last year. He’s a long shot for a reason, only making the cut 5 times in 8 starts this season with nothing better than a T-65 in his last 3, but his course history makes him a decent long-shot pick this week.

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2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The West Coast swing of the 2023 PGA Tour season continues this week at the magnificent Torrey Pines for the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open. Competitors will play both the North and South Courses this week, with the 1st round beginning on Wednesday and the action concluding on Saturday afternoon.

Below, we look at the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Jon Rahm will look to make it 3 wins in a row when he tees it up at Torrey this week, having won his last 2 starts at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. He’s currently the top-ranked golfer in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, with Rory McIlroy at No. 2; McIlroy is not playing the Farmers Insurance Open, however. Third-ranked Xander Schauffele and 6th-ranked Will Zalatoris are in the field.

Players will each play the South and North Courses in the 1st 2 rounds, with the final 2 rounds being played on the South Course. Both are a par 72, but the South Course is considerably longer at 7,765 yards compared to 7,258 yards for the North Course.

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Farmers Insurance Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:31 p.m. ET.

Tony Finau (+1200)

Finau is bound to break through at Torrey Pines at some point and there’s no better time than now. He’s finished in the top 25 in 7 of his 8 starts here with 4 top 10s, including a T-2 in 2021. Don’t get caught up on the fact that he missed the cut last year.

Will Zalatoris (+2000)

Zalatoris is showing no ill effects from his back injury, notching a T-11 at the Tournament of Champions and a T-36 last week. He finished 2nd here last year and tied for 7th in 2021, so he’s a good fit at Torrey with his length and ball striking. So far this season, he’s hitting 80% of the greens, which ranks 2nd on tour.

Jon Rahm (+400)

An outright winner at +400? It seems crazy, but not as crazy as the combination of Rahm’s current form and his course history. He’s going for his 3rd straight win this season and now tees it up at an event that he’s won before and has 4 other top-10 finishes. His worst finish in this tournament is T-29, which was in 2018 after he won in 2017. Rahm is +100 to finish in the top 5, which might be a better bet, but it’s hard not to like him to win again.

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Farmers Insurance Open picks – Contenders

J.J. Spaun (+5000)

Since November, Spaun hasn’t finished worse than 15th, including a T-12 in his last start at the Sony Open. He tied for 9th here in 2017 and has made the cut 4 times in 6 trips, but he’s never played as well as he is right now coming into the event. He’s a perfect mid-tier target this week at Torrey.

Sahith Theegala (+4000)

Theegala made his Farmers Insurance Open debut last year and finished T-25, which put him on the map a bit at a big event. He has 3 top-10s in 8 starts so far this season and most recently tied for 54th at The American Express. Though he’s not in the absolute best form he could be, he’s a good value at +4000.

Farmers Insurance Open picks – Long shots

Hayden Buckley (+8000)

Buckley nearly claimed his 1st PGA Tour victory at the Sony Open when he finished alone in 2nd, which also extended his made-cut streak to 6 in a row. He missed the cut here in his debut last year but at +8000, he’s a solid long-shot pick as she searches for his 1st win.

Ryan Palmer (+10000)

Palmer tied for 32nd at the Sony Open, which was his only start of the calendar year. But we’re buying him at this price for his tournament history. In 5 starts since 2018, he has 5 top-25 finishes, including 2 runner-ups and another tie for 13th. He just seems to show up when the tour gets to Torrey.

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2023 American Express final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2023 American Express at PGA West’s Stadium Course in La Quinta, Calif.

Three rounds are in the book at the 2023 American Express and only 6 golfers are within 5 strokes of the co-leaders. Below, we look at the 2023 American Express odds entering Sunday’s final round in La Quinta, Calif. Check back throughout the season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Rookie Davis Thompson and Jon Rahm are at 23-under-par 193 and will take a 4-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at PGA West’s Stadium Course (7,187 yards, par 72). Rahm is the No. 2 player in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings while Thompson is ranked 163rd.

Defending champion Hudson Swafford, who won at 23-under 265, left the tour for LIV Golf.

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2023 American Express – Final pairing

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:23 p.m. ET.

Jon Rahm (-220)

The 28-year-old Spaniard, who opened as the favorite to win at +600, shot a 7-under 65 to go with a 64-64 and will try for his 9th career tour title and 2nd in 3 weeks. He won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in Hawaii at 27-under-par.

Davis Thompson (+280)

The 23-year-old pro from the University of Georgia, who opened at +30000 to win, has shot rounds of 62-64-67 and shares the lead with Rahm at 23-under. He’ll go for his 1st tour title in his 16th pro start.

