NFC Championship All-22: How the 49ers can beat the Eagles

How can the San Francisco 49ers get past the Philadelphia Eagles and make their second Super Bowl in four years? Doug Farrar has three keys to success.

The last time the Philadelphia Eagles played the San Francisco 49ers, it was Week 2 of the 2021 season, and many things were different. The 49ers won, 17-11. Jimmy Garoppolo was San Francisco’s quarterback. Jalen Hurts was Philadelphia’s quarterback, but nobody was really sure about that yet. Hurts completed 12 of 23 passes for 190 yards and no touchdowns, and he ran the ball 10 times for 82 yards and a touchdown, which perfectly reflected Hurts’ overall skill set at the time. Quez Watkins was Philly’s top receiver (two catches for 117 yards), and Hurts was by far Philly’s leading rusher.

As for the 49ers, Garoppolo completed 22 of 30 passes for 189 yards and a touchdown, which is the most Jimmy Garoppolo game you can imagine. Jamycal Hasty was San Francisco’s most explosive runner, and Deebo Samuel was San Francisco’s most productive receiver… so, there’s one thing you might have actually expected.

Now, the Eagles have an MVP candidate in Hurts, who has grown exponentially as both a runner and a passer. They have A.J. Brown and a fully developed DeVonta Smith at receiver. Philly’s run game is an entirely different animal, and their defense has taken great steps forward in the 2022 season.

San Francisco’s defense is now the NFL’s best, and their offense, with the additions of rookie quarterback Brock Purdy and running back Christian McCaffrey, ranks second in DVOA since Week 10, behind only the Chiefs.

Unlike the AFC Championship game, where the Chiefs and Bengals have all kinds of recent intel to go on (it’ll be their third matchup since last season’s AFC Championship game), this Eagles-49ers tilt should look very different than what we last saw nearly two years ago.

If the 49ers are to get past the Eagles and advance to their second Super Bowl in the last four years, here are three keys to unlocking that door.

(All advanced metrics courtesy of Football Outsiders, Sports Info Solutions, and Pro Football Focus unless otherwise indicated). 

NFC Championship All-22: How the Eagles can beat the 49ers

How can the Eagles beat the 49ers in the NFC Championship game and advance to Super Bowl LVII? Doug Farrar details four paths to victory.

The last time the Philadelphia Eagles played the San Francisco 49ers, it was Week 2 of the 2021 season, and many things were different. The 49ers won, 17-11. Jimmy Garoppolo was San Francisco’s quarterback. Jalen Hurts was Philadelphia’s quarterback, but nobody was really sure about that yet. Hurts completed 12 of 23 passes for 190 yards and no touchdowns, and he ran the ball 10 times for 82 yards and a touchdown, which perfectly reflected Hurts’ overall skill set at the time. Quez Watkins was Philly’s top receiver (two catches for 117 yards), and Hurts was by far Philly’s leading rusher.

As for the 49ers, Garoppolo completed 22 of 30 passes for 189 yards and a touchdown, which is the most Jimmy Garoppolo game you can imagine. Jamycal Hasty was San Francisco’s most explosive runner, and Deebo Samuel was San Francisco’s most productive receiver… so, there’s one thing you might have actually expected.

Now, the Eagles have an MVP candidate in Hurts, who has grown exponentially as both a runner and a passer. They have A.J. Brown and a fully developed DeVonta Smith at receiver. Philly’s run game is an entirely different animal, and their defense has taken great steps forward in the 2022 season.

San Francisco’s defense is now the NFL’s best, and their offense, with the additions of rookie quarterback Brock Purdy and running back Christian McCaffrey, ranks second in DVOA since Week 10, behind only the Chiefs.

Unlike the AFC Championship game, where the Chiefs and Bengals have all kinds of recent intel to go on (it’ll be their third matchup since last season’s AFC Championship game), this Eagles-49ers tilt should look very different than what we last saw nearly two years ago.

If the Eagles are to avenge that 2021 loss and move to Super Bowl LVII, here are four things they’ll have to do.

(All advanced metrics courtesy of Football Outsiders, Sports Info Solutions, and Pro Football Focus unless otherwise indicated). 

NFC Championship: How the Eagles can challenge the 49ers’ defense with the run game

The Eagles’ run game against the 49ers’ defense? That’ll be a pivotal matchup in the NFC Championship game. Laurie Fitzpatrick has the tape.

The Philadelphia Eagles’ offense and the San Francisco 49ers’ defense will be an incredible matchup of physics.

P = F*v (Power equals Force times velocity)

The Eagles’ offense is pass-first, but there are a ton of run-pass options in there. The threat of the run-option is what can freeze a defense, and that half-second hesitation can make or break a play. That frozen moment in time is when the play is decided.

The Eagles’ offense thrives off a defense’s split-second decisions, and the 49ers defense rarely hesitate to give up big plays.

Let’s go to the film and diagnose how the Eagles will use their backfield against the 49ers’ dominant run defense.

