Bucs’ playoff percentage ahead of Week 18

Here’s what the odds say about Tampa Bay’s playoff chances ahead of the last game of the season:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8) had the opportunity to secure playoff berth against the New Orleans Saints (8-8) on Sunday and fell well short of that goal. Baker Mayfield threw two interceptions and couldn’t gain any efficiency on offense until the fourth quarter.

The Bucs playoff dreams aren’t dead, though. Tampa Bay can redeem itself against the Carolina Panthers (2-14) 1 p.m. on Sunday. A victory clinches the NFC South Divisional title and places it in the hands of the Bucs for the third consecutive year.

According to the New York Times playoff simulator, the Bucs have a 56% chance of making the playoffs. Tampa Bay’s most simple route to the playoffs is a victory, however, they can also can secure playoff berth in two other ways.

The Bucs can secure the NFC South Division title if they tie and a tie or loss by the New Orleans Saints. Tampa Bay can lock in a Wild Card seed with a tie, a loss by the Seahawks, and a tie or a loss by the Green Bay Packers.

The Bucs have a 72% chance of winning on Sunday according to ESPN Analytics. Tampa Bay is a 4.5-point favorite on BetMGM.

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