J.T. Poston (+2000)

Golfweek’s 66th-ranked player starts tied for 3rd place 4 strokes back at 19-under after rounds of 65-66-66. He opened at +7000 to win.

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2023 American Express – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 1:45 p.m. ET (Golf Channel at 3 p.m. ET), here are 3 other players to watch as they try to chase down the leader.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+2000): Golfweek’s No. 50 starts tied for 3rd place 4 shots back at 19-under after rounds of 68-67-62. He opened at +10000.

Tom Kim (+3000): He starts tied for 5th place at 18-under after rounds of 69-62-67. Golfweek’s No. 29  player opened at +2000 to win.

Sam Burns (+4000): He starts tied for 5th place 6 shots back at 18-under after rounds of 64-70-64. Golfweek’s No. 34 player opened at +3000.

2023 American Express – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them.

Will Zalatoris (+425 to make top 5): Starts final round tied for 49th place at 11-under with rounds of 69-69-67.

Sung-jae Im (+220 to make top 10): Starts final round tied for 9th place at 17-under with rounds of 65-66-68.

Rickie Fowler (+300 to make top 20): Starts final round tied for 36th place at 12-under with 3 straight rounds of 68.

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2023 American Express prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 American Express with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

After 2 weeks in paradise on Maui and Oahu, the PGA Tour is back in the Continental U.S. for The American Express in California. It’s the 1st leg of the California swing, returning again  to PGA West and La Quinta Country Club.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 American Express odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

It’s an unusually strong field this week by The American Express’ standards, featuring some of the top players in the world – including Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. Rahm is the highest-ranked player in the field at No. 2 in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, followed by Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay.

Players will tee it up on 3 courses this week, playing each in the 1st 3 rounds: Stadium Course (PGA West), La Quinta Country Club and Nicklaus Tournament Course (PGA West). Those who make the cut after 54 holes will play the Stadium Course in the final round.

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The American Express – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3:26  p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+240)

Cantlay has had a lot of success here in an event played in his home state, finishing 9th twice and 2nd in his 3 starts. His odds might feel a little short for a top-5 finish but he’s worth it. His track record at this event is too good to ignore, and he could very well win it outright for the 1st time.

Will Zalatoris (+425)

It might not be a bad idea to get ahead of Zalatoris’ inevitable odds juice as he continues to play in his return from a back injury. At +425, he offers good value for a top-5, which he came close to doing here last year when he tied for 6th. There is some risk with this being just his 2nd tournament of the season, so perhaps make it a smaller wager.

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The American Express – Top-10 picks

Jon Rahm (-130)

Rahm has a win and 2 other top-15 finishes in this event, which he’s played 4 times. He’s the only player without plus-money odds to finish in the top 10, so he’s far and away the favorite. Coming off his Sentry Tournament of Champions win, he’s playing better than anyone in the world right now.

Tony Finau (+150)

In his last 3 starts at The American Express, Finau has gone T-14, 4th and T-40. He enters this week with some stellar play of late having won the Houston Open in November and finished 7th at both the Hero World Challenge and Sentry Tournament of Champions.

Sungjae Im (+220)

Im should probably have shorter odds than this to finish in the top 10, but we’re not going to complain. He’s finished between 10th and 12th in this event in the last 4 years, showing he loves PGA West and La Quinta Country Club. He’s a great pick to win this week, too.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Cameron Davis (+450)
  • Brian Harman (+300)

The American Express – Top-20 picks

Cameron Davis (+210)

Davis finished 3rd in his last trip to The American Express, which followed T-28 and T-29 finishes in the 2 years prior. He only has 1 top-20 this season,  but he’s hovered around there with 4 straight top-37 finishes.

Brian Harman (+150)

Harman has made the cut 8 times in 10 tries here, including 3 top 10s. He’s finished in the top 25 in 5 of his 6 official starts this season, with 2 of those coming in the top 10 and 2 runner-up finishes. Pairing recent form and course history makes Harman a great pick.

Rickie Fowler (+300)

Fowler missed the cut at this tournament last year, but he tied for 10th in 2020 and 21st in 2021. He came in 2nd at the ZOZO Championship in October and appears to have tweaked his swing in a positive way, potentially putting him on track for a big year in 2023.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Harris English (+380)
  • Sahith Theegala (+210)

The American Express – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Brian Harman (+100) vs. Sam Burns (-120)

Burns has played this tournament 3 times and come in the top 20 twice, but I’ll take the value with Harman at plus-money in this matchup. He knows these courses like the back of his hand and should be in contention on Sunday.

