Category: PGA Tour odds

2023 Wells Fargo Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

It’s another loaded field this week at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship, which has returned to Quail Hollow Club after a year at TPC Potomac. This is the latest designated event on the PGA Tour schedule and features some of the biggest names, including Rory McIlroy, Patrick Cantlay and Jordan Spieth. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning from Charlotte, N.C.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Two names missing from this field are Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm, but there’s still plenty of firepower. In addition to McIlroy, Cantlay and Spieth, Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele and Cameron Young are also in the field and among the favorites to win at Quail Hollow this week.

Quail Hollow Club is 7,538 yards and plays as a par-71, often ranking among the toughest courses on tour. It took a year off from hosting the Wells Fargo in 2022 as the course prepared to host the Presidents Cup, but major championships have been held here in the past, including the 2017 PGA Championship (won by Justin Thomas).

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Wells Fargo Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3:11 p.m. ET.

Max Homa (+450)

The defending champ has already won this event here, breaking through back in 2019. He also played really well at Quail Hollow in the Presidents Cup last year, helping lead the Americans to a win. He comes in with 2 top-10s in his last 4 starts and has already won twice this season.

Patrick Cantlay (+260)

Cantlay hasn’t won yet this season, but he has finished in the top 10 in more than half of his starts (6 of 11). Course history isn’t on his side after missing the cut in 2021, but his game translates everywhere and he’s great at avoiding bogeys, a critical stat at this venue.

Sungjae Im (+450)

Im has been on a tear lately, making the cut in 15 of his 16 starts this season with top-20 finishes in each of his last 4 stroke-play events – including two 6th-place finishes and a T-7. He came in 31st here in 2019 but is a legitimate contender this week.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Rickie Fowler (+600)
  • Jason Day (+500)
  • Viktor Hovland (+400)

Wells Fargo Championship – Top-10 picks

Jason Day (+240)

Day is due for a win. He has 11 top-10s in 14 events played this season, along with 6 top-10s. And now he comes to a course where he won in 2018 and finished 9th the year prior in 2017. He should be in contention this week as he seeks his 1st win on tour in 5 years.

Cam Davis (+650)

Davis should have shorter odds than he does this week. He has 2 top-10 finishes in his last 4 starts and finished 26th in the Wells Fargo Championship in 2021. He’s trending up coming into this week’s designated event.

Rickie Fowler (+275)

Fowler’s outright odds of +3300 feel a bit short, but there’s still value to be had with the 2012 champion. In his last 5 starts at Quail Hollow, he’s finished in the top 5 three times, just to show how well he’s played here. He’s a good bet for a top-10.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Keith Mitchell (+450)

Wells Fargo Championship – Top-20 picks

Webb Simpson (+400)

In his last Wells Fargo Championship appearances, Simpson has 2 top-25s and 3 top-35 finishes. It hasn’t been the best season for him with 6 missed cuts in 11 events, but he’s close to home in North Carolina and has played well here in the past.

Brian Harman (+240)

Harman has played Quail Hollow 5 times since 2016 and has finished in the top 35 four times. He’s coming off a T-7 at the RBC Heritage a few weeks ago and already has 7 top-25s in 15 starts this season.

Gary Woodland (+220)

Woodland isn’t having a spectacular season by any means, but he’s been a consistent cut-maker and comes to a course where he finished 5th in 2021. He also finished 24th in 2016 and 22nd at the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Joel Dahmen (+375)
  • Cam Davis (+300)
  • Jason Day (+110)

Wells Fargo Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Viktor Hovland (-110) vs. Jordan Spieth (-110)

This is a matchup between two guys who rarely play Quail Hollow. Spieth finished 28th at the 2017 PGA Championship and Hovland came in 3rd two years ago at the Wells Fargo Championship, so they’ve both played well here. But I’ll take Hovland and his ball striking, which will be critical on a difficult course where par is often good enough.

Jason Day (-130) vs. Sam Burns (+105)

In the last 5 tournaments held at Quail Hollow, Burns has only played 2 of them and finished 55th with a WD the other year. Day, on the other hand, won here in 2018 and came in 9th in 2017, so he’s thrived here in the past.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top Continental Europe

Viktor Hovland (+110)

Stephan Jaeger (+500) is the 2nd-favorite to be the top continental European this week, which makes Hovland the heavy favorite. He should be. Following a 3rd-place finish in 2021, he clearly has the game to succeed at Quail Hollow.

