Air Force Football 2025: The Offseason

Air Force Football 2025: The Offseason Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire We’re just a few weeks removed from the bankrolled roster from Columbus celebrating a national championship. A bright spot for the Mountain West Conference was the participation …


Air Force Football 2025: The Offseason


Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

We’re just a few weeks removed from the bankrolled roster from Columbus celebrating a national championship. A bright spot for the Mountain West Conference was the participation of Boise State in the first year of the expanded 12-team playoff.

This may be of little consolation to Air Force fans, coming off of a disappointing 2024 campaign. The good news is spring practice is right around the corner and last season is contrail for the Falcon football program.

 

A LOOK BACK

Last years Air Force team knew there would be challenges coming into the season. The enthusiasm from throttling James Madison in 2023 Bowl matchup was met with that harsh reality by the first weekend in September in the early 2024 schedule. Outside of a less than impressive week 1 victory over Merrimack of the FCS, the first two-thirds of the season were downright disastrous.

Last year’s team was challenged in ways this program hasn’t seen since that dreadful 2013 season, which was the sole year that Air Force has ever endured double digit (10) losses in a season. There was plenty of blame to go around for the horrendous start. Most of which can be attributed to a very inexperienced team, that compounded that tribulation with injuries. When all was said and done, there were more than 40 players that made their first career start at some point in the season.

After an unprecedented run of success over the last five full seasons, 2024 finally afforded teams like New Mexico, Colorado State and Navy the chance to finally score one in the win column. After years of catching L’s at the hands of Troy Calhoun’s squad, payback finally made it’s way to Air Force.

If the bleakness of what you have read so far, hasn’t already caused you to discard what I’m writing, good for you. Because all those lumps that the Falcons took last year weren’t in vain.

After that grueling seven game losing streak which included embarrassing losses to the bitter rivals, Navy and Army, the Bolts got it together. Air Force closed out the season with four consecutive victories, including a 28-0 shutout of Oregon State.

The winning streak may have come as a bit of a surprise at the time, when you consider just how poorly the team had been playing. But to those who know how critical the play off the offensive line, and teams ability to control the clock are, you knew improvement in that area would correlate to wins. And by the way, there was drastic improvement needed in all phases of their game.

A patient trust in offensive line coach Steed Lobotzke, may have been tried, but proved warranted. After multiple personnel combinations along the O-Line, the unit gelled. At the same time, a change at quarterback, going to Sophomore Quintin Hayes had some early ups and downs, as you will have with a player seeing the field for the first time, but ultimately paid off as well. Hayes got a much better command of the offense by seasons end, and the offense was able to distribute the ball to multiple playmakers that simply weren’t getting the space earlier in the year.

The defense which has been stellar for years prior, took a major tumble back at first. New players were broken in all over the field, and it showed. Injuries to All Conference stand-outs like Payton Zdroik and Camby Goff certainly didn’t help. But just like the offense, there were multiple defenders who made the most of their opportunity and solidified themselves as mainstays on a much improved unit.

While it’s unfortunate the year did not culminate with those desperately needed extra practices that are awarded to Bowl participants, the team appears to have turned the corner. The 2025 Falcons will have some holes to fill, just as most programs will. But the uncharacteristic youth movement last year should pay dividends this coming fall.

LOOKING AHEAD

At risk of getting a little too optimistic, there are some similarities to the 2020 team, which had a lot of young players see time in the most unorthodox of seasons. That COVID shortened year saw underclassmen, get critical experience that set the team on an absolute tear for the next three years.

Then Sophomore quarterback, Haaziq Daniels ended up being one of the most successful signal callers in the teams history. Now Hayes will get the same opportunity to stack wins over the next two season as the presumed starter heading into the year.

Flanking Hayes in the backfield is a deep group of ball carriers. Dylan Carson could very well be the bell cow of the offense at fullback if he’s able to remain healthy. Supporting him in that critical position Owen Allen really developed well last year. And Kemper Hodges, the converted quarterback will also factor into the production. This should be a 1,500 yard unit.

The fullbacks could probably account for even more yardage were it not for the playmaking ability of tailback Kade Frew. Another case of hopeful health, Frew is poised for a breakout season building off of last years momentum.

Lining up all over in multiple spots will be one of the most exciting players in the Mountain West, Cade Harris. Capable of leading the team in rushing and receiving, Harris could have a monster year depending on how the ball gets distributed. Think Brandon Lewis, Tim McVay or Micah Davis.

Defensively, there is an established stud or budding star at each level. Blake Fletcher looks to be in the mold of Alec Mock anchoring the middle of the defense. Payton Zdroik has the offseason to get well, and when healthy, he’s an absolute game wrecker. He is arguably the most disruptive player in the conference. Sophomore Safety Kyle Chen was one of the most highly rated prospects the to commit to the Academy a few years back. He got invaluable game experience last year, and with that can hopefully be the next in line for what has become a position of absolute strength for years now.

Unfortunately one of the most promising players on the team by years end was Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner. The hybrid safety-linebacker provided versatility, and plugged in well at the all important spur position. Perhaps another former 3-star prospect will be able to solidify the opening he leaves, in Houston Hendrix.

The one area the Falcons returned a ton of experience last year was special teams. Now their all-time scoring leader, Matthew Dapore has concluded his fine career at kicker. Reagan Tubbs has some experience filling in for Dapore in the past and should factor in to stabilizing the kicking game.

There are a lot of players who will factor into the open starting roles up for grabs, obviously. With all the new starts we saw last year, there were plenty more key contributors who will be leaned on going forward into the new season. With all the turnover last year, they are simply too many to name. That also means there is a lot of game experience returning as a bi-product. At least for those who stuck around.

RECENT NEWS

As already noted, the Falcons were dealt a difficult blow with Lincold Tuioti-Mariner ultimately leaving to suit up for Southern Utah. A few other notable players found new homes as well. The game against New Mexico next year got a little more interesting, as offensive tackle Tyler Lawrence elected to transfer to Albuquerque. And the defensive line took a hit when David Santiago headed to East Lansing, committing to play for Michigan State.