Will Zalatoris (-120) vs. Cameron Young (+100)

Young’s short game is really holding him back right now and these aren’t exactly courses where he can overpower with his length off the tee. I’ll take Zalatoris in this matchup after he tied for 6th here last year.

Cameron Davis (-110) vs. Aaron Wise (-110)

Wise has missed the cut here 3 years in a row. He’s a promising player who could have a strong season in 2023, but give me Davis with his course history.

The American Express – Top American

Patrick Cantlay (+700)

I actually like Cantlay to win this week so I’ll gladly take him as the top American, which takes Rahm out of the picture. He still has Scheffler, Schauffele and plenty other Americans to contend with, but eliminating Rahm makes a big difference.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group C winner: Si Woo Kim (+260)

Kim won the Sony Open last week with a come-from-behind performance on Sunday, starting 2023 on a high note. Tom Hoge (+350), Wise (+350), Taylor Montgomery (+350) and Andrew Putnam (+400) are also in this group, but Kim has the edge over them all.

Winning margin: 1 shot (+250)

The winning margin has been 2 shots in 2 of the last 3 years, and was 1 shot in 2021. This event often yields close finishes on Sunday so I’ll go with a margin of 1 shot this year.

Also see: American Express outright winner picks and predicitons

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2023 American Express odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 American Express, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The California swing of the 2023 PGA Tour season kicks off this week at The American Express, which will once again use 3 different courses. Below, we look at the 2023 American Express odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

It’s a star-studded field in the Coachella Valley for The American Express, led by Jon Rahm, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in his last start. Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele will also be in the field

The American Express will be played on the PGA West Stadium (7,187 yards) and Nicklaus Tournament (7,147) courses, as well as La Quinta Country Club (7,060). They all play as par 72. Because this is a pro-am like Pebble Beach, each pairing will play each course in the 1st 3 rounds, with the final round being played at the Stadium Course.

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The American Express – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:01 p.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+2000)

Im has the 3rd-best score to par and the 3rd-most birdies at The American Express in the last 3 years. The No. 13 player in this week’s Sagarin Golfweek rankings shockingly missed the cut at the Sony Open last week, but he tied for 13th at the Tournament of Champions and tied for 8th at the Hero World Challenge. I’ll take him for a bounce-back at a tournament where he’s never finished worse than 12th in 4 starts.

Patrick Cantlay (+1000)

Cantlay gets to play in his home state this week, which often yields positive results for the 30-year-old Long Beach native. In his last 3 starts in this event, he’s come in 9th twice and finished solo 2nd in 2021. This is only his 3rd official start of the season, but he played well the 1st 2 times he teed it up (T-2 and T-16).

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The American Express picks – Contenders

Cam Davis (+4000)

Davis hasn’t finished worse than T-37 in his last 4 starts, with a T-13 at the CJ Cup being his best finish in that stretch. At the Sony Open, he got off to a good start with an opening 66, but he faded a bit and finished T-32. In his last appearance at The American Express, he came in 3rd in 2021 after going T-28 and T-29 the previous 2 years.

Brian Harman (+3000)

It’s hard not to like Harman this week. He’s played this event 10 times, made the cut in 8 of those years and has 3 top-10s. He’s played this event in each of the last 7 years and has only missed the cut once with 6 other top-21 finishes, including top-10s in the last 2 years. Harman comes in red hot, too, with nothing worse than a T-32 this season, including 3 top-10s.

The American Express picks – Long shots

Harris English (+8000)

English has never missed the cut in 7 trips here, though in his last 2 starts (2020 and 2021), he didn’t finish better than T-48. His stock is on the lower side coming into this week after a T-73 at the Sony Open, but he opened the week with a 65 on Thursday last week.

Rickie Fowler (+8000)

Fowler could be poised for a big year in 2023 after making some swing changes and that could start in his home state this week. In 2020 and 2021, Fowler finished in the top-21 here both times before missing the cut in 2022, but he’s playing much better now than he was last year. He tied for 2nd at the ZOZO Championship in October and T-34 a week later.

Also see: American Express best prop bet picks and predicitons

Want some action on the 2023 American Express? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Bet now!

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2023 Sony Open final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2023 Sony Open at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii

Three rounds are in the book at the 2023 Sony Open and 14 golfers are within 5 strokes of the lead. Below, we look at the 2023 Sony Open odds entering Sunday’s final round being played in Honolulu. Check back throughout the season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Hayden Buckley, who opened at +7000 to win, is at 15-under-par 195 and will take a 2-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at Waialae Country Club (7,044 yards, par 70). Buckley is the No. 136 player in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings.