Wells Fargo Championship – First-round leader

Tommy Fleetwood (+5000)

Fleetwood fired a 1st-round 67 en route to a 14th-place finish at this tournament in 2021. He’s a good iron player and hits greens at a high rate, which will give him birdie looks on a tough course.

Justin Thomas (+3300)

Thomas can’t be happy with the way he’s played this season. However, this could be the event that jumpstarts him heading into the 2nd major. He won here in 2017 at the PGA Championship.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Max Homa (+400)

Homa has the longest odds in this group, behind Cameron Young (+300), Collin Morikawa (+350), Hovland (+350) and Im (+375). As much as I like Im and Hovland this week, Homa’s odds are too long to pass up.

Winning margin: 1 shot (+240)

In a loaded field on a difficult course, the scores should be close down the stretch, leading to a dramatic finish. A 1-shot margin is the best way to play this.

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2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The next designated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club. Many of the biggest names in the game will be in the field for this event, which has a purse of $20 million. The 1st round begins Thursday morning in Charlotte, N.C.

Below, we look at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rory McIlroy headlines this field with Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler taking the week off, but Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth and Tony Finau will all be teeing it up in Charlotte. Defending champion Max Homa is also in the field as there are 8 past champions of this event playing this week.

Quail Hollow didn’t host the Wells Fargo Championship last year because it was preparing to host the Presidents Cup, so the tournament was held at TPC Potomac. Now back at Quail Hollow, McIlroy will be looking to win here again after he claimed the title in 2021. This 7,538-yard par-71 course is among the toughest on tour, ranking as the 5th-hardest in 2021 when it last hosted the Wells Fargo Championship.

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Wells Fargo Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:34 p.m. ET.

Max Homa (+2200)

Homa also won this event in 2019 and was a star at the 2022 Presidents Cup, which was held at Quail Hollow. He doesn’t have a single weakness in his game and though he missed the cut in his last event at the RBC Heritage, he’s having a fantastic season with 2 wins already.

Jason Day (+2500)

Day was in contention at the Masters until he fell apart on the final few holes in the 2nd round. He’s having a great 2023 season even though he hasn’t won yet, finishing in the top 25 in 11 of his 14 starts this season. His short game, which ranks 19th on tour in strokes gained, makes him a good fit for Quail Hollow.

Patrick Cantlay (+1200)

Cantlay has played 11 events so far this season and has 9 top-25 finishes with 6 top 10s, too. He missed the cut here in 2021, but with this being a difficult course that often comes down to bogey avoidance, he should play well; he ranks 8th on tour in that category.

Wells Fargo Championship picks – Contenders

Gary Woodland (+6600)

Woodland finished 5th at Quail Hollow in 2021 and has made the cut in each of his last 5 starts this season, including 3 top-40s and a top-20 at the Masters. He’s making cuts, but not finishing near the top of leaderboards, but at some point this season, he should break through and this could be the week for the former U.S. Open champ.

Brian Harman (+6600)

Harman has a good track record at Quail Hollow in his last 2 starts, finishing tied for 18th and 24th in 2019 and 2021. At the RBC Heritage last month, he tied for 7th and has 7 top-25 finishes in 15 starts this season.

Wells Fargo Championship picks – Long shots

Joel Dahmen (+12500)

Dahmen has been struggling a bit this season, but he played well at the Zurich Classic with Denny McCarthy, finishing tied for 11th in New Orleans. This course seems to fit his eye, tying for 11th and 18th in his last 2 starts at Quail Hollow for the Wells Fargo Championship.

Cam Davis (+9000)

Davis was battling an illness earlier this season, which caused him to struggle and miss 5 straight cuts. He seems to be past that now, though, and tied for 6th at the Players Championship and 7th at the RBC Heritage. In 2021 at the Wells Fargo Championship, he tied for 26th.

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2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta in Vallarta, Mexico

Three rounds are in the book at the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta and only 4 golfers are within 6 strokes of the lead. Below, we look at the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta odds entering Sunday’s final round being played in Vallarta, Mexico. Check back throughout the season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Tony Finau, who opened at +900 to win, is at 19-under-par 194 and will take a 2-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at Vidanta Vallarta (7,456 yards, par 71). Finau is No. 5 in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings.

Pre-tournament favorite and defending champion Jon Rahm (+240 before the opening round) is tied for 2nd place at 17-under after 3 rounds. The No. 1 player in Golfweek’s rankings won last year at 17-under 267.

