2025 RBC Heritage prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the RBC Heritage with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour schedule continues with another signature event this week with the 2025 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title against a loaded field. The first round of this no-cut event begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the RBC Heritage from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Masters champion Rory McIlroy is not in the field, but many of the world’s other top players are competing to win this storied event, including Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele.

Harbour Town is much shorter than Augusta National, coming in at 7,213 yards. It’s also a par 71, so there will be fewer scoring opportunities on par 5s this week. As a Pete Dye design, it’s a strategic course where positioning in the fairway is important, as are accurate approaches into these greens.

RBC Heritage – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:39 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+333)

Cantlay is practically an auto-bet for a top-5 every year at the RBC Heritage. He’s finished seventh or better in 6 of his last 7 starts here, including 5 top-3 showings in that span. He’s at +160 for a top-10 finish.

Russell Henley (+400)

Henley missed the cut at the Masters by a stroke because of a disastrous first-round 79 and a bogey on 18 in the second round. It’s a good buy-low opportunity with him this week at Harbour Town where he’s finished 12th, 19th, MC and ninth in the last 4 years.

RBC Heritage – Top-10 picks

Sungjae Im (+300)

Im ranked ninth in strokes gained: tee-to-green at the Masters and was fourth around the greens, so he had everything working at Augusta. He’ll try to carry that into the RBC Heritage where he’s finished between seventh and 21st in each of the last 4 years.

Brian Harman (+375)

Harman has played Harbour Town well in recent years, posting 2 top 10s since 2017 and 4 other top-30 finishes in that time period. At a course where distance isn’t much of an advantage, it’s no wonder he’s contended here in the past.

Xander Schauffele (+120)

Schauffele was 10th in SG: tee-to-green at the Masters, which shows how well he was striking the ball. He putted terribly, ranking 30th in the field on SG: putting, but the important thing is his ball-striking numbers remain strong.

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RBC Heritage – Top-20 picks

Ryo Hisatsune (+300)

Hisatsune is making his tournament debut so it’s a little risky to take him outright to win, but he finished fifth at the Valero Texas Open in his last start and fourth at the Valspar Championship a couple of weeks earlier. He’s 37th in SG: tee-to-green on the season so his game is trending up.

Gary Woodland (+333)

Woodland has never finished better than 31st in 3 starts here, but he’s made the cut each time. He finished second at the Houston Open a few weeks ago and could contend again in Hilton Head.

RBC Heritage – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Russell Henley (-105) vs. Corey Conners (-115)

Henley will be well-rested after missing the cut at Augusta, while Conners was grinding it out for all 4 days en route to a T-8 finish. Both have good records here, but I’ll take the underdog Henley.

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RBC Heritage – Top English

Matt Fitzpatrick (+450)

Fitzpatrick has struggled all year, but he’s a past champion here and has also finished fourth once and 14th twice at Harbour Town. He’s got the longest odds in this market against Tommy Fleetwood (+160), Aaron Rai (+200) and Justin Rose (+400).

RBC Heritage – First-round leader

Sungjae Im (+4000)

Im fired a first-round 66 here in 2023, which put him T-5 on the leaderboard after Thursday. He’s coming off a great showing at the Masters and could carry that momentum into the RBC Heritage.

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2025 RBC Heritage odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the RBC Heritage, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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There will be no lull on the PGA Tour schedule following Rory McIlroy’s historic win at the Masters on Sunday. Up next is a signature event, the 2025 RBC Heritage in Hilton Head. Harbour Town Golf Links is once again hosting this iconic event, which begins Thursday morning in South Carolina.

Below, we look at RBC Heritage odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

McIlroy isn’t in the field, but World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title after winning the RBC Heritage last year and is the favorite at +400. Also teeing it up are Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Aberg, Xander Schauffele and Justin Thomas, among others. Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick are both past champions who will be vying for a win this week, as well.

Harbour Town Golf Links is only 7,213 yards and plays as a par 71, so it’s much shorter than the 7,500-plus yards at Augusta last week. It doesn’t feature the same wide fairways, however, so players will need to be accurate off the tee to set up approaches.

RBC Heritage – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:35 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+1800)

It’s hard to believe Cantlay hasn’t won this tournament before. He’s played here 7 times and finished in the top 10 in 6 of those years, including 2 runner-ups and 2 third-place showings. He missed the cut in 2021, but that was an outlier. He loves this course and is bound to win here at some point.