49ers defensive lineman Charles Omenihu arrested on misdemeanor domestic violence charge

49ers defensive lineman Charles Omenihu was arrested on Monday and charged with misdemeanor domestic violence

Defensive lineman Charles Omenihu of the San Francisco 49ers was arrested by San Jose (Ca) police on Monday after they received a report of a domestic violence incident.

The 6-foot-5, 280-pound Omenihu was booked at the Santa Clara County jail and released after he posted bail. Omenihu was also served with a restraining order.

Police arrived at a residence at 4:39 p.m. local time after a woman called to report that Omenihu, who is her boyfriend, pushed her to the ground during an argument.

“Officers did not observe any visible physical injuries to the survivor, she did however have a complaint of pain to her arm,” police said in a statement. “The survivor declined any medical attention at the time Officers were conducting the investigation.”

Omenihu gave a statement and cooperated with officers when they arrived at the location on Santana Row in West San Jose.

“Omenihu was booked into the Santa Clara County Main Jail for misdemeanor domestic violence, he has since posted bail and is no longer in custody,” the department said. “The case will be submitted to the Santa Clara County District Attorney’s Office for possible charges. This is an ongoing investigation and additional details will be released when they become available.”

The 49ers play the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday in the NFC Championship Game.

“We are aware of the matter involving Charles Omenihu and are in the process of gathering further information,” the 49ers said in a statement on Tuesday.

4-Down Territory: Dak, Bills rebuild, best QB left, who goes to Super Bowl LVII?

On this week’s 4-Down Territory: Dak’s future, why the Bills need a rebuild, best QB left in the playoffs, and who goes to Super Bowl LVII.

Every week in “4-Down Territory,” Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Luke Easterling of Bucs Wire and Draft Wire go over the things you need to know about, and the things you need to watch, in the NFL right now. With the divisional round done, and Conference Championship Sunday just around the corner, there’s a lot to talk about!

00:00 – Are the Cowboys now stuck with an unsolvable problem at QB?

05:57 – Is it time to start wondering if the Bills’ window is starting to close?

11:09 – Which QB would you most want to tie your postseason fortunes to?

15:22 – Which two teams will make it to Super Bowl LVII?

You can watch this week’s episode of “4-Down Territory,” sponsored by KIA, right here.

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Coaching is about the little things. Is it any wonder the Cowboys fell short?

The Cowboys-49ers divisional round game came down to coaching. It should not surprise that Mike McCarthy was on the wrong end of that equation.

Over the last two seasons, the inside joke about the Dallas Cowboys has been that offensive coordinator Kellen Moore is there to call brilliant stuff on offense, defensive coordinator Dan Quinn is there to call brilliant stuff on defense, and head coach Mike McCarthy is there to mangle the clock, get things situationally wrong, and eat sandwiches.

It’s a cruel narrative, but after Dallas’ 19-12 loss in the divisional round to the San Francisco 49ers, it kinda rings true. Head coaches must understand every aspect of the game, and they must make sure their players are trained to the point of instinct on the little things that can either give you victories, or have you holding your guts in pain after an agonizing loss.

McCarthy’s decisions in this game were… odd, at best. Let’s start with the decision to keep kicker Brett Maher as the starter. Maher had famously missed four extra points in Dallas’ wild-card win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and the Cowboys had an entire week to come up with an alternate plan. Instead, Maher had an extra point blocked which would have been a miss if it hadn’t, and there were multiple instances in which the Cowboys might have had field goals to try, and didn’t. Dallas converted both of its fourth-down attempts in the game, but that wasn’t the larger issue.

Then, there was the decision to punt from the Dallas 18-yard line after Dak Prescott took a third-down sack with 2:50 left in the game. Fine, but the Cowboys ran the clock down to 2:11 before Brian Anger punted the ball, and if you wanted to get the ball back, that was at least one extra play you just wasted.

The Cowboys’ defense did get the ball back, but when Mitch Wishnowsky punted the ball back to Dallas, there were just 51 seconds left in the game. The Cowboys wouldn’t have had that much time had 49ers running back Elijah Mitchell not run out of bounds at the end of his 13-yard run with 1:53 left in the game. That basically gave Dallas an extra time out when they desperately needed it.

So, now, the Cowboys had first-and-10 from their own six-yard line with 45 seconds left, no timeouts, down by seven points, and in obvious need of a touchdown. Two sideline passes to tight end Dalton Schultz were problematic on that final Dallas drive — one in which Schultz didn’t realize that he had to be moving forward when he went out of bounds, which kept the clock running with, and another in which Schultz failed to get his second foot in bounds, resulting in an incompletion after review.

After that play, Dallas had six seconds left, and one play left in their quiver, from their own 24-yard line. The resulting play probably should have been something like the Fumblerooski or the Annexation of Puerto Rico, but instead, there was… well, whatever this was.

With running back Ezekiel Elliott at center, Prescott threw an eight-yard pass to KaVontae Turpin, and thus endeth the game.

There are a lot of little things — subtle details — that go into a win or a loss. And in this case, it was Mike McCarthy’s inability to have a handle on those subtleties, from preseason design and implementation to postseason finality, that sunk his team. Not for the first time by any means, but in this case, one of the most obvious and crushing set of circumstances.