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2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta – Final pairing

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

Tony Finau (-120)

The 33-year-old pro shot a 6-under 65 Saturday to go with a 65-64 and will try for his 5th career title and 2nd of this season after winning the Houston Open. Finau has made 22 birdies and 3 bogeys through 54 holes.

Jon Rahm (-165)

The 28-year-old pro shot a bogey-free 10-under 61 Saturday to go with a 68-67 to shoot up the leaderboard. He will try for his 12th career title and 5th of the season. He’ s the No. 1 player in Golfweek’s rankings and in the Official World Golf Rankings.

Akshay Bhatia (+900)

The 21-year-old Los Angeles native, who opened at +10000 to win, shot an 8-under 63 Saturday to go with a 68-65 and is tied for 2nd at 17-under 196. He starts 2 shots back in his bid for his 1st career title in his 28th PGA Tour event. He’ s the No. 300 player in Golfweek’s rankings.

2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 12:47 p.m. ET (1-3 p.m. ET Golf Channel; 3-6 p.m. ET CBS), here are 2 other players to watch as they try to chase down the Finau.

Brandon Wu (+000): Golfweek’s No. 107 player starts in 4th place 3 shots back at 16-under after rounds of 66-64-67. He opened at +5500.

Will Gordon (+12500): He starts in 5th place 6 shots back at 13-under after rounds of 67-66-67. Golfweek’s No. 74 player opened at +6600.

2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them — all winners.

Tony Finau (+150 to make top 5): You can start deciding how to spend the winnings — if you bet it.

Brandon Wu (+400 to make top 10): See the above note on Finau with Wu starting in 4th place.

Akshay Bhatia (+333 to make top 20): See the above 2 notes with Bhatia starting tied for 2nd.

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2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

Jon Rahm, the No. 1 player in the world, will look to defend his title at the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta this week. The 1st round from Nuevo Vallarta, Mexico, will begin on Thursday morning with the champion being crowned on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rahm remains the No. 1 player in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. Tony Finau, who ranks 5th on the list, is also in Mexico this week. Wyndham Clark comes in at No. 21 in Golfweek’s rankings and he has the 3rd-best odds of any player to win at Vidanta.

This is only the 2nd year of the Mexico Open as a PGA Tour event, being hosted once again by Vidanta Vallarta. It’s a par 71 and is 7,456 yards long with wide fairways, which gives longer hitters an advantage. The course was designed by Greg Norman and only opened in 2015, so it’s relatively new.

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Mexico Open at Vidanta – Top-5 pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:51 p.m. ET.

Tony Finau (+150)

With Rahm being such a heavy favorite and this being a weaker field, there aren’t many players I’m comfortable taking for a top 5. There’s just so much volatility and uncertainty with this field, but Finau is a good bet at +150. He finished 2nd last year and hasn’t finished worse than 31st in his last 4 stroke-play events.

Mexico Open at Vidanta – Top-10 picks

Gary Woodland (+190)

Woodland has finished T-14 and T-31 in his last 2 starts this season, continuing what’s quietly been a solid season for the former U.S. Open champion. He hits it long enough to win here and tied for 24th in this event a year ago, so he should find himself in contention again.

Nicolai Hojgaard (+250)

Hojgaard has 5 top-40 finishes (including 2 top-10s) in his last 5 starts worldwide and is playing at a very high level coming into the Mexico Open. He didn’t play this event last year, so he doesn’t have any course experience, but he has the game to win here.

Brandon Wu (+400)

Like Finau, Wu tied for 2nd in this tournament last year so he played well at Vidanta and nearly won the whole thing as a long shot. His recent form hasn’t been great, missing 2 of his last 3 cuts, but prior to that, he notched 2 top-20 finishes at the Honda Classic and Players Championship.

Mexico Open at Vidanta – Top-20 picks

David Lipsky (+260)

Lipsky isn’t playing great right now, finishing in the top 60 only once in his last 5 starts. However, he tied for 6th in this tournament a year ago and he partnered up with Aaron Rai to finish 13th at the Zurich Classic last week.

Lanto Griffin (+260)

Griffin tied for 15th at the Valero Texas Open before missing the cut at the RBC Heritage. He tied for 15th in the Mexico Open last year, fitting well on this course. In a weaker field, I could see him notching another top 20 at this tournament.