Russell Henley (+2500)

Henley missed the cut by 1 shot at the Masters, and that was only because of an opening-round 79 and a bogey on his 36th hole. Had he not struggled so badly on Thursday or simply made par on 18 Friday, he could’ve made some noise on the weekend. Now, he heads to Hilton Head with some extra rest in search of his second signature victory of the year.

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RBC Heritage picks – Contenders

Brian Harman (+5000)

Harman plays this event every year and he’s performed particularly well in the last 5 years. He finished 12th last year and 7th in 2023, with a 13th-place showing in 2021. He’s only finished worse than 35th once since 2017 and that was a missed cut in 2019. It’s a shorter course that fits his game well.

Sungjae Im (+4000)

Im made a charge at Augusta and tied for fifth, showing some signs of improvement after some poor play earlier this year. Perhaps the Masters got him back on track as he arrives in Hilton Head at an event where he has 4 straight top-21 finishes since 2021.

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RBC Heritage picks – Long shots

Stephan Jaeger (+10000)

Jaeger got off to a red-hot start in the Masters on Thursday and seemed destined to be the first-round leader, but he faded and shot 72. He made the cut, his fourth straight start doing so, and will try to build upon an 18th-place finish here last year.

Gary Woodland (+15000)

Woodland’s odds should not be this long – not for a guy who was the runner-up in Houston a couple of weeks ago. He’s playing well at the moment and has made the cut in all 3 starts at Harbour Town, with his best finish being 31st in 2023.

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2025 Masters prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 89th Masters with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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Scottie Scheffler and 95 of the world’s best players are in Augusta this week for the 2025 Masters, the first major of the golf season. Scheffler is seeking his third green jacket in the last 4 years, but the field is as strong as ever this year.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the 89th Masters from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler remains the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Rankings despite not having a win yet this year. He is also No. 1 on the odds board, followed closely by world No. 2 Rory McIlroy with Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau and Ludvig Aberg among the other favorites to win this week. There are 96 players, including5 amateurs, competing for a green jacket.

Augusta National is 7,555 yards and plays as a par 72 as always, making it one of the longest courses on the schedule each year. It features diabolical greens and wide fairways, though the rough isn’t very penalizing because it’s not terribly long. Still, it’s one of the more challenging venues around, with the winning score ranging from 10-under to 12-under in each of the last 4 years. Scheffler won last year at 11-under 277.

Masters – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:57 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+130)

When betting McIlroy to win any tournament, it’s also worth taking him to finish in the top 5 – just in case he has another painfully close finish near the top of the leaderboard. This feels like his best chance in a long time to win a green jacket, but even if he comes up short, he’s a good bet for a top 5.

Collin Morikawa (+260)

Morikawa has finished third, 10th and fifth in his last 3 Masters starts, showing he’s on the verge of breaking through. Even as one of the primary favorites this week, the value is still there at +260 for a top-5 finish.

Xander Schauffele (+375)

Get your Xander discount now because it probably won’t last terribly long. He’s recovered from his rib injury and should be in great form again at Augusta. Since 2019, he’s finished in the top 5 twice and come in the top 20 in 5 of the last 6 years. Somehow, he’s flying under the radar.

Masters – Top-10 picks

Justin Thomas (+188)

Thomas has missed the cut here the last 2 years, but before that he came in the top 20 in 6 consecutive years with 2 top-10s in that span. His game is sharp and he’s finished runner-up twice already this season. This might be his year.

Will Zalatoris (+350)

Augusta is a second-shot course and Zalatoris is among the best iron players on the planet. It’s why he’s come in the top 10 in all 3 of his Masters starts. He’ll try to keep that train rolling again this year at a course he loves.

Jordan Spieth (+275)

Even during a tumultuous last few years, Spieth has finished in the top 5 twice at the Masters since 2021. The 2015 champion and 2016 runner-up can make his way around this course with his eyes closed and he’s coming off a T-12 at the Valero Texas Open last week.

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Masters – Top-20 picks

Cameron Smith (+160)

Smith has the short game to win at Augusta and with wide fairways, his driving inaccuracy won’t be as much of a concern as it can be at other courses. He’s come in the top 10 five times in a 7-year stretch from 2018-24.

Sepp Straka (+160)

Straka is a sleeper because he’s not close to being a favorite, but he’s been one of the best players in the world this year. He won the American Express and has 7 top-10 finishes in 10 starts this season, carrying a lot of momentum into Augusta.

