Following Max Homa’s win at the Farmers Insurance Open last week, the PGA Tour remains in California for the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. It’ll feature another 3-course rotation, with play concluding at Pebble Beach on Sunday afternoon.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The field is headlined by Jordan Spieth, a perennial participant in this great event. He’s No. 38 in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings and is tied with Matt Fitzpatrick, the 10th-ranked golfer, as the betting favorite (+900). Viktor Hovland is also teeing it up this week and he’s ranked 14th by Golfweek, the 2nd-highest-ranked player in the field.
Players will be taking on three different courses this week: Pebble Beach (6,972 yards, par 72), Spyglass Hill (7,041, 72) and Monterey Peninsula Country Club (6,957, 71). The cut will be made at 54 holes, with the remaining players finishing the event at Pebble on Sunday.
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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:53 p.m. ET.
Maverick McNealy (+380)
McNealy already has 2 career top-5 finishes in this tournament, and he’s playing better right now than he has at almost any point in his career. With 7 made cuts in his last 8 starts, McNealy has shown some consistency this season. He’s a nice fit for this event, which shows in his track record here.
Seamus Power (+425)
Power posted his best career finish at this event last year with a T-9, his 1st top 10. Furthermore, he’s dominating right now with 1 win, 3 top-5s and 4 top-25s in his last 4 starts. He’s among the hottest players on the planet and that should continue this week.
Joel Dahmen (+750)
Dahmen has 3 straight top-10 finishes this season and has made the cut in each of his 5 starts in this tournament. Additionally, he’s come in the top 15 in 2 of the last 3 years here. It’s a perfect combination of course history and recent form.
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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-10 picks
Jordan Spieth (+140)
Spieth never misses this event, playing every year since 2013. He’s made the cut all 10 times and has only finished outside the top 25 once. In 6 of his 10 starts at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, he’s finished in the top 10. Getting him at plus money for a top-10 finish is good value.
Beau Hossler (+550)
Hossler is a long-shot pick for a top 10, but he finished alone in 3rd here last year so he’s cracked the top 10 before. His short game could put him in contention, but he’ll need to be much better off the tee and into the greens than he has been this season; he’s 150th on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green.
Viktor Hovland (+140)
Hovland is back in action for the 1st time in a few weeks, seeking to continue what’s been a fantastic season so far. He doesn’t have a finish worse than T-21 and only has 4 rounds over 69 in 4 official starts this season. He tied for 38th in his only start here in 2020.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top-20 picks
Matt Fitzpatrick (-140)
Fitzpatrick tied for 6th here last year and should once again be in contention. Cracking the top 20 in a field where he’s the only top-10 player in the world shouldn’t be terribly difficult and even at -110, he’s a good bet.
Russell Knox (+260)
Since 2018, Knox has 3 top-20 finishes in 5 years, including a T-7, T-14 and T-15. He’s made the cut in 7 straight starts this season so he comes into this week in good form. His odds should probably be shorter for a top-20.
Troy Merritt (+350)
Betting Merritt is based on his course history, finishing in the top 25 in this event in his last 4 starts. That can be a little bit risky, seeing as his best finish in his last 3 starts this season is a T-65, but he’s worth a shot.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Seamus Power (-120) vs. Justin Rose (+100)
Power is playing better than most golfers on the planet right now, which makes it somewhat surprising that he’s only -120 to finish better than Rose this week. Rose has only played this event 3 times and finished 62nd and T-39 in his last 2 starts here.
Maverick McNealy (-110) vs. Tom Hoge (-110)
Betting against the defending champion can be a scary proposition as Hoge goes for back-to-back wins here, but McNealy actually has a better track record with 2 top-10s compared to Hoge’s 1.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – Top English
Matt Fitzpatrick (+110)
Fitzpatrick’s stiffest competition to be the top Englishman is Rose, whose odds are +270. Other than that, the other 5 Englishmen in the field are +10000 or longer to win this bet. It’s hard not to like Fitzpatrick, who played well here last year.
More expert prop bet predictions
Group B winner: Seamus Power (+280)
This group includes Power, Rose (+320), Andrew Putnam (+350), Keith Mitchell (+350) and Matt Kuchar (+400). Mitchell and Kuchar could be dangerous in this group but Power’s recent form gives him the edge.
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Golfweek:
- Max Homa follows PGA Tour win with $400 muni skins game payout in Phoenix
- PGA Tour Q-School to be hosted in 2023 at TPC Sawgrass and neighboring Sawgrass CC
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