Akshay Bhatia (+333)

Bhatia ranks 28th in strokes gained: approach and 22nd in birdie average, showing he’s hitting a good number of his approaches close and converting birdies at a high rate. The winning score was 17-under last year so birdies are available, making Bhatia a worthwhile long shot.

Mexico Open at Vidanta – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Gary Woodland (-125) vs. Byeong-Hun An (+100)

There aren’t a whole lot of matchup options available this week but Woodland against An is enticing. An tied for 6th at the Valero Texas Open but he didn’t play this course last year, which gives Woodland, who tied for 24th, a slight edge in the experience department.

Mexico Open at Vidanta – Top European

Jon Rahm (-125)

Rahm’s lines are all juiced this week but one way to bet him is to be the top European. His odds are longer this way than they are for a top-5 (-175), which makes this a better value. Hojgaard is the next favorite at +750, followed by Alex Noren at +1100. I expect Rahm to beat all of the Europeans in the field.

Mexico Open at Vidanta – Top English

Matt Wallace (+275)

Wallace has been up and down this season, going T-7, 1st and T-28 in three straight starts before missing cuts in back-to-back events. He has the 2nd-best odds to be the top English player this week, behind only Aaron Rai (+175), but I definitely like his chances.

Mexico Open at Vidanta – First-round leader

Jon Rahm (+900)

Rahm has the best 1st-round scoring average on tour this season at 67.6. He’s well-rested after skipping the Zurich Classic last week and should come out firing at a course he won on last year.

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2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour is heading south to Mexico where Jon Rahm will look to defend his title at the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta. The reigning Masters champion headlines the field at Vidanta, along with Tony Finau and Wyndham Clark. The 1st round tees off Thursday morning from Nuevo Vallarta, Mexico.

Below, we look at the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

After only taking 1 week off for the Zurich Classic, Rahm is back on the course. He has a win and a top-15 in his last 2 starts, giving him 4 wins and 8 top-25s in 11 starts this season. He’s the No. 1 player in the world and he and Finau (No. 16) are the only players in the field ranked in the top 20. Rahm is heavily favored (+240) to win this event for the second straight year.

Vidanta Vallarta is a par 71 and plays at 7,456 yards, so it’s on the longer side. It’s a newer course that opened in 2015 and only began hosting this event in 2022, so it’s not a venue many players have much history on. Long hitters seem to have an edge on this course, partly thanks to the wider fairways.

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Mexico Open at Vidanta – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:29 a.m. ET.

Gary Woodland (+2800)

It’s hard to find much value at the top of the board with Rahm at +240 and Finau at +750, but Woodland is a solid choice on that 2nd tier. He tied for 24th in this event last year and has gone T-14 and T-31 in his last 2 starts this season, so he comes in with some momentum. He also ranks 13th in strokes gained: off the tee, which is a key statistic for a course like this.

Nicolai Hojgaard (+3300)

Hojgaard has only played 3 PGA Tour events this season, including last week’s Zurich Classic. He’s finished 2nd, T-28 and 32nd in those starts, with that 2nd-place finish coming at the Corales Puntacana Championship. It’s a small sample size, but he averages 324 yards off the tee, which would rank 2nd on tour if he qualified.

Mexico Open at Vidanta picks – Contenders

Brandon Wu (+5500)

Wu tied for 2nd in this event last year, also ranking 2nd in average strokes gained in the 2022 Mexico Open. He’s made the cut 13 of 19 times this season and tied for 26th at the Zurich Classic last week, though he has been a bit up-and-down lately: 3 top-10s and 3 missed cuts in his last 9 starts.

David Lipsky (+6600)

Lipsky tied for 6th at the 2022 Mexico Open and he and Aaron Rai combined to finish 13th at the Zurich Classic last week, a solid week for the longshots in New Orleans. He’s not a long hitter, which would seem to work against him at a course that favors bombers, but it didn’t hurt him last year when he came in the top 10.

Mexico Open at Vidanta picks – Long shot

Akshay Bhatia (+10000)

Bhatia ranks 22nd in birdie average this season, which is a good indicator as he’s set to play a course that had a winning score of 17-under last year. He has 3 top-25s this season and is 28th in strokes gained: approach. He’s once again a long shot but the promising young player could break through with a good week

Brent Grant (+15000)

Grant is 22nd in driving distance and 21st in strokes gained: off the tee, which will help him this week on a longer course with wide fairways. His best finish was a T-8 at the Corales Puntacana Championship this season.

