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With the Florida Swing wrapped up, the PGA Tour heads to Texas for the 2024 Texas Children’s Houston Open. This is the 4th year Memorial Park will host the event, which is headlined by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler.
Below, we look at the 2024 Texas Children’s Houston Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Having won his last 2 starts, Scheffler will look to make it 3 wins in a row this week in Houston. He’s the odds-on favorite to win at +275, by far the shortest odds of any player in the field. Wyndham Clark has the 2nd-best odds at +1200, followed by Will Zalatoris (+1800), Sahith Theegala (+2200) and 2023 champion Tony Finau (+2200).
Memorial Park is a par 70 and plays at 7,435 yards, so it’s one of the longer courses on tour. It underwent a major renovation in 2019, which is when the PGA Tour returned to this site, with everything from hole distances changing to bunkers and trees being removed. Scheffler and Finau share the course record of 8-under 62, which Scheffler shot in 2021 and Finau carded in 2022.
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Texas Children’s Houston Open – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:32 p.m. ET.
Will Zalatoris (+1800)
Zalatoris’ missed cut at the Players Championship was surprising, but it shouldn’t be enough to deter bettors from taking him again this week in Houston. He typically plays well when the conditions are tough, as evidenced by his major finishes, and while he’s never played this event before, it’s a good bounce-back opportunity for him at a course that emphasizes ball striking over putting.
Sahith Theegala (+2200)
Theegala finished 61st and 22nd in his 2 starts at this event, but it’s reasonable to think he’ll improve upon both of those finishes this year. He’s in the midst of his best season yet, already posting 4 top-10s and a runner-up in 8 starts with only 1 missed cut. Theegala is just the type of player who can unseat Scheffler at the top.
Keith Mitchell (+4000)
Mitchell had the Valspar Championship in his hands before collapsing in the final round with a 77 on Sunday. That dropped him from 1st to 17th on the last day of the tournament after holding a 2-shot 54-hole lead. That ending to his week will leave a bitter taste in his mouth, but it was more of a fluky performance with the driver than anything. He finished 41st here in 2021 and 9th in 2022.
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Texas Children’s Houston Open picks – Contenders
Joel Dahmen (+6600)
After missing the cut in 3 of his 1st 5 starts of the season, Dahmen has gotten back on track by making it in each of his last 3 starts – including an 11th-place finish at the Players Championship. He followed it up with a T-49 at the Valspar last week and now ranks 27th in strokes gained: off the tee and 8th in approach.
Aaron Rai (+5000)
Rai missed the cut at the Valspar Championship by a few shots but he had notched 3 straight top-35 finishes before that. His putter hasn’t cooperated, ranking 136th in strokes gained on the greens but he’s 23rd tee-to-green. This is a course he’s had success at before, finishing 7th and 19th in his last 2 starts here.
Texas Children’s Houston Open picks – Long shots
Alex Smalley (+12500)
Smalley has missed the cut in 7 of his 9 starts this season and one of his made cuts resulted in a 75th-place finish. So why bet him now? Because he finished 4th in this tournament in 2022 and 15th the year prior, so he clearly knows this course well.
Tyson Alexander (+25000)
Peter Malnati showed on Sunday that no matter a player’s odds, anyone can win at any time. Alexander is a mega-long shot at +30000, but he was the runner-up here in 2022 and already has 1 top-20 finish this season.
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