[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Baltimore Orioles (72-51) welcome the Boston Red Sox (64-57) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the 2nd of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 6-2
The Orioles lost to the Red Sox 12-10 Friday in the 2nd game of the series but did win the 1st battle 5-1.
They have won 2 of their last 3 yet are 2-3 over their last 5. Baltimore won 1 of 2 in its series prior against the Washington Nationals. It has been strong for bettors and at home, respectively posting a 67-56 against the spread (ATS) record and a 36-27 record at home.
The Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring at least 7 runs in 3 of their last 4. Boston has struggled over the last 10 days, posting a 3-6 record. It sits 3rd in the AL East and is 35-25 on the road this season. The Red Sox are 55-66 ATS.
Red Sox at Orioles projected starters
RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Cade Povich
Bello (10-5, 4.97 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 117 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 extra-innings home win over the Texas Rangers Monday
- 2024 away stats: 6-2, 4.68 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 11 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 2-2, 4.35 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 4 starts
Povich (1-5, 6.27 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 37 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 5 BB, 1 K in a 8-4 road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays July 29
- 2024 home stats: 1-3, 3.76 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 5 starts
- Has yet to face Red Sox
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Orioles -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+158) | Orioles +1.5 (-192)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -120)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 6, Orioles 4
Moneyline
BET RED SOX (+108).
Simply put, while Bello hasn’t been incredible, he is the most reliable option. Povich hasn’t pitched in over 2 weeks and could have some rust having been out of the rotation.
The Red Sox have won Bello’s last 4 starts as well as having been one of the league’s best road teams this season. They are 33-30 following a win and 31-26 straight up as an underdog.
Considering those trends, back RED SOX (+108).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Orioles, as a run-lien underdog, are far too expensive and almost double your money to the potential return. That isn’t worth the price. The Red Sox, given the Orioles home strength, are too risky as a run-line favorite.
Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-102).
The Red Sox have been on a tear as of late, scoring at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5 games. They are 11-2-1 O/U in their last 14 games and are 64-50-7 O/U on the season.
The Orioles have been on a similar tear, going 10-5 O/U in their last 15. They have scored at least 4 runs in 3 straight games. Baltimore is 68-45-10 O/U on the season.
With those trends in mind, back OVER 9 (-102).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]