Akshay Bhatia (+175)

Lefties tend to have success at Augusta and Bhatia had a decent week last year in his debut when he finished 35th. He’s a long, accurate driver and although his putting needs improvement, he can alleviate it a little bit by hitting his irons close.

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Masters – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Phil Mickelson (-105) vs. Dustin Johnson (-118)

This is more about fading DJ than expecting a big week from Mickelson. Phil has a good chance to make the cut, while it’s hard to feel much confidence in Johnson, who has missed the cut in 3 of his last 5 majors, with his only other finishes being 31st and 43rd.

Rory McIlroy (+110) vs.  Scottie Scheffler (-135)

Fading Scheffler against McIlroy might not be the best idea but it’s Rory who’s been the better player all year. Take the plus-money odds on the world’s second-best player.

Brooks Koepka (+105) vs. Joaquin Niemann (-135)

Niemann always comes into the Masters (and majors in general) with a lot of hype, but he’s never finished better than 16th here. Koepka almost won it in 2019 and 2023, finishing second each year.

Masters – Top debutant

Aaron Rai (+700)

Rai is a premier iron player, which is an important trait this week. It’s a strong group of debutants led by Maverick McNealy (+650) and Davis Thompson (+700) alongside Rai and Taylor Pendrith (+700), but give me the two-gloved Englishman.

Masters – Top Canadian

Corey Conners (-120)

Conners went 3 straight years finishing in the top 10 at the Masters from 2020-2022 before missing the cut in 2023 and finishing 38th last year. He’s cooled off at Augusta but Pendrith (+220) and Nick Taylor (+400) are really the only other contenders here; Mike Weir is +2800.

Masters – First-round leader

Jon Rahm (+2500)

Rahm is a legitimate threat to win this week and the eventual champions usually get off to a great start in Round 1. He’ll come out firing on Thursday, just as he did in 2023 when he shot 65 and was tied for the lead.

Russell Henley (+4500)

Henley is fifth on tour in first-round scoring average (68.43) and has 4 top-21 finishes at the Masters on his resume.

Sepp Straka (+5000)

Straka is another fast starter who is a mid-tier sleeper who could win on Sunday.

Scottie Scheffler: Top 10 (+130)

In the last 3 years, Scheffler has been third, sixth and second on the leaderboard after Round 1.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group C winner: Shane Lowry (+350)

Lowry is in a group with Koepka (+350), Hideki Matsuyama (+350), Patrick Cantlay (+350) and Tommy Fleetwood (+350), all with the same odds. It’s a toss-up, but Lowry is playing some solid golf and he had 4 straight top-25 finishes here from 2020-23.

Will there be a hole-in-one? Yes (-175)

Who doesn’t want to root for an ace? You might have to wait until Sunday on the 16th hole for this bet to cash, but it’s worth taking, even at such steep odds.

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2025 Masters odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the Masters, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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Major championship season has officially arrived. The 2025 Masters is taking place this week at iconic Augusta National in Georgia as 96 of the world’s best players chase the coveted green jacket. The first round in the 89th event begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at the Masters odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler (+450), still the undisputed No. 1 player in the world, is seeking his third Masters win since 2022 and will look to defend his title after winning last year at 11-under 277. Rory McIlroy is still vying for his first Masters title and he enters the week as the second-favorite at +650. Collin Morikawa (+1400) is another top contender, as is 2023 Masters champion Jon Rahm (+1400).

Augusta National is a par-72 course and will play at 7,555 yards this week. The course sustained some damage from Hurricane Helene, including trees being lost around the venue, but it will be in pristine condition, as always. Since 2010, the winning score has been between 5-under and 20-under, with the score ranging from 10-under to 12-under in each of the last 4 years.

Masters – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:41 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+650)

Every year we ask, “Is this the year Rory finally wins a green jacket?” And every year, the answer is no. This might be the year, though. Seriously. He already has 2 wins on the season, both in signature events at Pebble Beach and the Players Championship. He’s improved his wedge game and added more flighted shots to his arsenal, better controlling the spin on approaches. He has the length required to win at Augusta and his irons are dialed in. It’s just a matter of overcoming the demons of this event and putting together one of his best weeks of golf – ever.