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2023 Zurich Classic final-round odds, golf teams to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans at TPC Louisiana.

Three rounds are in the book at the 2023 Zurich Classic and 8 teams are within 5 strokes of the lead. Below, we look at the 2023 Zurich Classic odds entering Sunday’s final round being played in New Orleans. Check back throughout the season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Leaders Wyndham Clark and Beau Hossler, who opened at +2800 to win, are at 26-under-par 190 and will take a 1-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at TPC Louisiana (7,425 yards, par 72). Clark is the No. 21 player in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings while Hossler is No. 103.

Pre-tournament favorites and defending champs Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele (+350 before the opening round) are tied for 10th place at 20-under after rounds of 67-63-66. Cantlay and Schauffele won last year with a record 29-under-par 259.

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2023 Zurich Classic – Final pairing

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:34 a.m. ET.

Wyndham Clark/Beau Hossler (+150)

The pair shot a 10-under 62 in better-ball play Saturday to maintain a 1-shot lead through 3 rounds. They have been atop the leaderboard all 3 days and have not made a bogey in 54 holes.

Sungjae Im/Keith Mitchell (+170)

The pair also went bogey free with 10 birdies to remain 1 shot back at 25-under. Their highlights included Im’s 23-foot birdie putt on No. 3. Im is the No. 9 player in Golfweek’s rankings, Mitchell is  38th.

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2023 Zurich Classic – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 1:35 p.m. ET (1-3 p.m. ET Golf Channel, 3-6 p.m. ET CBS), here are 3 other teams to watch as they try to chase down the Clark and Hossler.

Vincent Norrman/Matthias Schwab (+1800): Start tied for 3rd at 23-under after rounds of 64-67-62. Norrman is Golfweek’s No. 242 player and Schwab is No. 271. They opened at +12500.

Taylor Moore/Matthew NeSmith (+1000): Tied for 3rd at 23-under after rounds of 64-66-63. Moore is Golfweek’s No. 45 player, NeSmith No. 156. They opened at +2800.

Nick Hardy/Davis Riley (+1100): Start 3 shots back at 23-under after rounds of 64-66-63. Riley is Golfweek’s No. 75 player, Hardy No. 89. They opened at +3300.

2023 Zurich Classic – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 2 of them.

Im/Mitchell (+230 to make top 5): Sure looking good as they start Sunday in 2nd place.

J.J. Spaun/Hayden Buckley (+225 to make top 10): Start final round tied for 13th place at 19-under after rounds 66-66-65.

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2023 Zurich Classic odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Zurich Classic, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

Following 2 events with loaded fields at the Masters and RBC Heritage, the PGA Tour will pivot to a unique event in New Orleans. The 2023 Zurich Classic is next on the schedule, a team tournament at TPC Louisiana. The 1st round will begin on Thursday with the final round on Sunday.

Below, we look at the 2023 Zurich Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The format of this event is fourball on Thursday and alternate shot on Friday. Following the 36-hole cut, the remaining teams will play fourball on Saturday and Sunday to determine the champion.

Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele are the favorites (+350) to win this week, seeking to defend their title after winning last year with a record-setting 29-under-par week. Collin Morikawa and Max Homa are among the new tandems in the field, as well. Billy Horschel and Sam Burns finished 2nd last year and will be partnering up again this year.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 and plays at 7,425 yards with water hazards and bunkers all over the course. However, low scores will be had in this format, as we saw last year with Cantlay and Schauffele shooting a tournament-record 259 across the 4 rounds.

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Zurich Classic – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:56 p.m. ET.

Si Woo Kim/Tom Kim (+1400)

Kim and Kim paired up once at the Presidents Cup last year and beat the duo of Cantlay and Schauffele 1-up in their fourball match. They’re both playing relatively well right now, though Tom Kim’s missed cut at the RBC Heritage was a surprise and a disappointment.

Sungjae Im/Keith Mitchell (+1200)

Im tied for 14th here last year with Byeong Hun An, helped by rounds of 65 and 64 on Thursday and Saturday, respectively. Im was in contention after a 5-under front 9 on Sunday at the RBC Heritage before fading on the back 9, while Mitchell had made 7 straight cuts before missing last week.

