At 1 p.m. ET Sunday, the Buffalo Bills (5-3) will take on the New York Jets (2-6). The game is set to take place at MetLife Stadium, the home of the Jets. Below, we look at the Bills at Jets player props, and make our best NFL picks and predictions.
The Bills are coming into this one off a disappointing 9-6 loss to the Jags.
There was just five field goals made with no touchdowns. QB Josh Allen did not get going. There is hope on the horizon, as the Bills have won by double figures in each of the games following a loss this season.
As for the Jets, they should be getting QB Mike White back after being knocked out of the team’s prime-time throttling at the hand of the Colts.
That said, there are some player prop odds to heavily consider in this one. Let’s dive into them.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds: Player prop bets
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Bills WR Stefon Diggs OVER 76.5 receiving yards (-114)
The Jets are awful at just about every defensive category when it comes to passing. They rank 29th in opponent’s completion percentage. They rank 30th in opponent’s passing yards per game.
The list goes on, but the gist is the same. With Allen looking to bounce back, Diggs should get the bulk of the action. Diggs has topped 76 yards in three games this season.
He’s topped in 3 of his last 5 as well, struggling out of the gate. He’s been in full force these past few weeks, and he should be a premier target in a pass-heavy offense going against a soft pass defense.
A + B + C = take Diggs Over prop.
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Jets RB Michael Carter UNDER 40.5 rushing yards (-108)
There are a few things that should be expected of this game. With Buffalo’s ability to bounce back and Jets returning White, New York’s run game may be forgotten.
Combine that with the fact that the Jets should be trailing most of the game, and you already have a set up not friendly for running the ball.
But, one must also keep in mind that the Bills have one of the best rush defenses in the NFL. They’re allowing the 4th fewest rushing yards per game.
Buffalo is going to be missing Tremaine Edmunds, so they’ll be short a key linebacker. Nonetheless, they should certainly be expecting to shore up their defensive line and force White to beat them.
With that in mind, fading Carter is smart. Despite having ten-plus carries in 5 straight games, he’s had under 40 yards in three of them.
Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 2.5 passing touchdowns (+146)
The Bills rank fourth in points per game and are captained by a MVP frontrunner.
On the other side of the ball, the Jets have the worst scoring defense in the league, giving up over 31 points per game. This should be a heyday for Allen.
He’s thrown 3 or more touchdowns in 3 of his last 6. Going against a defense that could allow 5 or more touchdowns in this game, Allen’s prop makes complete sense.
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