Justin Thomas (+2200)

Thomas hasn’t won since the 2022 PGA Championship but he’s on the brink of breaking through with another big victory. He already has 2 runner-up finishes this season to go with 2 other top-10s. He’s eighth in total strokes gained this year, including eighth on approach. His track record at Augusta is fairly good, too, outside of his 2 missed cuts in the last 2 years. He finished eighth in 2022, fourth in 2020 and 12th in 2019, along with 3 other top-25 showings.

Xander Schauffele (+2200)

It feels like a lot of folks are forgetting about Schauffele this week because of the rib injury that set him back early in the year. Remember: He won two majors last year and is the No. 3 player in the world, yet there are 7 players with better or equal odds this week. He didn’t win the Valspar Championship, but he finished 12th and gained 11.276 strokes on approach, which was a career-best in any event for Schauffele. His game is trending up and he’s finished in the top 10 at Augusta 4 times in the last 6 years.

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Masters picks – Contenders

Will Zalatoris (+4500)

Zalatoris missed the 2023 Masters due to a back injury, which forced him to withdraw that week. However, in his 3 other starts at Augusta, he’s finished second, sixth and ninth. How’s that for a Masters resume? His best finish this season was a T-12 in January, but he’s 20th in SG: approach in 2025, which is an important metric at Augusta.

Russell Henley (+4500)

While his odds have shortened considerably since winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational, he’s still a little bit under the radar. Including that win, he has 4 top-10 finishes this season. In his Masters career, he’s finished in the top 21 four times and is 7 for his last 7 in made cuts here, all being top-38 finishes. With his ball striking and short game, he’s a legitimate threat to win this week. There are just minor concerns about his lack of length off the tee.

Cameron Smith (+4500)

For Smith, it’s mostly about keeping the ball in play. He can get wild with his driver, which puts him in precarious situations, but his short game is outstanding and his iron play is typically great. It’s why he has 4 top-10 finishes in his last 7 Masters starts with no missed cuts. Just last year, he finished sixth after making the jump to LIV.

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Masters picks – Long shots

Sepp Straka (+6600)

Straka has played the Masters 3 times, finishing 16th last year, 46th in 2023 and 30th in 2022. It’s not an eye-poppingly great resume, but it’s good enough. He won the American Express in January, finished fifth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and 14th at the Players, building a great series of results in 2025.

Sungjae Im (+10000)

Im has really struggled since the beginning of the season. Since February, he’s missed 2 cuts in 7 starts and only has 1 top-20 finish. He remains deadly accurate with his driver and is 26th in SG: off the tee, but he’s 181st SG: approach, which is a bad recipe at a second-shot course like Augusta. However, his odds have gotten too long considering he was the runner-up here in 2020 and finished eighth in 2022.

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2025 Valero Texas Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the Valero Texas Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The 2025 Valero Texas Open takes place this week at TPC San Antonio, the final tournament before the Masters. Some of the game’s top players are teeing it up in San Antonio as they prepare for Augusta, including Ludvig Aberg (+1200) and Tommy Fleetwood (+1400).

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the Valero Texas Open from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Akshay Bhatia (+2000), Corey Conners (+1600) and Jordan Spieth (+2500) are all past champions of this event who will be playing this week, seeking to enter major season in good form. Patrick Cantlay (+1600) and Hideki Matsuyama (+2000)are also in the field.

TPC San Antonio is 7,438 yards long and plays as a par 72. It features dramatic elevation changes throughout, challenging players’ distance control around the course. It’s viewed as a fair test, with the winning score being between 8-under and 20-under par each year since 2010.

Valero Texas Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:27 p.m. ET.

Akshay Bhatia (+400)

Bhatia is the defending champion and he’s been in excellent form, nearly winning the Players Championship in March. He’s more than capable of going back-to-back at TPC San Antonio with his length off the tee and approach game, and he’s gotten much better on the greens, too.

Ludvig Aberg (+240)

Aberg is the favorite this week and it’s a good time for him to remind everyone just how good he is ahead of the Masters after missing the cut at the Players Championship a couple of weeks ago. His game fits anywhere in the world and TPC San Antonio doesn’t pose many real challenges for him with how long and straight he hits it.

Valero Texas Open – Top-10 picks

Jordan Spieth (+240)

Spieth won here in 2021 and has finished 35th and 10th in his last 2 trips to TPC San Antonio. His game is in good form now that he’s fully recovered from his wrist injury and getting back into the swing of things – no pun intended.