Jalen Hurts, Brock Purdy dueled in wild Big 12 game in 2019

What happened when Brock Purdy and Jalen Hurts faced each other in college?

Jalen Hurts and Brock Purdy meet again.

This time it will be on January 29, when the San Francisco 49ers meet the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC Championship Game at the Linc.

The quarterbacks will be hard-pressed to repeat their 2019 contest when Oklahoma and Iowa State dueled in a Big 12 contest.

The game wasn’t settled until a late two-point conversion pass by Purdy was intercepted by Parnell Motley with 24 seconds left.

Final score: Oklahoma 42, Iowa State 41.

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

In the losing cause, Purdy threw for 282 yards and 5 touchdowns. He also rushed for 55 yards and a score.

Hurts, in his only year with Oklahoma after transferring from Alabama, threw for 273 yards and 3 touchdowns. He also ran for 68 yards and a pair of scores.

The Sooners led 42-21 in the fourth quarter before Purdy threw 3 TD passes.

Cyclones coach Matt Campbell opted to try for the 2-point conversion and win in Norman, but the pass was picked.

(Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images)

49ers douse Cowboys, will duel Eagles in NFC Championship Game

The 49ers are on to the NFL Championship Game in Philly

The San Francisco 49ers are off to Philadelphia.

They downed the Dallas Cowboys in a divisional round game on Sunday, 19-12, to earn a spot against the Eagles at the Linc on Jan. 29 in the NFC Championship Game.

The 49ers outscored Dallas 10-3 in the fourth quarter of a defensive struggle.

One of the biggest plays happened when Brock Purdy, whose remarkable run continues, connected with George Kittle for a 30-yard pass that saw the ball deflect off the tight end’s hand and facemask before he caught it.

That set up a 2-yard TD run by Christian McCaffrey.

The teams traded field goals after that.

Dallas had a last gasp with 6 seconds left but a bizarre formation that saw running back Ezekiel Elliott snap the football to Dak Prescott went nowhere.

 

George Kittle’s astonishing catch sets up Christian McCaffrey TD run

A fantastic George Kittle catch led to a Christian McCaffrey TD run for the Niners

George Kittle has one of the biggest personalities in the NFL. The San Francisco 49ers’ tight end made one of the biggest plays in Sunday’s NFC divisional round game against the Dallas Cowboys.

Rookie quarterback Brock Purdy had Kittle open over the middle in the third quarter. He threw a pass that Kittle flagged with one hand, then saw it deflect off his facemask before he came down with the football.

The play was good for 30 yards and was instrumental in a 91-yard drive that ended with a short Christian McCaffrey touchdown run.

The Niners had 8 first downs the entire game prior to this drive. On the march, they collected 6 more.

Dak Prescott’s interceptions vs. 49ers had precedents in the regular season

Dak Prescott’s two first-half interceptions against the 49ers had regular-season precedents. It’s never good when you have repeatable types of interceptions.

If you thought that Dak Prescott’s interception issues were behind him after he torched the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the divisional round… well, think again. Prescott, who tied with Davis Mills of the Houston Texans for the regular-season lead in interceptions (15) and pick-sixes (three) in the regular season, managed to throw four touchdowns and no picks against a Bucs defense that didn’t seem to want to be on the field.

The 49ers’ top defense had other ideas early on, and when you look at Prescott’s two first-half interceptions in this game, they’re frustratingly similar to interceptions Prescott threw in the regular season.

Let’s start with the pick Prescott threw to 49ers cornerback Deommodore Lenoir with 5:55 left in the first quarter.

It looked as if receiver Michael Gallup ran a curl route with an option to go more vertical based on the coverage. Which Gallup did. Unfortunately for all involved with stars on their helmets, Prescott threw the comeback, and Lenoir was eager to jump that one.

Now, let’s head back to Week 13 against the Indianapolis Colts, when Gallup was once again Prescott’s backside target on an intermediate route with a clear stop. Cornerback Stephon Gilmore ran Gallup’s route better than Gallup did, and the results were pretty much the same.

Now, Prescott’s interception to linebacker Fred Warner with 1:24 left in the first half. Here, Prescott tried to get cute on a throw to CeeDee lamb, throwing it low to his target on a little whip route. Safety Jimmie Ward was first on the scene, tipping the ball to his esteemed teammate.

It was as if the 49ers expected Prescott to throw low in this situation. Perhaps they saw the interception Prescott threw to Jacksonville Jaguars safety Rayshawn Jenkins in Week 15. Prescott tried to go low on a crosser to receiver Noah Brown, and in this case, it wasn’t a defender who tipped the ball to the defense; it was Brown himself. Jenkins returned that interception for the game-winning touchdown in overtime.

It’s never good for a quarterback when said quarterback has thrown enough interceptions to have repeatable types of interceptions in a season, but we’re to the point with Prescott where opponents can pick and choose how they’d like to… well, pick and choose.

Why is Dak Prescott throwing so many interceptions?