There were other transfers, but these were the most prominent in factoring in both past and projected playing time.

Offsetting some of these departures will hopefully some of the incoming class. Covered in really great detail by Brent Briggeman of the Colorado Gazette, the Falcons welcome in over 20 commits who hold a 3-star composite rating.

 

In other current events, Air Force has finalized their 12th opponent on the 2025 schedule, and it is the defending back to back National Champions. Of Basketball.

Uconn and Air Force have agreed to a home and home series in football over the next two years. The Falcons will travel East to Hartford in November of this coming year. Then in 2026, the Huskies will travel to the Springs.

There is still six months until the season gets kicked off officially. But between now and then, there will be plenty happening, and we will do our best to stay on top of all things Air Force football.

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Who is in the mountain west football conference

Dec 2, 2023; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Boise State Broncos running back Ashton Jeanty (2) carries the ball against the UNLV Rebels in the first half during the Mountain West Championship at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports …

Dec 2, 2023; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Boise State Broncos running back Ashton Jeanty (2) carries the ball against the UNLV Rebels in the first half during the Mountain West Championship at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Mountain West Conference is made up of 12 colleges as of 2024: Air Force, Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, San Diego State, San Jose State, UNLV, Utah State and Wyoming. This competitive landscape, especially in football and basketball, with teams seeking to be the best in the conference and earn bowl game berths, has been cultivated by this eclectic mix.

But the stability of this lineup looks more and more tenuous. The landscape of college sports is undergoing a seismic shift of tectonic proportions, led by the migration of a handful of Pac-12 teams to storied league homes such as the Big Ten, Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), and Big 12. With Oregon State and Washington State as the last two members of what had been known as the Pac-12, they have struck a scheduling deal with the Mountain West that could play a role in future partnerships — or even expansion.

As schools look for competitive edges, the Mountain West may strengthen its hand through the addition of ex-Power Five programs in search of a new address, or the league may lose its own members to bigger conferences chasing top-tier athletic offerings. The ever-evolving realignment saga in college football has left everyone wondering: Is the Mountain West going to maintain what it has, expand by adding new teams, or perhaps even lose some of its current members? The answers will play out as the game goes on evolving.

Read more news inSports on www.businessoutstanders.com

Teams In The Mountain West

  • Air Force
  • Boise State
  • Colorado State
  • Fresno State
  • Hawaii
  • Nevada
  • New Mexico
  • San Diego State
  • San Jose State
  • UNLV
  • Utah State
  • Wyoming

 

The Katana: A Comprehensive Exploration of Its History, Craftsmanship, and Cultural Significance

The katana, a quintessential symbol of Japanese heritage, has captivated the imagination of enthusiasts and historians alike. Known for its distinctive curved blade and exceptional craftsmanship, the katana embodies not only a martial tool but also …

The katana, a quintessential symbol of Japanese heritage, has captivated the imagination of enthusiasts and historians alike. Known for its distinctive curved blade and exceptional craftsmanship, the katana embodies not only a martial tool but also a profound cultural artifact. This article provides an in-depth examination of the katana, exploring its historical context, manufacturing techniques, and enduring cultural significance in 2024.

 

Historical Context

 

The katana’s origins trace back to the late 12th century during Japan’s Kamakura period, a time when the samurai class began to rise in prominence. This period marked a shift in warfare strategies, necessitating a weapon that could be drawn and used swiftly in close combat. The katana, with its single-edged, curved blade, was designed specifically for this purpose, allowing samurai to engage opponents with speed and precision.

 

Over the centuries, the katana evolved alongside the samurai’s social and military roles. It became a symbol of their status, often ornately decorated and meticulously maintained as a family heirloom. By the Edo period (1603–1868), the katana had solidified its place as a cultural icon, reflecting the values of honor, discipline, and loyalty that defined the samurai way of life.

 

Craftsmanship and Materials

 

The art of katana-making, known as “nihonto,” involves a highly skilled and labor-intensive process. Traditional katanas are forged from high-carbon steel, often employing a method called “tamahagane,” which produces a superior quality of metal. The forging process includes multiple cycles of folding and hammering the steel, a technique that enhances the blade’s strength and flexibility while creating a unique surface pattern known as “hada.”

 

Key components of the katana include:

 

  • Blade: The blade typically features a curvature that enhances its cutting ability. The temper line, or “hamon,” is a crucial characteristic that indicates the different hardness levels achieved during the quenching process.

 

  • Tsuka (Handle): The handle is usually wrapped in silk or cotton, providing both aesthetic appeal and a secure grip. The design of the tsuka allows for comfortable handling, which is essential for effective wielding.

 

  • Tsuba (Guard): The guard often showcases intricate designs that may symbolize various aspects of Japanese culture, such as nature or mythology. This not only serves a practical function but also contributes to the sword’s artistic value.

 

Cultural Significance

 

The katana is steeped in symbolism and meaning. It is regarded as an extension of the samurai’s spirit, embodying the principles of bushido—the samurai code that emphasizes virtues such as loyalty, courage, and self-discipline. The katana’s role transcends that of a weapon; it serves as a spiritual and cultural emblem.

 

In contemporary society, the katana remains a subject of fascination, often depicted in films, literature, and art. Its representation in popular culture has cemented its status as a universal symbol of honor and martial prowess, resonating with audiences far beyond Japan.

 

Modern Trends and Considerations

 

As of 2024, the market for katanas has expanded significantly, attracting a diverse array of collectors, martial artists, and cultural enthusiasts. When considering the acquisition of a katana, several factors should be taken into account:

 

  • Authenticity and Quality: Buyers should seek reputable dealers who can provide documentation verifying the sword’s authenticity. Genuine katanas are typically handcrafted and come with specific characteristics that set them apart from mass-produced replicas.

 

  • Legal Regulations: It is essential to be aware of local laws governing the ownership, sale, and transportation of swords. Regulations can vary significantly by region, and understanding these laws is crucial for responsible ownership.

 

  • Maintenance: Proper care is vital to preserving the katana’s condition. Regular cleaning and oiling are necessary to prevent rust and degradation, ensuring that the sword remains a treasured artifact for years to come.