Gary Woodland (+400)

Woodland is 2-for-2 in top-10s at this event, finishing sixth in 2021 and eighth in 2022. He’s coming off a runner-up in Houston last week and has been playing well so far this season.

Sam Stevens (+350)

Stevens came in second in 2023 and 15th in last year, so he’s had one top-10 finish and another top 20 so far at this course. He shot 2 rounds of 65 last week in Houston, which helped him finish T-18, continuing a strong season from him.

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Valero Texas Open – Top-20 picks

Tom Hoge (+280)

Hoge has skipped this event in the last 3 years, but he finished 12th in 2021, 10th in 2018 and ninth in 2016. As a long shot this week, you can dial back the risk by taking him to finish top 20 instead of being an outright winner.

Charley Hoffman (+320)

Hoffman won here in 2016 and has 2 other runner-up finishes since then, seemingly always playing well at TPC San Antonio. It’s a staple of his schedule each year and it’s never a bad idea to take him to finish in the top 20 at an event he loves.

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Valero Texas Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Akshay Bhatia (+110) vs. Corey Conners (-140)

This should be closer to an even matchup between 2 premier ball strikers who have both had success here. Conners has won this event twice, including as recently as 2023, but Bhatia is having a terrific season in 2025.

Valero Texas Open – Top Asian

Tom Kim (+375)

Kim needs to start putting much better than he has been and he’s tried to make adjustments to his game on the greens, but nothing has seemed to work yet. He’s still striking the ball incredibly well, which will keep him in contention week after week.

Valero Texas Open – First-round leader

Denny McCarthy (+4000)

McCarthy was the runner-up last year after firing a final-round 63, getting into a playoff with Bhatia. He can obviously go low at TPC San Antonio, as he did on Sunday last year, and he ranks 29th on the PGA Tour in 1st-round scoring average this season.

Charley Hoffman (+8000)

Hoffman never misses this event and as a past champion in 2016, he has the skill set to win here. He also finished second in both 2019 and 2021 and is currently 48th in Round 1 scoring average in 2025.

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2025 Valero Texas Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the Valero Texas Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Masters is just a week away, which means players are getting in their final prep before the first major of the season. Some of the game’s top talents will be teeing it up at the 2025 Valero Texas Open this week, including Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood. TPC San Antonio is once again hosting this event, the 15th time it will do so.

Below, we look at Valero Texas Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

In addition to Aberg and Fleetwood, who are +1200 and +1400, respectively, Corey Conners (+1600) and Patrick Cantlay (+1600) are also among the favorites. Jordan Spieth (+2500) will be playing in his home state of Texas, as well, with Akshay Bhatia (+2000) looking to go back-to-back after winning here last year.

TPC San Antonio is a newer course that just opened in 2010. It’s a par 72 and plays at 7,438 yards, with major elevation changes throughout. It features the usual risk-reward holes that come with a TPC course, which leads to plenty of drama down the stretch; Denny McCarthy shot 9-under on Sunday last year.

Valero Texas Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:03 p.m. ET.

Akshay Bhatia (+2000)

It’s really hard to win a PGA event in consecutive years, but Bhatia has the potential to do that this week. He nearly won the Players Championship a few weeks ago after also posting top-10s at the Mexico Championship and Genesis Invitational in February. He’s in excellent form at this point in the season and clearly has had success at this course before with his win last year at 20-under 268.

Jordan Spieth (+2500)

Spieth heating up right before Augusta? It might just happen. He notched a top-30 at the Valspar Championship 2 weeks ago and is now back home in Texas at an event where he’s finished 10th, 35th, first and 30th in his last 4 starts. TPC San Antonio has treated him well over the years and his form is good enough to secure a win before the Masters next week.

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Valero Texas Open picks – Contenders

Gary Woodland (+5500)

Woodland’s second-place finish on Sunday wasn’t a fluke. He’s been trending up this season. He’s a great value at +5500 considering he’s finished eighth and sixth in his last 2 starts here, which came in 2022 and 2021, respectively. His game is rounding into form and he’s poised to break through for his first win post-brain surgery.

Sam Stevens (+5000)

Stevens finished T-18 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open on Sunday, firing his second 65 of the week to climb the leaderboard. At this event last year, he finished 14th after being the runner-up in 2023, so he has some course history.