Pre-tournament co-favorites Sungjae Im and Tom Kim (+1200 to win before the opening round) both missed the cut. Defending champion Hideki Matsuyama, who won in a playoff after finishing at 23-under 257, is in 25th place at 8-under after shooting 68-69-65. He opened at +1500 to win.

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2023 Sony Open – Final pairing

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:06 p.m. ET.

Hayden Buckley (+180)

The 26-year-old 2nd-year pro had an eagle on the 10th hole and an eagle on the 18th hole in Saturday’s 6-under 64 to go with a 67-64. He has 3 career top-10 finishes and will try for his 1st career title in his 40th PGA Tour start.

David Lipsky (+700)

The 34-year-old pro, who opened at +10000 to win, starts 2 shots back at 13-under after his 2nd straight 4-under 66 after an opening 65. The No. 90 player in Golfweek’s rankings has 6 career top 10s in 54 tour events.

Ben Taylor (+750)

The 30-year-old Englishman, who opened at +20000 to win, starts 2 shots back  at 13-under after rounds of 66-66-65. Golfweek’s 105th-ranked player is seeking his 1st tour win in his 47th career start.

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2023 Sony Open – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 3 p.m. ET, here are 3 other players to watch as they try to chase down the Buckley.

Chris Kirk (+550): Golfweek’s No. 67th-ranked player starts tied for 2nd at 13-under after rounds of 64-65-68. He opened at +8000.

Si Woo Kim (+1200): He starts tied for 5th place 3 shots back at 12-under after rounds of 67-67-64. Golfweek’s No. 41 opened at +5000.

Andrew Putnam (+900): Golfweek’s No. 63 shot 8-under 62 Saturday to go with a 70-66 and starts tied for 5th place at 12-under. He opened at +5000.

2023 Sony Open – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them.

Hideki Matsuyama (+400 to make top 5): Lots of work to do for you to win this bet as he starts the final round in 25th place at 8-under.

Russell Henley (+240 to make top 10): Starts final round in 32nd place at 7-under with rounds of 67-69-67.

Matt Kuchar (+220 to make top 20): Starts final round in 16th place at 9-under with rounds of 70-67-64.

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2023 Sony Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Sony Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

The 2nd tournament and 1st full-field event of the 2023 calendar year brings the PGA Tour to Honolulu for the 2023 Sony Open at Waialae Country Club. Below, before the 1st round tees off on Thursday, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Sony Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

With many of the top players in the world choosing not to play Hawaii’s 2nd event, the field isn’t as strong as last week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions. Sungjae Im is the highest-ranked player in the field, according to the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, coming in at No. 13. Last year’s champion, Hideki Matsuyama, is also teeing it up; he ranks 22nd.

Waialae Country Club features a completely different layout than Kapalua did last week, featuring very narrow, tree-lined fairways. At Kapalua, the fairways are wide and tough to miss, so players will need to be dialed in off the tee this week.

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Sony Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:07 p.m. ET.

Tom Kim (+230)

It’s really hard not to like Kim every time he tees it up these days. He has such a well-rounded game that it doesn’t matter much which course he’s playing. In 5 starts so far this season, including one unofficial event, he’s had 5 top-25s, 3 top-10s, 2 top-5s and a win. All he does is contend.

Hideki Matsuyama (+400)

Matsuyama won this tournament last year and will be seeking to defend his title. He hasn’t had great results yet this season, but playing a course he’s familiar with could be what he needs to get back on track. Buy low on him here.

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Sony Open – Top-10 picks

Russell Henley (+240)

Henley is 1 of my favorites this week. He lost in a playoff to Matsuyama here last year and tied for 11th the year prior, so he’s come close to winning it before. It’s worth noting that Henley won at Mayakoba in November, too.

Corey Conners (+250)

Conners offers great value, too. His course history is fantastic, finishing 11th, 12th and 3rd in his last 3 appearances. He’s made the cut all 4 years prior and should be among of the favorites to win this week.

Cameron Davis (+350)

In his last start on tour, Davis tied for 13th at the CJ Cup in November. His poor accuracy off the tee is a concern on the narrower fairways at Waialae Country Club, but he’s a great putter and will have short irons or wedges into a lot of greens.

Sony Open – Top-20 picks

Si-Woo Kim (+230)

Kim is 4-for-5 in cuts made at this event and finished 4th in 2016, so he does have some familiarity with the course. He finished 8th at the Shriners Children’s Open in  October, his best showing so far this season.

Matt Kuchar (+220)

Kuchar has won here before, so getting him well into plus money for a top-20 is a decent value – despite his lack of success in recent years. He tied for 7th last year and has 7 top 10s in 17 total trips to the Sony Open.