 

Conclusion

 

The katana is not merely a weapon; it is a profound symbol of Japan’s cultural heritage, embodying the values and artistry of the samurai. Its intricate craftsmanship, rich history, and enduring cultural significance continue to inspire admiration and respect in 2024. For those interested in exploring this iconic sword, a thoughtful approach—considering authenticity, craftsmanship, and cultural context—will lead to a meaningful appreciation of the katana as both a functional weapon and a cherished piece of art.

Air Force at New Mexico: Can the Falcons beat the Lobos?

Air Force at New Mexico: Can the Falcons beat the Lobos? Can Air Force win their sixth straight against New Mexico? Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire WEEK 6: Air Force Falcons 1-4 (0-2 Mountain West) vs. New Mexico Lobos 1-4 (0-1 Mountain West) WHEN: …

Air Force at New Mexico: Can the Falcons beat the Lobos?


Can Air Force win their sixth straight against New Mexico?


Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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WEEK 6: Air Force Falcons 1-4 (0-2 Mountain West) vs. New Mexico Lobos 1-4 (0-1 Mountain West)

WHEN: Saturday, October 12th, 5 p.m. MT

WHERE: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM

TV: truTV/MAX
JB Long, play by play
Mike Golic, Jr., analyst
Bridget Howard, reporter

SERIES HISTORY: Air Force leads the overall series, 26-14

GAME NOTES (PDF): Air Force | New Mexico

 

It’s already Week six, and either the Falcons or Lobos are going to find themselves in the win column in Conference play by Sunday. While both teams are winless in Mountain West play, Air Force is already two games in the hole, while New Mexico has suffered just one loss, coming from their matchup against Fresno State a few weeks back. You always want to win Conference games, but for two programs that could really use the extra practices for player development that come from a Bowl week, losing a fifth game on the year before week seven would all but end any dreams of a post season game.

The Lobos didn’t exactly enter the 2024 campaign labeled as Conference contenders, but this team is plenty interesting. They brought in a very established coach in Bronco Mendenhall, who by the way is 5-1 in his career against Air Force. New Mexico also had a massive influx of transfers with the coaching change, bringing in 42 players from other programs. Sprinkle in 11 returning starters, playmakers like Luke Wysong, Tavian Combs (injured) and Devon Dampier, and you can see why there is plenty of intrigue in Albuquerque.

Not all that different from the Lobos, Air Force had a massive roster overhaul. Now, the nature of the changes to their personnel, and certainly the way which they are limited to address it are in stark contrast. As most are aware, the Military Academies don’t have the benefit of the transfer portal, nor do they have conventional redshirt opportunities to develop their players. Now as some, and they will say that no transfer portal is an advantage as it is one less thing to worry about. That reality is highly debatable though.

Having 30 players now, who have started games for their first time this year, it’s fair to say the luxury of dipping into the pool might not of been a bad option to have. That is not the reality though. The harsh truth is, Troy Calhoun is looking for answers to a lot of questions, with very limited resources to pull from.

The Air Force offense has been dreadful, the defense hasn’t been a whole lot better, and now they are dealing with a litany of injuries. These are Biblical challenges, right out of the book of Job.

THE TALE OF THE TAPE

When comparing these two teams it’s hard to ignore the discrepancy in offensive production. The Lobos have thrown for nearly 1,000 yards more than the Falcons, are scoring 20+ more points per game and have double the passing and rushing touchdowns that Air Force has. You read that correct, the New Mexico Lobos have scored twice as many rushing touchdowns as the Air Force Fightin’ Falcons on the season. In fact, the Lobos quarterback, Devon Dampier has more rushing yards (333) than any two Air Force ball carriers combined.

Now, it is fair to point out, this New Mexico team has a top 25 scoring offense, averaging 32 points per game. But to be doubling up the Falcons in so many meaningful offensive statistics is troubling.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Lobos haven’t been nearly as productive. New Mexico is giving up more than 240 rush yards, on the way to surrendering almost 44 points per game. If ever this Air Force running game was going to find life, it has to be in Albuquerque.

CONCLUSION

Everyone is down on the Falcons right now. Rightfully so, as they haven’t inspired a lot of confidence with their on field play. Unfortunately for Air Force, injuries haven’t made rebounding from their third consecutive loss any easier.

It’s hard to believe the real perspective of this game is focusing on all the things that have to go the Falcon’s way, to give this team a chance. A chance against a one-win New Mexico Lobo’s team. But that that’s where we are right now. It’s about doing the little things right, and building on those small things.

 

It goes without saying, the offense has to be turnover free if Air Force wants to win this game. But they also have to avoid those drive killing penalties, which have started to rear far too often. And whether it’s Quentin Hayes or John Busha under center, the mesh point, pitch and exchange must be clean. This team has fumbled the ball eight times already, somehow they’ve lost just two of those fumbles. They should not try their “fumble luck”.

The real problem I suspect in this game is going to be the playmaking ability of New Mexico’s offense. Specifically, the off-schedule ability of Devon Dampier to make plays. He has thrown six picks on the year, so the defense needs to be very opportunistic when better discretion is compromised. The defense really must be assignment sound as well. This Falcon team looks less athletic and is far less experienced than teams of past, so the details and mental aspects of the game are imperative. Otherwise they are going to find themselves chasing athletes that they simply aren’t going to be able to match up well with.

There simply isn’t enough going well for Air Force to suggest they are going to beat a team with scoring potential. The offense, and the run game in particular need a jolt, and maybe giving Quentin Hayes a little more run under center can provide that. But if the line isn’t able to control the line of scrimmage, it doesn’t matter who is under center. That is why the game within the game is going to be so important this week.

You want to win every game you play. You are used to winning games against New Mexico. But if we are being honest about who this team is to date, there are no guaranteed wins. That’s why it is so important that the running game finds itself this week. They weren’t successful against what was statistically a very bad Wyoming team. Well, here is another chance to find some confidence. As the running game goes, so too does this team. A healthy rushing attack gives the defense relief, reducing the number of possessions of the opposition. Not to mention, it can downright wear out an opponent physically and mentally. Focus on finding your game Air Force, the results will come. I just don’t know it’s going to be the results we are hoping for yet, not this week anyways.