Valero Texas Open picks – Long shots

Tom Hoge (+8000)

Hoge hasn’t played here since 2021 when he finished 12th, but he’s had some good finishes. He also came in 10th in 2018 and ninth in 2016, using his ball-striking prowess to find himself in contention.

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2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the Texas Children’s Houston Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour has packed its bags and moved from Florida to Texas for this week’s event. It’s the 2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open, which is hosted by Memorial Park. The first round begins on Thursday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the Texas Children’s Houston Open from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The top 2 players in the world, Scottie Scheffler (+400) and Rory McIlroy (+650) are both using this week as one final tune-up before the Masters in a couple of weeks. They’re head-and-shoulders above the rest of the field as the favorites, with Aaron Rai (+2500) being third on the list. Defending champion Stephan Jaeger is +4500 to win this event for the second straight year.

Memorial Park is a par 70 and 7,474 yards long, so it certainly favors longer hitters at that length. It’s one of the few municipal courses on the PGA Tour schedule but it’s not necessarily an easy track, especially with the closely mown areas just off the greens – similar to Augusta. It rejoined the PGA Tour circuit in 2020 following a major renovation.

Houston Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:23 p.m. ET.

Tony Finau (+650)

The good thing about betting the top-5 market is Finau can still cash even if Scheffler and McIlroy finish near the top of the leaderboard. Finau has come in second and first the last 2 years and he also finished 24th in his tournament debut in 2020. His ball striking has been good and he should be in contention at a course that fits his game.

Min Woo Lee (+700)

Lee’s length off the tee will give him an edge this week and he’s excellent around the green, ranking ninth in that category based on strokes gained. His putter has been great all year, too, ranking 15th in SG: putting. Despite being his tournament debut, he has a real shot to win.

Houston Open – Top-10 picks

Taylor Pendrith (+400)

With tee shots being so pivotal this week, it’s worth taking a chance on Pendrith, who is third on tour this season in SG: off-the-tee. He’s long and has been relatively accurate, which is a recipe for success at Memorial Park.

Davis Thompson (+350)

Thompson hasn’t cracked the top 10 in 2 starts here (21st and 43rd) but he’s one of the better players in the field, especially off the tee. He ranks 16th on the PGA Tour in SG: off-the-tee this season but the rest of his game has been struggling. If he can get his irons on track and the putter heats up, he’ll be one to watch.

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Houston Open – Top-20 picks

Wyndham Clark (+175)

Clark withdrew in Round 2 of the players, which is a little bit worrisome, but assuming he’s healthy, he should find success again at Memorial Park. Since missing the cut in 2020, he’s finished 41st, 16th and 31st in the last 3 years. His distance off the tee can be a weapon for him.

Thomas Detry (+200)

Detry has won already this season, running away from the field at the WM Phoenix Open. He almost won this event last year, coming in second behind Jaeger. He’s 34th in SG: off-the-tee and that’s after dropping 7 spots in the last week.

Joel Dahmen (+400)

Dahmen had been trending up but even with some recent struggles, he’s someone to consider this week. He finished fifth in 2021 and ninth in 2022 before missing the cut last year, putting together an impressive resume at Memorial Park.

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Houston Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Tony Finau (+130) vs. Aaron Rai (-160)

Finau is too good to be this big of an underdog against Rai. Both players have finished top 7 in each of the last 2 years but Finau is a past champion and the value is too good to pass up at +130.

Min Woo Lee (-105) vs. Si Woo Kim (-110)

Lee is making his tournament debut, but it’s at a course that should fit his game well, given his distance advantage off the tee.

Houston Open – Top English

Aaron Rai (+110)

Despite picking against Rai in the Finau matchup, he’s clearly the best Englishman in the field. Harry Hall (+330) and Matt Wallace (+450) are the next-best players, but Rai hasn’t finished worse than 19th in 3 starts here, including back-to-back seventh-place finishes the last 2 years.

Houston Open – First-round leader

Wyndham Clark (+4500)

Clark is 33rd on tour in first-round scoring average this season and already has a top-20 finish at this course. If he’s healthy, he should come out hot and play aggressively on Thursday morning, as he often does with his length.

Scottie Scheffler (+1200)

There’s not a lot of value on Scheffler in a field like this, but he ranks 19th in Round 1 scoring average this year and has been the runner-up here in 2 of the last 3 years. It’s a course he knows and enjoys playing so he could be on top of the leaderboard on Thursday.