Zurich Classic picks – Contenders

J.J. Spaun/Hayden Buckley (+3300)

Buckley missed the cut here last year with Alex Smalley. Spaun didn’t play in the event in 2022. Buckley is riding a lot of momentum coming into this week after tying for 10th at the Valero Texas Open and 5th at the RBC Heritage. He should be able to continue that strong play here with a steady partner like Spaun, who has 8 top-25s in 16 starts this season.

Joel Dahmen/Denny McCarthy (+4000)

Dahmen started last week with a 5-under 66 on Thursday but shot 75 in Round 2 to miss the cut at the RBC Heritage. McCarthy tied for 25th in Hilton Head, another solid showing from him. Dahmen tied for 29th in this event last year with Stephan Jaeger as his partner.

Zurich Classic picks – Long shot

Ryan Brehm/Mark Hubbard (+15000)

Brehm and Hubbard are running it back together this year after tying for 14th a season ago. They’re a long shot for a reason, with Brehm missing 16 of 20 cuts this season, but this is a different type of event that will make things easier on him with a partner like Hubbard.

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2023 RBC Heritage final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2023 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, S.C.

Three rounds are in the book at the 2023 RBC Heritage and 19 golfers are within 5 strokes of the lead. Below, we look at the 2023 RBC Heritage odds entering Sunday’s final round being played in Hilton Head Island, S.C. Check back throughout the season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Matt Fitzpatrick, who opened at +2800 to win, is at 14-under-par 199 and will take a 1-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at Harbour Town Golf Links (7,121 yards, par 71). Fitzpatrick is the No. 35 player in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings.

Pre-tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler (+750 before the opening round) is in tied for 4th place while defending champion Jordan Spieth, who won at  13-under 275,< is in 3rd place.

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2023 RBC Heritage – Final pairing

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:16 p.m. ET.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+240)

The 28-year-old pro shot an 8-under 63 in the 3rd round to vault into the lead at 14-under 199 after shooting 66-70 in the 1st 2 rounds. Fitzpatrick had 6 birdies and an eagle in Saturday’s round and has only 3 bogeys through 3 rounds. He’ll try for his 2nd tour title.

Patrick Cantlay (+260)

The 31-year-old pro, who opened at +1200 to win, shot a 5-under 66 Saturday to go with a 69-65 and will try for his 9th career title. He’ s the No. 5 player in Golfweek’s rankings.

Jordan Spieth (+550)

The 20-year-old pro, who opened at +2000 to successfully defend his title, shot a 5-under 66 to go with a 68-67 and will try for his 14th career title. He’s the No. 15 player in Golfweek’s rankings.

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2023 RBC Heritage – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 1 p.m. ET (1-3 p.m. ET Golf Channel; 3-6 p.m. ET CBS), here are 3 other players to watch as they try to chase down Fitzpatrick.

Scottie Scheffler (+700): Golfweek’s No. 3 player and the pre-tournament favorite starts tied for 4th place 3 shots back at 11-under after rounds of 68-65-69. He opened at +750.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2000): He starts tied for 4th at 11-under after rounds of 69-65-68. Golfweek’s No. 23 player opened at +5500.

Taylor Moore (+2800): He starts in 4th place 3 shots back at 11-under after rounds of 68-67-67. Golfweek’s No. 50 player opened at +12500.

2023 RBC Heritage – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them.

Patrick Cantlay (+260 to make top 5): Start thinking how you will spend the winnings — if you bet it.

Sungjae Im (+500 to make top 5): Has work cut out for him. Starts final round tied for 16th place at 9-under with rounds of 66-72-66.

Tommy Fleetwood (+225 to make top 20): Sure looks like a lock right now.

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2023 RBC Heritage prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 RBC Heritage with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

There will be no break for the best players in the world coming out of Augusta. Most of them will be in the field again this week for the 2023 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, the next designated event on the PGA Tour schedule.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 RBC Heritage odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Masters champion Jon Rahm will tee it up again this week and he comes in as the No. 1 player in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. All of the top 6 players in the rankings are in the field this week, as well: Xander Schauffele, Scottie Scheffler, Tony Finau, Patrick Cantlay and Max Homa. Rory McIlroy is No. 7, but he withdrew on Monday.

Harbour Town is a much different course than Augusta National, playing as a par 71 and just 7,121 yards. There are water hazards and bunkers all over the course, protecting greens and making for some difficult tee shots into narrow fairways. Great ball strikers will have a big advantage this week with tight fairways and small greens.