New Mexico 31 – Air Force 21

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Basketball Preseason Series 24-25: Best Shooters

Contact/Follow @aztecbreakdown Over the weeks leading up to the season Mountain West Wire will be looking at the best players at different aspects of the game. As basketball has become more and more positionless it’s more about being the best at …

Contact/Follow @aztecbreakdown

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Over the weeks leading up to the season Mountain West Wire will be looking at the best players at different aspects of the game. As basketball has become more and more positionless it’s more about being the best at specific skills than it is being the best at a certain position.

For previous articles, look here:

Best Scorers

Best Rebounders

Best Passers

Three point shooting has never been more important in basketball than it is in the current day. The way modern basketball is played, any team that has two players considered non-shooters on the floor at the same time is seriously hampering their offensive capabilities. A recent saying is “any player who isn’t a shooter, is a center.” Their lack of outside shooting ability limits them to playing close to the basket, which hurts the spacing of the team and often forces teammates to settle for inefficient midrange shots.

Given how important shooting is, having the best shooters can be important. Lots of different factors determine what a good shooter is. It is not simply a question of who has the best percentage. That being said, as a general rule a player shooting between 32%-34% is a roughly average shooter. A player who shoots 40%+ is considered elite. Other important factors include being able to hit contested shots, being able to shoot on the move, shooting after coming off of a screen, shooting off the dribble, and more.

Honorable Mention – Reese Waters, SDSU. 

Before getting hurt last season Waters was shooting 45% from deep. He was hitting shots standing still, and on the move, and off the dribble. Then he got hurt in the conference opener and never regained his form. If he is back and healthy he can show that those numbers weren’t a fluke. 

  1. David Douglas Jr, Fresno State –

Douglas doesn’t have as flashy of percentages as some other players, but he is probably the best at getting open looks. His ability to find holes in the defense and get uncontested shots off is elite. When a defender is close by he struggles with accuracy, but when he successfully loses his defender he connects on roughly 40% of his shots. 

  1. Tucker Anderson, Utah State –

Standing at 6’9, Anderson has an advantage of being able to shoot over most defenders. Regardless of whether there is a defender in front of him Anderson shot about 40% in catch and shoot situations last season. Anderson excels at hitting shots off of kick outs, he is also great playing in pick and pop situations, and can hit shots coming off of screens as well, albeit less efficiently.

  1. Xavier Dusell, Nevada –

Dusell has made a whole career off of being able to shoot the ball. He took 216 three’s last season and connected on 84 of them, good for 39%. Dusell also seems unaffected by the defense, as he connected on 40.5% of his shots when guarded. He excels at shooting both in spot up as well as transition situations. His one weakness is shooting on the move or coming off screens. Shooting off the dribble and coming off of screens were both sub 30% shots for Dusell last season. Alowing him to shoot off the catch optimizes his abilities.

  1. Beau Becker, Air Force –

Do not leave this man open behind the arc. Becker hit 52.5% of his open jump shots last season. When Becker is given time to shoot he treats the ball like a laser guided missile. Playing tough defense can disrupt his shot, so defenses have to choose whether or not to help and leave Becker open, or not help and give up something else. Given how good Becker is, sticking to him like glue is the best bet.

  1. Dontaie Allen, Wyoming –

What makes Dontaie Allen stick out as a shooter is his ability to hit shots on the move. Most players who shoot high percentages do so solely in stand still, catch and shoot situations. Allen didn’t get many chances to show his movement shooting ability at Western Kentucky, but Allen is great at hitting shots even when he doesn’t have his feet set. He can come off screens or relocate behind help and hit the shot, which is how shooters can truly break a defense.

 

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Air Force vs. Navy: Simulation and Prediction

Our Simulations Says Navy Wins 14-7 Can Air Force Prove Our Simulation Wrong? Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire WEEK 5: Air Force Falcons 1-3 (0-2 Mountain West) vs. Navy Midshipmen 4-0 (3-0 AAC) WHEN: Saturday, October 5th, 10 a.m. MT WHERE: Falcon …

Our Simulations Says Navy Wins 14-7


Can Air Force Prove Our Simulation Wrong?


Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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WEEK 5: Air Force Falcons 1-3 (0-2 Mountain West) vs. Navy Midshipmen 4-0 (3-0 AAC)

WHEN: Saturday, October 5th, 10 a.m. MT

WHERE: Falcon Stadium (Colorado Springs, CO)

TV: CBS
Rich Waltz, play by play
Ross Tucker, analyst
Tiff any Blackmon, reporter

SERIES HISTORY: Air Force leads the overall series, 34-22

GAME NOTES (PDF): Air Force | Navy

To this point, the 2024 season has Air Force and Navy at opposite ends of the success spectrum. The Mids have come out the gates blazing, taking care of business against lesser competition, while stacking a huge win against pre-season AAC favorite, Memphis.

The Falcons on the other hand, have struggled in every conceivable fashion to start the FBS portion of their schedule. Now losers of three straight, Troy Calhoun’s squad will need an unprecedented jump in play if they want to stop the bleeding and avoid an early elimination from the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy race.

If you are interested in a little more detailed look at these two schools and what has transpired to this point in the season, check out our work from earlier in the week. Air Force vs. Navy: A Look at the Academies

OUR SIMULATION

To add a wrinkle to this week’s preview, we’ve used the new College Football 25 game, from EA Sports to help project the winner.

In our simulation, Navy took down Air Force in a low scoring affair, winning 14-7. The ultimate decider was a Colin Ramos fumble return for a touchdown to give the Mids the lead and secure victory.

Statistics were rather pedestrian, as both quarterbacks threw for just over 50 yards. Neither team eclipsed 200 yards of total offense. I don’t think the EA Sports game got the memo yet, Blake Horvath and the Navy offense is a force to be reckoned with.

EXPECTATIONS FOR SATURDAY

Last year, the Air Force defense imposed their will on Navy. Defensively, they weren’t relenting a foot, much less a yard. Don’t be fooled by the final score, that was really done in mop-up time to end the game. The Mids were never a real threat to score on an outstanding Falcon defense, much less a threat to win the game.