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2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the Texas Children’s Houston Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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With the Florida swing in the books, the PGA Tour now heads to Texas before the Masters next month. The 2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open takes place this week at Memorial Park where 2 of the game’s top players will be teeing it up in one last tune-up before Augusta. The first round begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at Texas Children’s Houston Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Both Scottie Scheffler (+350), the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Rankings, and No. 2 Rory McIlroy (+600) will be playing this week as they prepare for the Masters and they’re the clear-cut favorites ahead of everyone else in the field. The third-favorite is Aaron Rai at (+2500), followed by Davis Thompson (+3300), J.J. Spaun (+3300), Jason Day (+3300) and Tony Finau (+3300). Stephan Jaeger won this event last year and he comes into the week at +4500.

Memorial Park is one of the few municipal courses on the PGA Tour schedule, rejoining the circuit in 2020 after a renovation the year prior. It’s a par 70, but plays at 7,474 yards, making it a fairly long course. The greens are large but they run off with closely mown areas, making even the nearest misses run away from the hole.

Houston Open – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:49 p.m. ET.

Tony Finau (+3300)

As easy as it is to like Scheffler this week, he’s not worth playing at +350 – especially given his so-so form (by his standards) so far this year. Instead, Finau is a tiny bit further down the board at +3300, making him the fourth-favorite. For a guy who has finished second and first in the last 2 years here, he’s a legitimate contender despite Scheffler and McIlroy being in the field.

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Houston Open picks – Contenders

Min Woo Lee (+4000)

Lee is obviously a long hitter, which favors him at a course like Memorial Park. He also has a fantastic short game, ranking 15th in strokes gained: putting and 9th around the green. That combination makes him a threat to win anytime, but only if he can dial in his irons. This will be his tournament debut but he’s been in good enough form for that to not matter much.

Thomas Detry (+5000)

Detry tied for second last year behind Jaeger in his tournament debut, putting together a strong week. He already has a win this season at the WM Phoenix Open in a runaway victory and he’s coming off a T-22 at the Valspar Championship last week.

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Houston Open picks – Long shots

Joel Dahmen (+12500)

Dahmen has been up and down this year, posting 2 top-10 finishes with 4 other missed cuts. But he’s had 2 good showings in 3 starts here, coming in fifth in 2021 and ninth in 2022 before missing the cut last year.

Gary Woodland (+12500)

Woodland has cooled off after a strong start to the year but he’s now coming to Memorial Park where he’s finished 21st and ninth in the last 2 years.

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2025 Valspar Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the Valspar Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The final leg of the Florida swing takes place this week with the 2025 Valspar Championship. Innisbrook Resort at Palm Harbor once again hosts this tournament and it will be played on the Copperhead Course, one of the most challenging venues on the schedule. The first round begins Thursday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the 2025 Valspar Championship from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Despite being the week after the Players Championship, the Valspar still has a strong field – led by world No. 3, Xander Schauffele. He’s not the favorite, though, at +2000. That title goes to Tommy Fleetwood at +1100. Justin Thomas (+1600) and Sepp Straka (+1600) are also among the favorites. Defending champion Peter Malnati has pre-tournament odds of +50000.

The Copperhead Course is one of the longest par-71 courses on tour, coming in at 7,352 yards. It features 5 par-3s, which limits scoring opportunities for players. One change this year was moving the 9th tee to the 11th tee box, which lengthened the hole slightly and also brought bunkers into play more.

Valspar Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:46 a.m. ET.

Justin Thomas (+300)

Thomas may not have had his best for all 4 rounds at the Players, but he was pretty darn good on Friday when he fired a 62, tying the course record. That’s the sort of potential Thomas possesses every week and he’s bound to win sooner or later. The tough conditions at Innisbrook should suit him well.

Will Zalatoris (+550)

Zalatoris seems to play his best at difficult venues like the ones hosting the U.S. Open, and while Innisbrook may not be quite on that level, it’s a challenging course – just as TPC Sawgrass is, where he was in the mix until late on Saturday. His ball striking is great right now and he’s even much-improved on the greens, putting him on track to contend throughout the year.

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Valspar Championship – Top-10 picks

Tommy Fleetwood (+120)

Fleetwood’s odds are almost shockingly short to win this week despite him having zero PGA Tour victories. He’s had many close calls in the past and that’s what we’re betting again this week with a top 10. In 2 career starts here, he’s finished 16th and third.