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RBC Heritage – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:41 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+260)

Cantlay lost to Jordan Spieth in a playoff last year, which was his 4th top-10 finish here and his 3rd top-5. He seems to love Harbour Town, making the cut 4 out of 5 times. His odds are pretty short for a top-5, but with 3 such finishes already on his resume here, it’s worth betting.

Collin Morikawa (+400)

A shorter course that emphasizes accuracy off the tee and into greens makes this a perfect fit for Morikawa, who’s trending in the right direction after a top 10 at the Masters. He tied for 7th here in 2021, his best finish in 3 tries. He should be considered a favorite to win this week.

Sungjae Im (+500)

Im is an elite ball striker who excels at courses where the scores dip deep into red territory. He tied for 13th and 21st in his last 2 starts at the RBC Heritage, proving to be a good fit at Harbour Town. He finished 16th at the Masters last week, his 3rd straight top 25 this season.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Cameron Young (+450)
  • Jordan Spieth (+400)

RBC Heritage – Top-10 picks

Cameron Young (+200)

Young tied for 3rd in his tournament debut last year, using his power to hit long irons and fairway woods off the tee instead of his driver. He’s fresh off a 7th-place finish at the Masters and was the runner-up at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, performing extremely well since putting Paul Tesori on the bag.

Tom Kim (+333)

Kim won the Wyndham Championship last year at Sedgefield, which is 10 yards longer than Harbour Town. It’s a similar course with small greens, making this a great opportunity for Kim. His odds for a top 10 are too good to pass up and he could very well go on to win here.

Collin Morikawa (+175)

For all the reasons listed above, I would also consider taking Morikawa for a top-10 finish. It’s a bit safer than a top 5 and at +175, you’re still getting him at a great number in an event that fits his game perfectly.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Keegan Bradley (+650)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+500)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+333)

RBC Heritage – Top-20 picks

Tommy Fleetwood (+225)

Fleetwood tied for 10th here last year and 25th in 2019, so he’s found success at Harbour Town before. He also ranks 12th in SG: tee-to-green, which might be the most indicative stat in this event.

Russell Henley (+188)

Henley tied for 4th at the Masters last week, continuing what’s already been a good season for him. He also notched a top-20 at the Players Championship by finishing tied for 19th, using his impressive iron play to pepper greens and give himself birdie looks. He has 2 top 10s in 9 appearances here.

Gary Woodland (+333)

Woodland has only played here twice and although he’s made the cut both times, he hasn’t finished better than T-62. He looked steady at Augusta and is hitting his irons well (20th in SG: approach).Bu

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Akshay Bhatia (+600)
  • Sepp Straka (+350)

RBC Heritage – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Tom Kim (-110) vs. Sam Burns (-110)

I like Kim’s chances this week on a shorter course that rewards accurate approaches. He’s never played this event like Burns has (3 times), but this has the makings of a tournament he can win.

Cameron Young (-110) vs. Viktor Hovland (-110)

Young and Hovland have both only played this tournament once and they’re each coming off a strong performance at the Masters, tying for 7th. I’ll take Young with his recent form and top-3 finish here last year.

RBC Heritage – Top Canadian

Corey Conners (+225)

Conners let us down at the Masters by missing the cut after his win at the Valero Texas Open. I’ll go back to him here, though. He has 3 straight top-25 finishes in this event and is among the best iron players in the world. He’s ripe for a bounce-back performance at Harbour Town. Adam Hadwin (+333) is the next-closest player in this wager.

RBC Heritage – First-round leader

Sungjae Im (+4000)

Im has gone low here before, shooting 65 in the 2nd round in 2021 to help himself make the cut and finish T-13.His iron play will keep him in contention this week and he ranks 9th in Round 1 scoring average.

Cameron Young (+3500)

Young hasn’t been as impressive in Round 1 this season as he was last year when he finished 9th in that category but I love his chances to be the 1st-round leader this week. He was atop the leaderboard after shooting 63 in the opening round last year, his first professional round at Harbour Town.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group D winner: Tyrrell Hatton (+250)

Hatton is going up against Conners (+333), Sahith Theegala (+350), Justin Rose (+450) and Rickie Fowler (+450) in this group. Theegala and Rose both played well at the Masters, but Fowler wasn’t in the field and Conners missed the cut. Hatton was in great form before the WGC Match Play, which I expect him to get back to this week.