Offensively for Air Force, a big pass play from Zach Larrier to Dane Kinamon is the marque explosive offensive play from the game. Unfortunately for the Falcons, neither player has eligibility left, nor do any of last years starting offensive lineman.

2024 projects to be very different. Navy quarterback, Blake Horvath, is top ten nationally in rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and yards per carry. Not to mention, the guy has been carving teams up with his arm as well. The Mids have their offense hitting on all cylinders, and it actually looks a lot like some of the dynamic Air Force offenses from seasons past.

This years offense doesn’t mark even the slightest resemblance to that of the past, nor this years Naval Academy unit. Maybe with time and more experience, things will start to click. But as it stands, this is one of the least productive offenses in the country, and stunningly, much of it has to do with their inability to run the ball.

It’s not as if Navy has featured an iron-clad defense. To the contrary, they have surrendered points. But the Falcons have yet to figure things out, even against a very underwhelming Wyoming team. These are all ingredients to another year absence of the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy.

Games between these Military schools are always different. It is often said, and it’s just as often true. But the lack of any sign of life that suggest Air Force could threaten to score points at a clip that rivals Navy at this point would be nothing short of hope or optimism. There will be an “Ah ha” moment at some point for this Falcon offense. Maybe not to the extent we are used to seeing, but potential to improve is certainly there. I’m just not sure it’s this week, nor in the form of potential that can rival the team opposite them.

Navy has the standout quarterback, rolls two deep with outstanding fullbacks in Alex Tecza and Daba Fofana, and they are flanked by an outstanding playmaker in Eli Heidenreich. There are just too many weapons to contend with.

Navy 24- Air Force 13

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Air Force vs. Navy Week: A look at the Academies

Air Force vs. Navy Week: A look at the Academies Two Programs Heading in Opposite Directions Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire It is officially Air Force versus Navy week! The first round in the three-team battle for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy …

Air Force vs. Navy Week: A look at the Academies


Two Programs Heading in Opposite Directions


Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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It is officially Air Force versus Navy week! The first round in the three-team battle for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy kicks off this Saturday in Colorado Springs. One of the great traditions in all of sports, the Falcons once dominated this series and were stingy possessors of the coveted trophy, securing it 21 times. Compare that to Navy’s 16 and Army’s 10*, and you could be fooled into thinking all is well at the Springs.

Not so much.

Despite having an overwhelmingly better season win total than Navy and Army the last few years, the CiC has become elusive to the Falcons, who last won the series in 2022. By contrast, Army has won the CiC five out of the last seven years. To put that into perspective, they started playing this series in 1972, and the Black Knights have secured the trophy five* of their 10* times in the last seven years. Impressive or disgusting? It depends on which of the three camps you stand.

And if your curious about the asterisk (*) by Army’s win total, do a quick internet search using the terms “Army Football Suspended Honor Code”. Or you can click here.

 

EXPERIENCE FUELS SUCCESS

The contrast between Navy and Air Force in 2024 has become blaring. Much of this is due in part because of the great progress Head Coach Brian Newberry and the Mids have made from last year. And if we’re being honest, there has to be a ton of credit given to their offensive coordinator, Drew Cronic. What he’s done with the development of the Mids offense under the controls of quarterback Blake Horvath is impressive to say the least.

Horvath is getting a ton of recognition this season, and rightfully so. He currently leads the American Athletic Conference in rushing and total touchdowns. If you have been following Navy for the past few years, basically since Malcolm Perry departed the program, then you know how desperate they have been for consistent quarterback play. As an Air Force fan, you have got to appreciate this challenge.

Horvath’s ascension and spectacular play should present a perfect case study for optimism among the Falcon faithful. The Navy quarterback was mired in a carousel of players rising and then falling down the depth chart in 2023. With the graduation of Tai Lavatai and Xavier Arline, Horvath entered this season with a clear path to take the reigns as the starter, despite a rocky 2023. And the investment has paid off. Take a look at the year over year progress from the Mids quarterback courtesy of Sports-Reference.

PASSING Season G Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Y/G Rate
2023 4 6 12 50 84 2 0 21 164
2024 4 30 44 68.2 637 7 1 159 238
Career 8 36 56 64.3 721 9 1 90.1 222
RUSHING Season G Att Yds Y/A TD Y/G
2023 4 37 183 4.9 0 45.8
2024 4 47 450 9.6 8 113
Career 8 84 633 7.5 8 79.1

Now looking at the Air Force quarterback situation, the production is a stark contrast. John Busha has started all four games this season, and if we are being honest, the offense hasn’t exactly flourished. But look at what Horvath’s production was in his first four starts, and it’s eerily similar. I am not saying Busha is poised to have the same type of breakout in production, definitely not. But what I am suggesting is, it takes time. And you cannot discount the reality of what an impact the pieces around the quarterback position makes.

Air Force is breaking new pieces at every position around Busha, basically. Navy took their lumps the past few years, but now have experience and skill surrounding their quarterback. Skill all over the field is a luxury that the Falcons have enjoyed for years, up until 2024. Now it’s their turn to take some lumps before molding the next core of Cadets to lead the program to another resurgence.

 

SPOILED BY SUCCESS

When you think about the challenge that this season has become for Air Force, it should be a healthy reminder of just how good they have been for some time. Very few teams in the nation have won as many games year after year as the Falcons have in the past five seasons. Navy by comparison, had fallen on very hard times before the promise of 2024. Their four wins to date, match or exceed their season win total for four of the past six seasons. Air Force won 9 or more games in that same span, winning 11 twice and 10 another. That is the kind of success that is incredibly hard to sustain, and equally impressive. Unfortunately, it also makes hard times that much more difficult. But perspective is worth bearing in mind.

In case your wondering, success over that period of time has included a fantastic run against Power Five (now Power Four) programs. The Falcons suffered their first loss to a school in the P4 over that same span, this year. Take a look at how the Academies have fared against P4 and P5 over the same period.

The Academies vs. P4 and P5 since 2018 season.

