The Boston Red Sox (26-20) and San Diego Padres (20-26) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 2-0
Boston won 4-2 Saturday as a +105 road underdog after jumping out to a 3-0 lead in the 2nd inning thanks to a 3-run home run from 2B Enmanuel Valdez. The Red Sox have not trailed through the first 2 games of this series.
Boston has now won 4 straight games and is 11-9 on the road. San Diego has now lost 4 straight and is 1-9 in their last 10 overall. The Padres sit at 11-15 at home on the season.
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Red Sox at Padres projected starters
RHP Corey Kluber vs. RHP Michael Wacha
Kluber (2-5, 6.41 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 39 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K, in a 9-1 home loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals last Sunday
- Career vs. San Diego: 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA (14 IP, 4 ER), 14 H, 0 HR, 1 BB and 18 K across 2 starts
Wacha (4-1, 4.06 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 44 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 11 K, in a 4-0 home win Monday vs. Kansas City Royals
- Career vs. Boston: 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA (15 IP, 5 R), 14 H, 1 HR, 5 BB, 17 K through 3 starts
Red Sox at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Padres 3
Moneyline
LEAN RED SOX (+125).
The Red Sox are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with San Diego dating back to 2013 and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Red Sox are also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego. Boston is 1-4 in its last 5 interleague games vs. right-handed starters but should be able to come away with the win Sunday.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BOSTON +1.5 (-150).
This is your safest bet for this game. The Red Sox are looking for a 3-0 sweep of the Padres and that should be motivation enough. The Padres have the pitching advantage with Wacha but Boston should be able to win this game — or at least keep it close.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-105).
The Over has been hitting recently for Boston, but the Under is 2-0 in their last 2 games.
The Under is 4-0 in Wacha’s last 4 starts on grass and 4-0 in his last 4 starts overall.
The Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall and 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings overall. The Under is also 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings in San Diego.
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