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The Boston Red Sox (47-39) and New York Yankees (54-35) open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Boston leads 2-1
Boston came away with the 6-5 win in 12 innings over the Miami Marlins Thursday while covering as a -150 road favorite. Boston scored 2 runs in both the 11th and 12th innings to pick up their 4th consecutive win.
New York lost 8-4 vs. the Cincinnati Reds Thursday while failing to cover as a -170 home favorite. The Yankees were swept by the Reds, and they have failed to eclipse the 4-run mark in each of their last 6 losses.
Red Sox at Yankees projected starters
RHP Tanner Houck vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Houck (7-6, 2.67 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 107 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in an 11-1 loss vs. San Diego Padres Saturday
- Career vs. Yankees: 3-2, 2.06 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 29 H, 22 BB, 40 K in 12 appearances (7 starts)
Cortes (4-7, 3.51 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 105 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 9-3 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Saturday
- Career vs. Boston: 2-0, 5.59 ERA (29 IP, 18 ER), 30 H, 10 BB, 34 K in 10 appearances (4 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 7, Yankees 4
Moneyline
LEAN RED SOX (+115).
Boston is 4-0 in both its last 4 games overall and its last 4 road games. They are also 7-3 in the last 10 games overall. Meanwhile, the Yankees have dropped 3 straight at home and are only 2-8 in their last 10 games.
Boston is also 6-4 in its last 10 meetings with. New York and has won each of its last 3 meetings vs. the Yankees in New York.
This is only a lean because the Yankees are the better team.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Red Sox to cover here as the Yankees enter on a cold streak, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as +1.5 (-175) underdogs. If you like the Red Sox to win, bet them straight up.
If you are a fan of prop bets, then I’d advise you BET OVER 0.5 RBI (+110) for Yankees OF Aaron Judge. He’s almost averaging an RBI a game, leading MLB with 83 RBIs in 87 games and leading the majors with 32 HRs.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
The Over has hit in each of Boston’s last 3 games and is 8-2 in its last 10. For New York, the Over is 2-1 in its last 3 home games and 8-2 in its last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 2 Boston-New York matchups, being 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings.
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