This week’s 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, is the final event on the PGA Tour schedule before a one-week break for the Summer Olympics in Tokyo, Japan. Below, we look at the 2021 3M Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.
There’s a relatively strong field in attendance following Collin Morikawa’s win at the 149th British Open. Dustin Johnson is the most prominent name and the pre-tournament betting favorite while ranked fifth in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings (as of Monday, July 12).
It’s the third running of the event at TPC Twin Cities. Michael Thompson won by two strokes at minus-19 last year, after Matthew Wolff beat Bryson DeChambeau and Morikawa by a stroke in the inaugural event in 2019.
2021 3M Open picks – Favorite
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:45 p.m. ET.
Matthew Wolff (+3000)
Wolff has played this event twice with a win in 2019 and a T-12 showing last year. His putting was much improved in 2020, but he wasn’t nearly as strong from tee to green as he was in 2019 when he averaged a field-best 3.33 strokes gained per round.
Wolff surprisingly withdrew from the British Open without providing a reason, but he had recently returned to form with a T-15 finish at the US Open following a lengthy break.
He followed it up with a missed cut at the Travelers Championship but a T-58 result at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in only his second three-week stretch of competitive golf this year.
No one with more than one appearance at the 3M Open has averaged more strokes gained on the field per round than Wolff’s 2.49.
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2021 3M Open picks – Contender
Richy Werenski (+6600)
Werenski has also played this event twice with a T-46 finish in 2019 and a T-3 last year. He was second behind Thompson among those who made the cut with 1.75 Strokes Gained: Putting per round in 2020.
He missed the cut in 14 of 29 events since winning last year’s Barracuda Championship. His first PGA Tour win followed a strong showing in this event and also came at a course where he had a strong history with a playoff loss in 2017.
His odds are boosted following another missed cut in the weak field of the Barbasol Championship last week but this course should spark a return to form.
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2021 3M Open picks – Long shot
Brian Stuard (+10000)
Stuard tied for eighth and for 15th at the John Deere Classic and Barbasol Championship, respectively, in back-to-back weeks. They were his two best results through 22 events in 2021.
He has never played this event before but is a great value at these odds based on his current form and third-place ranking in driving accuracy for the 2020-21 season. Just a $10 bet would return a profit of $1,000.
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