Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (48-40) take on the New York Yankees (55-36) on Sunday Night Baseball in the finale of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-2

The Red Sox snapped a 5-game winning streak with a 14-4 loss to the Yanks Saturday. 3B Rafael Devers was one of the few productive Red Sox hitters with 2 of the clubs’ 4 hits, including his 19th homer of the season. After a 28-29 start, the Red Sox are 20-11 over their last 31 games.

1B Ben Rice became the first Yankees rookie to hit 3 homers in a game Saturday. He had 7 RBIs in a game to remember. The win snapped a 4-game losing streak for the Yanks, who are 2nd in the majors with 5.10 runs per game. Their pitching has been supporting them, too, with the 6th-best ERA at 3.59.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Luis Gil

Crawford (4-7, 3.47 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 98 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 8-3 victory at Miami Marlins Tuesday
  • Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 2-0, 2.60 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 32 K

Gil (9-4, 3.41 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 89 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 5-4 home setback vs. Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
  • Has allowed 16 ER in 9 2/3 IP in last 3 starts (14.90 ERA)
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0. 0.93 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 10 K in 2 starts

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Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

I like the Red Sox here because Crawford has been more reliable than Gil. Crawford is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in his last 3 starts, and he has 7+ K’s in 4 straight.

Meanwhile Gil has been all over the place with 2+ walks in 4 straight and 6 of 7.

For the value, BET RED SOX (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

As mentioned, Crawford has 7+ K’s in 4 straight starts. He has 7+ K’s in his last 2 starts against the Yankees as well.

TAKE KUTTER CRAWFORD OVER 5.5 K’S (+105) at plus-money!

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Over/Under

Both teams are 8-1-1 O/U over their last 10. The Over is 5-3-2 in the last 10 meetings as well. It’s slated to be an 85-degree evening with a light, 5-mph breeze from right to left.

With the way these teams are mashing the ball, BACK OVER 8.5 (-115).

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