Winning margin: 2 shots (+350)

The first 3 designated events were all won by 2 shots, which is either a coincidence or a trend to follow. It hasn’t happened since the Genesis Invitational, but with another loaded field, I think it’ll remain relatively close on Sunday.

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2023 RBC Heritage odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 RBC Heritage, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

There won’t be a post-Masters break for the world’s top players as they head to South Carolina for the 2023 RBC Heritage. In its 1st year as a designated event, the 55th RBC Heritage will feature its best field ever – led by Masters champion Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and last year’s winner, Jordan Spieth. Harbour Town Golf Links will once again host this great event, a tradition that’s lived on since the 1960s.

Below, we look at the 2023 RBC Heritage odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rahm was the No. 1 player in last week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings and he delivered with a win at Augusta National. He’s the co-favorite with  Scheffler at +750. Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Spieth and Collin Morikawa are also expected to contend. According to the PGA Tour, 28 of the top 30 players in the FedExCup standings are in the field this week following WDs from Rory McIlroy and Jason Day.

Harbour Town is a much shorter track than Augusta National, coming in at just 7,121 yards as a par 71. It’s also much narrower than what players saw at the Masters, featuring tight fairways and small greens. This puts an emphasis on accuracy off the tee and approaches into the greens. Spieth won last year at 13-under par, but the winning scores was 19-under in 2021 and 22-under in 2020.

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RBC Heritage – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:46 p.m. ET.

Collin Morikawa (+1800)

Morikawa didn’t really have a weakness at the Masters, gaining strokes on the field in every category, according to Data Golf. This course fits him even better than Augusta, too, forcing players to hit narrow fairways and tiny greens – a forte of Morikawa’s. He ranks 2nd on tour this season in strokes gained: approach (1.095) and is 4th tee-to-green (1.725). His lack of length off the tee won’t hurt him on this shorter course.

Cameron Young (+2000)

Young is really starting to gain some momentum, finishing runner-up at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play and tied for 7th at the Masters on Sunday. In his tournament debut last year, he tied for 3rd at 12-under par, one shot behind Spieth. He’s 14th in strokes gained: tee-to-green this season and should excel again at Harbour Town. I love his chances to claim his 1st PGA Tour title this week.

Patrick Cantlay (+1200)

Cantlay is 7th in SG: tee-to-green this season and was 3rd in that category at the Masters, only to be let down by his putter – despite taking an excessive amount of time to read his putts on Sunday. He’s played this event 5 times, made the cut 4 times and has 4 top-10s. So, yeah. He likes this place.

RBC Heritage picks – Contenders

Tommy Fleetwood (+5500)

Fleetwood didn’t have a great ball-striking week at Augusta, but he ranks 12th in SG: tee-to-green, a key stat this week. He’s trending upward after tying for 3rd at the Valspar Championship and making the cut at the Masters, finishing 33rd despite not having his best stuff. He tied for 10th here last year and 25th in 2019.

Tyrrell Hatton (+4500)

Hatton’s odds have stretched quite a bit in recent weeks after playing poorly at the WGC Match Play (with a hand injury) and missing the cut at the Valero Texas Open where he was the favorite. However, he tied for 34th at the Masters and has made the cut 4 of 5 times here, with 3 top-30 finishes, including a T-3 in 2020. Now is a good time to buy low.

Russell Henley (+5000)

Henley had his best performance ever in a major on Sunday, tying for 4th at the Masters. It was his 2nd straight top-20 finish in a stroke-play event, tying for 19th a the Players Championship. He’s shown the ability to contend in big events this season and he’s one of the best iron players in the world, which bodes well at this event.

RBC Heritage picks – Long shots

Akshay Bhatia (+20000)

It’s a smaller sample size, but Bhatia ranks 13th on tour this season in SG: approach. He’s made the cut in 6 of his 7 PGA Tour starts so far and has 2 top-25s, including a runner-up at the Puerto Rico Open. He shot 63 at the Corales Puntacana Championship a few weeks ago en route to a T-24 finish.

Gary Woodland (+10000)

Woodland has been solid with his irons this season, ranking 20th in SG: approach. He finished 14th at the Masters despite an up-and-down round on Sunday, coming into good form as major season begins. He’s a former major champion and has made the cut in both of his starts in this event.

Sepp Straka (+12500)

Straka was in contention here last year, tying for 3rd and one shot out of a playoff. He’s 18th in SG: approach so if he can continue hitting greens at a high rate, he’ll have a lot of good birdie looks on these small greens at Harbour Town.

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