Air Force 4-1

Army 0-11

Navy 1-5

Full disclosure, for Navy in particular, there are a lot of really difficult matchups in those five losses, nearly all coming at the hands of Notre Dame.

CLOSING THOUGHTS

I think what makes this season’s rocky start so much more challenging is the success that Army and Navy have had. The Falcons have been a winning machine, closing with Bowl victories like clockwork for the past few seasons, and it’s gone relatively unnoticed by the National media.

Army and Navy are 1/3 of the way through this season, and their promising start has made them the darlings of much of the same media that has ignored the shear dominance that Air Force has exhibited on a yearly basis.

This coaching staff and program have shown a knack for rebounding and doing so with a statement and staying power. Let’s see if Troy Calhoun and crew and accelerate that rebound, starting October 5th against their rivals from Annapolis.

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Air Force at Wyoming: Can the Falcons defeat the Pokes?

Air Force at Wyoming: Can the Falcons defeat the Pokes? Will either team be able to find their scoring touch? Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire The Falcons look to rebound fresh off of their bye-week WEEK 4: Air Force Falcons 1-2 (0-1 Mountain West) …

Air Force at Wyoming: Can the Falcons defeat the Pokes?


Will either team be able to find their scoring touch?


Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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The Falcons look to rebound fresh off of their bye-week

WEEK 4: Air Force Falcons 1-2 (0-1 Mountain West) vs. Wyoming Cowboys 0-4 (0-0 Mountain West)

WHEN: Saturday, September 28th, 6 p.m. MT

WHERE: War Memorial Stadium (Laramie, WY)

TV: CBS Sports Network
Rich Waltz, play by play
Robert Turbin, analyst
Amanda Guerra, reporter

SERIES HISTORY: Air Force leads the overall series, 31-27-3

GAME NOTES (PDF): Air Force | Wyoming

 

It’s hard to believe we are already a quarter of the way through the college football season. Yet with plenty left on the schedule, Saturday’s matchup looks dire for two programs desperate for a win.

Prior to losing their last two matchups, Air Force did win their season opener, albeit in less-than-spectacular fashion against Merrimack College. Maybe they should be glad it wasn’t against stiffer FCS competition, because Wyoming wasn’t as fortunate on their home turf, losing to an old familiar foe, the Idaho Vandals. With just a single win between these two programs, something has to give on Saturday.

SIMILAR STRUGGLES

There are a lot of similarities between the Falcons and Pokes in this young season. In most years, that’s not necessarily a bad thing. In 2024 thus far, it is company that shouldn’t be preferred. Inability to score points, beatings at the hands of a Big12 team and shaky play from what was anticipated to be very steady kicking games. All is not well North, nor South on I-25.

Both teams have struggled immensely on offense. A lot of attention will be given to their respective quarterback play when diagnosing their offensive woes, and rightfully so. Both John Busha and Evan Svoboda are in their first year as starting signal callers, and they have not gotten the kind of support from their surrounding cast that you would hope for, when breaking in a new quarterback.

In Busha’s case, he is one of what are now 24 players on the Falcons who have made their first career start this season. This is the most nationally, and no surprise a factor when you consider the teams early season struggles. This week’s depth chart still lists Busha as the starter, and if the offense is going to start to find their stride, he’s got to take better care of the ball and make quicker decisions. Two things that are made much easier when you enjoy the luxury of an elite offensive line and experienced personnel at the skill positions. Maybe that will be the case in time, but right now, they are trying to figure things out.

This is not the Falcon offense of 2023. Nor should it be expected with all of the aforementioned turnover and new starters. I also don’t think it was a unit expected to rank 130th or worse nationally in Scoring Offense, Total Offense, Pass Efficiency or First Downs. For context, there are 133 teams in the FBS, and Air Force is dead last in Passing Offense, Pass Efficiency and First Downs. While Air Force usually is near the bottom nationally in passing offense (yards), that is typically because they are leading the nation in rushing offense. Not even close this year, as the ground game hasn’t quite found its way. And to be last in Pass Efficiency and First Down is unheard of for an Air Force Falcons team. These are hard times the offense has fallen on.

“Hard Times” sounds like it could be an old song played around the campfire. Which would be fitting because the Cowboys are singing it as well. They too rank outside of the top 130 nationally in Scoring Offense, Total Offense and Passing Efficiency. It should be worth mentioning though, their red-zone offense is tied for first nationally. While trips to the red-zone haven’t come often for the Pokes, they’ve made them count.

As bad as things have been on the offensive side of the ball in Laramie, the defense hasn’t been a whole lot better. This is much more surprising when you look at the personnel they have on that side of the ball. Wyoming was a stout defensive team under Craig Bohl, and that same expectation was there with new head coach Jay Sawvel. Unfortunately for the Pokes, this year’s team does not resemble those of the past, defensively. And boy could they use some of that juice right now.

 

Air Force has not fared much better, statistically at least. Don’t be fooled by Baylor scoring 31 points though. The defense was left on the field way too long, for far too many drives. After enough punts and turnovers, the levee broke, and much of that damage came in the fourth quarter. Were it not for stellar performances the previous two games, San Jose State may have routed the Falcons, and they very well may have suffered a similar fate as Wyoming, losing to an FCS opponent in the opener.

WHAT TO EXPECT IN LARAMIE

At risk of sounding redundant, anyone familiar with the production that Air Force lost from last years roster knew this would be a transition year. For the Falcons, it’s more about deciphering what a transition from a perennial 9 or 10-win team is. It is still too early to tell, especially with injuries starting to pile up on an already taxed roster. But if this team wants to make a push towards being in Bowl contender conversations by years end, this is the game to stack one in the win column. A loss makes the trajectory look eerily similar to that forgettable 2012 season.

These are typically low scoring affairs between Air Force and Wyoming, even in years which they’ve featured more prolific offenses. Traveling to Laradise has also proven to be a problem for some very good Falcon teams. Points are going to be at a premium, I don’t care what Bet ESPN says, there won’t be 34 points scored in this game. They somehow have Air Force favored by four, even that very well may exceed the point total for this contest.

