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The Carolina Hurricanes (24-14-2) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (20-15-2) meet Tuesday at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Hurricanes vs. Lightning odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Lightning lead 1-0
This game was originally scheduled to play Oct. 12 in Tampa, but it was postponed due to Hurricane Milton.
Carolina picked up a 4-3 win in overtime Sunday as a heavy favorite (-204) while the Over (6.5) came through thanks to the extra session. It is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games since Dec. 28, with the Over going 5-2 across the previous 7 outings.
The Lightning suffered a 4-1 loss in Anaheim Sunday, wrapping up an 0-3-0 California road trip. The Lightning managed just a single goal in each of the 3 games, while allowing a total of 8 goals. The Under cashed in all 3 outings. Tampa Bay has been outscored 13-5 in the past 4 games, all losses in regulation.
In an Oct. 11 meeting, Tampa Bay won 4-1 as a +134 road underdog while the Under (6) cashed.
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Hurricanes at Lightning odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 5:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Hurricanes -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Lightning -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Hurricanes -1.5 (+200) | Lightning +1.5 (-250)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Hurricanes at Lightning projected goalies
Pyotr Kochetkov (15-8-1, 2.48 GAA, .901% SV, 1 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (16-12-1, 2.37 GAA, .914 SV%, 2 SO)
Kochetkov allowed 3 goals on 26 shots in a 4-0 loss to Minnesota Saturday night at Lenovo Center. In his most recent road start, he allowed just a single goal on 26 shots in a 3-1 victory against the Florida Panthers Thursday. He has allowed 3 or fewer goals in 8 of the previous 9 starts.
Vasilevskiy allowed 2 goals on 21 shots in a 2-1 setback at the LA Kings Saturday, and he has dropped each of his 2 starts since the ball dropped to ring in the new year. However, while he is 0-2-0, he has a solid 2.07 GAA and .913 SV% while receiving just 2 goals of offensive support.
Hurricanes at Lightning picks and predictions
Prediction
Lightning 3, Hurricanes 2
Moneyline
The LIGHTNING (-105) are worth a look as short ‘dogs in this battle at Amalie Arena.
While Tampa Bay has struggled to light the lamp lately, notching just 5 total goals in the team’s 4-game span, it’s due to get going against the Hurricanes (-115). The Lightning have won 4 of the past 5 meetings in this series, and the winning team has 4 shutouts in the past 6 meetings since March 5, 2023. The Lightning has won each of the past 4 meetings as underdogs.
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Puck line/Against the spread
Tampa Bay +1.5 (-250) is too risky if you’d like a little bit of insurance and just can’t play Tampa Bay straight up.
If you like Tampa Bay, just play it on the moneyline.
PASS.
Over/Under
UNDER 6 (-105) is worth a look, as Tampa Bay has had trouble scoring lately.
Carolina has cashed the Under in 2 of the past 3 outings, averaging 2.3 goals per game (GPG) in the span and allowing 2.7 GPG. For Tampa Bay, the Under has cashed in 3 straight, averaging just 1.0 GPG and allowing 2.7 GPG.
In addition, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 meetings in this series since March 28, 2023.
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