The Boston Red Sox (69-53) and New York Yankees (68-52) close out a two-day, three-game series Wednesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 9-5 with a 4.20 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, and 3.8 BB/9 in 124 1/3 IP over 23 starts.
- Has allowed just 1 ER over his last 12 IP spanning two starts, and has a 3.09 ERA in 11 starts away from Fenway Park.
- Current New York batters own a .847 OPS and .240 isolated power in a small sample against him.
LHP Andrew Heaney is the projected starter for the Yankees. He is 7-8 with a 5.78 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 10.8 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in 109 IP over 21 starts.
- Current Boston batters own a .924 OPS against him.
- Has a 9.00 ERA across 15 IP in three starts since coming to the Yankees from the Los Angeles Angels at the trade deadline.
Red Sox at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+159) | Yankees +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Prediction
Yankees 6, Red Sox 5
Money line (ML)
The Yankees swept a doubleheader Tuesday against the Red Sox and are 15-4 since July 30. New York hurlers have combined to log a 2.75 ERA over that span.
The Crimson Hose are just 6-13 over their last 19 games.
Heaney presents the risk/reward of a starter who has been tagged by hard contact of late but has also been undone by some unkind, and mostly uncontrollable, rates around the margins. For instance, at 18.5% he’s been hurt by a high rate of fly balls landing as home runs.
Still, Pivetta gives the Red Sox an edge in the starting pitching department. All the way around and in every other way the Yanks figure as the better team right now.
BACK THE YANKEES (-125).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
New York has played a lot of 1- and 2-run games. Take a PASS on trying to get them by with multiple runs to spare on Wednesday.
Over/Under (O/U)
In their last 27 games at Yankee Stadium, the Yankees own a .789 OPS and strong strike-zone management analytics.
A humid summer night and a couple of fly-ball pitchers make for a lean on the OVER 10.5 (-102).
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