 

With all the rhetoric around offensive deficiencies, and inconsistent kicking games, don’t sleep on the other aspect of special teams. Something to watch out for if you are Air Force, is the kick return game of Wyoming. Tyler King has already returned one to the house, and this is exactly the kind of game where field position from a strong return can affect the outcome.

Another thing to watch out for is points off of turnovers. Air Force forced three turnovers against both Baylor and Merrimack. Wyoming is near the bottom nationally in turnover margin and turnovers gained. It’s not as if the Falcons have been pristine with ball protection either, now would not be the time to help improve the Cowboys standing in this statistical area.

A fumble return for a touchdown, pick six or a special teams score could loom very large in a game like this. Even with a less than impressive showing by the Wyoming defense to date, there is a history that suggest they aren’t going to surrender yards in this game, and there are a number of players on that defense that may be able to validate that. Especially when you look in the trenches.

It’s crazy to say your optimistic coming off of a performance that your offense didn’t score a single touchdown, but I’m going to say it. Their last game saw the most productive rushing attack of the season, and the more players like Kemper Hodges, Cade Harris and Aiden Calvert can get a little daylight, you should see continued growth of the offense. I just don’t know that we will see enough improvement to say with confidence this team is going to find the endzone with any consistency. Not yet anyways.

Laramie has been inhospitable, and don’t expect that to change, regardless of Wyoming’s record. I have to see more from the Air Force offense to feel really confident in wins going forward. This happens to be a game that even if the offense were in a better place, it’s hard to predict a Falcon win traveling to Laradise.

Look for another low scoring affair. I’m anxious to be wrong, so let’s make it happen Air Force.

Air Force 9 – Wyoming 13

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Air Force vs. Merrimack: How the Falcons can beat the Warriors

Air Force vs. Merrimack: How the Falcons can beat the Warriors Will Troy Calhoun and the Falcons Stay Perfect Against FCS Competition Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire Can Air Force keep on rolling despite replacing most of last years starters? WEEK …

Air Force vs. Merrimack: How the Falcons can beat the Warriors


Will Troy Calhoun and the Falcons Stay Perfect Against FCS Competition


Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

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Can Air Force keep on rolling despite replacing most of last years starters?

WEEK 1: Air Force Falcons 0-0 vs. Merrimack College Warriors 0-0

WHEN: Saturday, Aug. 31, 1:30 p.m. MT

WHERE: Falcon Stadium (Colorado Springs, CO)

TV: CBS Sports Network; Chris Lewis- play by play, Robert Turbin- Analyst and Amanda Guerra- reporter

GAME NOTES (PDF): Air Force

 

The wait is finally over, Air Force football has arrived! The last time we saw the Falcons in action, they were pummeling James Madison in the Armed Forces Bowl. This of course was the win to stop a four-game losing skid to end the regular season, which ironically was preceded by a blazing 8-0 start to the year. A lot of ups and downs along the ride to a 9-win campaign.

The reset button has been pressed, and we will be seeing a very different team in 2024. The hope is to have similar results to what Troy Calhoun has been able to manifest consistently in Colorado Springs over the years, but with a lot of new starters.

Historically, the season opener for Air Force has often been an FCS opponent, and with very consistent results. A win. The Falcons are 27-0 all-time against the FCS, while Troy Calhoun has led the team to victory in 17 of those wins. Standing in the way of a 1-0 start to the 2024 season are the Merrimack College Warriors from the FCS level MAAC.

The Warriors were 5-6 last season, finishing sixth in their conference with a 4-3 record. Last years team was led by running back Tyvon Edmonds Jr. who rushed for more than 1,200 yards and collected 10 touchdowns. Well Edmonds Jr. has since transferred to Robert Morris University, who Air Force opened the season against last year.

Trying to fill the void for all those rushing yards this year will predominantly be Donovan Wadley, who is on the Walter Payton Award Watch List. Wadley ran for just over 200 yards last year, averaging over 6 yards per carry on the way to three touchdowns. The belief is that he will be able to deliver at a very high level with the increased opportunities. He is the first player from Merrimack to ever be named to the Award’s pre-season list.

They also return their starting quarterback from last year, Malakai Anthony, who presents as a dual threat. Expect Merrimack to lean on their ground.

 

PREDICTION

At risk of marginalizing their opponent Saturday, the focus for Air Force will be a lot more about chemistry, execution and exiting the game healthy. There are a lot of new players in critical positions that will be getting acclimated as starters against the Warriors. This is the time work the kinks out, before speeding right into Conference play against San Jose State in week two.

Expect John Busha, Dylan Carson and the newly crested offensive line to get to work early and often before relenting to some depth players as the game wears on. The same should be said for the defense with a lot of new guys in the starting line-up, supported by some absolute studs like Payton Zdroik, Camby Goff and Jamari Bellamy.

Colorado Springs is a long way from North Andover, Massachusetts. Thankfully the weather is outstanding this time of year in Colorado, because that should be more enjoyable for Merrimack than the game, unfortunately. It will be good to find their rhythm against an FCS opponent before the competition really stiffens for the balance of the Air Force 2024 calender.

Air Force 38 – Merrimack 9

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What to expect from the Mountain West and friends?

With a few new friends joining an already-enigmatic bunch, this is gearing up to be a very Mountain West-like season . Seven of the conference’s 12 teams will be showcasing a first-year head coach, one of which is returning to the Mountain West …

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With a few new friends joining an already-enigmatic bunch, this is gearing up to be a very Mountain West-like season. Seven of the conference’s 12 teams will be showcasing a first-year head coach, one of which is returning to the Mountain West coach and two of which still have an interim tag attached. Of those two, one is the youngest coach in the FBS and the other took the job so recently that it was his predecessor at Mountain West Media Days. To add to the strangeness and excitement, the 12-team playoff has arrived, providing a clear and defined path to the College Football Playoff. This has given the Mountain West a real opportunity and the stakes have never been higher. If things fall into place just right, the Mountain West championship could mean a chance to play in the College Football Playoff.  