Shane Lowry (+225)

Lowry has done well at PGA National, which features a challenging layout not dissimilar to Innisbrook. He finished 12th here in 2022, but he’s still looking for his first top 10 at the Copperhead Course.

Taylor Moore (+400)

Moore won here in 2023 and followed that up with a 12th-place finish last year, proving he knows how to navigate the Snake Pit at the Copperhead Course.

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Valspar Championship – Top-20 picks

Lucas Glover (+160)

Glover is coming off a fantastic showing at the Players where he was one of the best ball strikers in the field. He ultimately faded a bit on Sunday, but he’s still playing well and could be poised for another top 20 here; he’s had 3 in this event since 2017.

Beau Hossler (+300)

Hossler hasn’t played this course well in the past, but he’s a strong par-3 player, which is important at Innisbrook.

Valspar Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Jordan Spieth (+115) vs. Sam Burns (-145)

Spieth is showing good form as he continues to work his way back from his wrist injury. Betting against a former 2-time champion of this event may not be wise, but Spieth’s odds are enticing in this matchup.

Valspar Championship – Top German

Stephan Jaeger (+100)

Jaeger is the favorite to be the top German and for good reason. He’s added length to his game in the last few years and has become a very good ball striker. Matti Schmid (+250) is the second-favorite in this market.

Valspar Championship – First-round leader

Nicolai Hojgaard (+6600)

With some uncertain weather and windy conditions likely popping up late on Thursday, the first-round leader market is going to be challenging this week. So we’ll limit it to just one player: Hojgaard, who has the fifth tee time of the day on Thursday.

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2025 Valspar Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the Valspar Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The PGA Tour will remain in Florida for one more week before ending this leg of the schedule, capping things off with the 2025 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort’s Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor. The first round begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at Valspar Championship odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Xander Schauffele is the highest-ranked player in the field this week, but he’s not the tournament favorite. His odds of +2000 are fourth in the field, behind Tommy Fleetwood at +1200, Justin Thomas (+1400) and Sepp Straka at +1800. Schauffele is still working his way back from injury ahead of the Masters so he’ll be teeing it up at Innisbrook, as he did last year and in 2022.

The Copperhead Course is a par 71 and plays at 7,352 this year. The course was lengthened slightly by moving the tees for the 9th hole to the 11th tee box. It was already a long course, but it’s even more challenging now with this added length. There are 5 par 3s on the scorecard this week, limiting the scoring opportunities for players in the field. The winning score has been between 7-under and 17-under every year since 2010. Peter Malnati (+50000) won last year at 12-under 272.

Valspar Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:23 p.m. ET.

Justin Thomas (+1400)

Thomas followed up an opening-round 78 with a second-round 62, a massive 16-shot swing. He faded on the weekend, but he’s still off to a great start this season, ranking 15th in strokes gained: tee-to-green. He finished 13th or better in this event 3 straight years from 2021-23 so his course history at Innisbrook is good, too.

Will Zalatoris (+2800)

Zalatoris seems to play his best when the conditions are toughest, which may not sound accurate after he fell apart on Saturday at Sawgrass. Still, he ranked ninth in SG: approach throughout the week and was even 19th in putting. He just made a few careless mistakes that led to big numbers.

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Valspar Championship picks – Contenders

Taylor Moore (+4500)

Moore won this event in 2023 and followed it up with a 12th-place finish last year. He ranks 25th on Tour in SG: tee-to-green and actually played well last week at Sawgrass despite an underwhelming 33rd-place finish; he was 22nd in SG: tee-to-green and 13th off the tee.

Lucas Glover (+4500)

With how challenging (and abundant) the par 3s are at Innisbrook, par 3 scoring average is a key stat. Glover ranks third on the PGA Tour in that category, so that should give him an advantage. And he’s coming off a terrific ball-striking week at the Players Championship where he was seventh in SG: tee-to-green.

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Valspar Championship picks – Long shots

Beau Hossler (+8000)

Hossler is good around the greens, which will be important this week given how difficult it’ll be to hit greens in regulation. His track record at Innisbrook is terrible (1 made cut in his last 6 starts), but he’s 15th in par 3 scoring this season and is typically a solid ball striker with a good short game.

Erik van Rooyen (+10000)

van Rooyen has played this event twice, missing the cut once and finishing 10th the other time. He came in ninth at the Cognizant Classic earlier this month and ranks fourth in approaches from 200-plus yards, which is a notable metric this week given the length of the Copperhead Course.

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