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The No. 7 Texas Longhorns (6-1, 3-1 Big 12) welcome the BYU Cougars (5-2, 2-2) to DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the BYU vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Longhorns beat the Houston Cougars on the road 31-24 Saturday, but failed to cover as a 23.5-point favorite. Texas is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) at home this season, winning and covering its last home game in a 40-14 throttling of the Kansas Jayhawks. Led by QB Quinn Ewers, who has 1,915 passing yards and 18 TDs. Texas is No. 7 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
BYU beat the Texas Tech Red Raiders 27-14 at home in Week 8, covering as a 3-point home underdog. The Cougars are 3-4 ATS this season and both 1-2 ATS and straight up on the road. BYU is led by QB Kedon Slovis, who has 15 TDs this season. The Cougars’ weakness is their defense, having allowed 35-plus points in 2 of their last 4 games.
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BYU at Texas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): BYU +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Texas -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): BYU +19.5 (-115) | Texas -19.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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BYU at Texas picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas 38, BYU 17
Moneyline
PASS.
Nothing to see here. Texas is far too expensive to win outright. Similarly, BYU hasn’t been good enough to consider its +700 a good value.
Against the spread
LEAN TEXAS -19.5 (-105).
BYU has struggled on the road and against Big 12 teams. It did beat Cincinnati and Texas Tech, both games at home. In other Big 12 action, it lost 44-11 at TCU and 38-27 at Kansas, failing to cover in both. Texas will post the most difficult challenge yet.
The Longhorns are 1-2 ATS at home but 1-0 ATS at home against a conference opponent. It beat Kansas at home by 26 while Kansas beat BYU at home by 11. With that in mind, Texas, at home, should be able to get out early against a BYU team that has struggled mightily in road conference games.
Take TEXAS -19.5 (-105).
Over/Under
BET OVER 50.5 (-110).
Texas is 2-5 O/U while BYU is 5-2 O/U.
BYU is 3-1 O/U in conference games, scoring 27 or more in 3 of 4 and allowing 37 or more in 3 of 4 as well. Texas has scored at least 30 in all 4 conference games, and it should be able to score quickly against a lacking BYU defense.
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