Webb Simpson (+280)

Simpson hasn’t been playing his best golf recently, really struggling throughout 2022, but he loves this course. He’s made the cut in all 12 appearances at this tournament and has 4 top-10 finishes.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Michael Thompson (+650)
  • Mackenzie Hughes (+220)

Sony Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Tom Kim (-120) vs. Sungjae Im (+100)

It’s not easy to pick between 2 pure ball strikers on this course but I’ll go with Kim. He’s red hot and doesn’t seem ready to cool down any time soon. He finished 3 shots clear of Im last week at Kapalua.

Hideki Matsuyama (+100) vs. Jordan Spieth (-120)

Matsuyama’s quiet Sunday at the Tournament of Champions sunk him down the leaderboard, but he’ll bounce back this week and finish ahead of Spieth, who hasn’t played here since 2019.

Cameron Davis (-110) vs. Keith Mitchell (-110)

Davis’ week will come down to whether he can keep the ball in the fairway because if he can, he’ll be able to attack pins and make enough birdies to contend.

Sony Open – Top American

Russell Henley (+1300)

Henley has the 3rd-best odds to be the top American in the field but he should probably have better odds than the favorite, Spieth (+1000). His iron play and accuracy off the tee set him up well at Waialae.

Sony Open – First-round leader

Si-Woo Kim (+5000)

Let’s get a little crazy. Kim shot 64 at the Shriners Children’s Open, but couldn’t finish the week strong to win the tournament. He has a knack for going really low on Thursday before fading a bit down the stretch.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Corey Conners (+320)

Conners has the 2nd-best odds in this group at +320, behind only Brian Harman (+260). Tom Hoge (+350), Bill Horschel (400) and KH Lee (+425) are also in the group, but Conners has the best course history of the 5.

Also see: Sony Open outright winner picks and predicitons

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2023 Sony Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Sony Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour is staying in Hawaii for another week, heading from Maui to Honolulu for the 2023 Sony Open. This field isn’t as star-studded as what we saw at Kapalua for the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but a handful of players who teed it up last week will remain in Hawaii for this full-field tournament at Waialae Country Club.

Below, we look at the 2023 Sony Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Headlining the field this week is budding star Tom Kim, along with Sungjae Im, Jordan Spieth and Brian Harman. The defending champion, Hideki Matsuyama, will also be teeing it up at Waialae this week after finishing tied for 21st in the Tournament of Champions.

Waialae Country Club is a vastly different course than the 1 played last week in Maui. It’s a par 70 and is 7,044 yards long, featuring much narrower fairways than the ones at Kapalua, which are some of the widest on tour. Matsuyama won in a playoff over Russell Henley last year with a 72-hole score of 23-under.

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Sony Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:18 p.m. ET.

Russell Henley (+2000)

In 10 appearances here, Henley has made the cut 7 times and cracked the top 10 twice. Last year he lost to Matsuyama in a playoff after finishing 23-under, 4 shots clear of the rest of the field. Henley, the No. 50 player in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, already has 1 win this season in Mayakoba and no player has been more accurate off the tee than him this season, hitting 76.5% of the fairways. That’ll give him an edge on a narrow course.

Corey Conners (+2000)

Conners is making his 5th start in this tournament and made the cut every year. In his last 3 starts in this event, he finished 11th, 12th and 3rd. He finished in the middle of the pack last week, tying for 18th in the 39-player field, but I see a better finish coming this week.

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Sony Open picks – Contenders

Matt Kuchar (+4000)

Kuchar won the Sony Open in 2019 and tied for 7th last year after missed cuts in 2020 and 2021. In his last start this season in the December QBE Shootout, he and Harris English finished 3rd. That’s not a direct indication of how he’s playing now since it’s not a traditional tournament, but I’ll take a shot on his course history.

Si Woo Kim (+5000)

Kim can run hot and cold so it’s hard to predict when he’ll be on. He’s made the cut 4 of 5 times here, including a 4th-place finish in 2016. At the Shriners Children’s Open in October, he tied for 8th and came out firing with a 1st-round 64.

Sony Open picks – Long shots

Webb Simpson (+6000)

Simpson’s odds are long this week because he simply hasn’t played well in the last year. However, now might be a good time to buy low on him at a tournament he’s had 4 top 10s in – as well as a perfect 12-for-12 made-cut record.

Michael Thompson (+20000)

Thompson is a real long shot, but he’s worth a small wager after he tied for 5th here last year. He has made the cut 7 times in 11 attempts in this tournament. He has 2 top 10s and while he may not be playing at a particularly high level right now, last year’s showing proved he can contend here.

Also see: Sony Open best prop bet picks and predictions

Want some action on the 2023 Sony Open? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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