The Mountain West is a tough league but until proven otherwise, it will appear to be a race to play, or replace, Boise State in the title match. The Broncos will have to ward off some formidable suitors. Fresno State, UNLV, and Wyoming will be gunning for a top spot. At the bottom, a trio of Nevada, New Mexico, and San Jose State will be looking to find their footing with the rest of the pack fitting somewhere in between.

Before we take a look at the conference, let’s take a look at the friends of the Mountain West. This year the Mountain West will have some visitors from the Pac-12. Oregon State and Washington State have both taken a beating on and off the field. Left behind as the only remaining members of their conference the two teams couldn’t even field a schedule. The two teams entered into a scheduling agreement with the Mountain West, so even though they won’t be eligible for the title game, they will be playing a Mountain West schedule. 

Washington State

Jake Dickert’s Washington State didn’t get the kindest draw in the Mountain West slate and doesn’t have the easiest non-conference schedule either. 

The Cougars open with Portland State, Texas Tech, Washington, San Jose State, and Boise State before their first bye. Portland and San Jose State represent winnable games, but the other three will be tough and they could pretty easily be 2-3 to open the season. 

Coming out of the bye they will be met with a tough game against Fresno State, at which point the season could be at a pretty dangerous juncture. After what could easily be a 2-4 start, the Cougars would have to win at least four of their last six games against Hawaii, San Diego State, Utah State, New Mexico, Oregon State, and Wyoming. It’s possible, but the path to six wins is a rocky one for Washington State this year. Wazzu should end up between 3-9 and 8-4. 

Oregon State

Oregon State is in slightly better shape and gets a slightly better draw. Like most of the Mountain West teams, the Beavers will be led by a first-year head coach in Trent Brady, who has been coaching defense within the program in some capacity since 2018. He was previously the defensive coordinator and linebackers coach. 

The schedule for the Beavers is broken up into three four-game pods broken up by bye weeks. Their first set includes Idaho State, San Diego State, Oregon, and Purdue. Oregon State should take care of the Mountain West portion of that schedule but will have a harder time against the Big Ten portion. 

After a bye, Oregon State will face Colorado State, Nevada, UNLV, and Cal. The Nevada schools stand out in this section of the schedule. The toughest team in this stretch is UNLV while the Wolf Pack will be in a rebuild. 

The final stretch starts with a game against another rebuilding team in San Jose State. Then the Beavers play at Air Force and host Washington State. Then the Beavers close their season on the road against Boise State. The Broncos won’t go down easy, but if the Beavers can survive against Air Force, the Beavers should best the Cougars, and a winning season should be in play even if they drop their season finale. Oregon State could land anywhere from 3-9 (though that seems like it would be a long shot) and 9-3. A record closer to 7-5 seems more reasonable. 

Air Force Falcons

Air Force is Air Force, and that’s just about all there is to it. Troy Calhoun, the longest-tenured coach in the Mountain West by a large margin, has amassed a record of 130-82. In his 18 years, his Falcons have only missed a bowl game five times. In the 13 bowl games they have gone to, they are 8-5. That’s probably indicative of what’s to come. 

The Falcons have plenty of holes to fill with a slew of departures headlined by quarterback Zac Larrier, but in Colorado Springs, it’s just rinse and repeat. The Falcons are coming off three consecutive bowl games and have won ten, ten, and nine games in the past three seasons. So, even with the substantial losses to the roster, anyone who has been watching Air Force for the past decade knows better than to count them out. 

The Falcons open conference play early and will host San Jose State in week two. Their week three matchup on the road against Baylor should be interesting. After that, they get a bye week and proceed with a pretty standard Air Force schedule with games against the rest of the Mountain West, Navy, and Army. They avoid Boise State, but travel to Laramie and host the Bulldogs. Air Force could go 4-8 on the low end or 9-3 on the high end. 

Boise State Broncos

As much as the other 11 teams — and their fan bases — hate to admit it, Mountain West football runs through Boise. This year looks like it won’t be different.

Much could be said about the dramatics of last season and the unlikely rise of an untested coach in Spencer Danielson, but none of that would discredit what is happening at Boise State. In fact, much could be said of the entire program, but not much discourse is necessary to sum up what the Broncos have. That’s all because of one Ashton Jeanty.

Jeanty is, without question, one of the most impressive ball carriers in the nation. He’s the best running back in the conference and one of the most dangerous offensive players. In a lackluster program, he can single handedly make up for deficiencies around him, be it insufficient help on offense or poor coaching. In a competent program, he can elevate the team from good to great and from great to titanic. The Broncos could have done anything this offseason and it wouldn’t matter one bit. As long as Jeanty is in a Bronco uniform, Boise State will be a contender. Boise State should expect to go between 9-3 and 11-1. 

Colorado State Rams

Colorado State is going into year three of the Jay Norvell experiment and it hasn’t gone as well as the Rams would have hoped when they poached the offensive tactician from Nevada. All the Rams have really managed to do so far is sabotage their conference foe on the way to mediocrity (Nevada has gone 2-20 while Colorado State has gone 8-16 since then). The Rams hope that will change this season. 

The Rams haven’t seen a bowl game since 2017, when they capped off a five-year run of bowl appearances, but got just about as close as possible last year. They got within a game of bowl eligibility last season and came up just short of adding that last win multiple times, including a 43-35 overtime loss at Colorado, a 25-23 loss at UNLV, a 24-15 loss at Wyoming, and a 27-24 loss at Hawaii. 

As is standard with Norvell’s teams, the story here will be the offense. Norvell likes to throw the ball around and he has a team that should be able to pass to his liking. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi showed flashes of being a really high-level quarterback last year and Tory Horton is one of the best wide receivers in the conference. Horton was All-Mountain First team last season and Fowler-Nicolosi earned an honorable mention. Horton was also named to the Preseason All-Conference team this year. 

Overall, the Rams should be able to take a step forward this year. If everything clicks, Norvell, Fowler-Nicolosi, and Horton could create a solid, if not dangerous, offense. The defense, led by linebacker Chase Wilson, should at least be able to keep up. 

An adept defense and a Jay Norvell offense would certainly do the trick in Fort Collins, but only time will tell if the Rams will hit those marks. Colorado State should finish within 4-8 and 8-4.