The Boston Celtics take on the Miami Heat Sunday at Kaseya Center for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Miami leads 2-0. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Heat are in the driver’s seat. They stole 2 games from the Celtics in Boston and have all the momentum. The Celtics were leading by 8 heading into the 4th quarter and led by 9 points with less than 7 minutes to go.
And yet the Heat pulled it out winning 111-105, thanks to 4 fewer turnovers and 10 more rebounds. Boston was favored in both games and they will need to win as a road favorite in Miami if they want to capture this series.
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Celtics at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Celtics -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Heat +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread (ATS): Celtics -3.5 (-110) | Heat +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Celtics at Heat key injuries
Celtics
- F Danilo Gallinari (knee) out
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (hand) out
- G Victor Oladipo (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Celtics at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 117, Heat 109
Moneyline
Remember last round when the Celtics traveled to Philadelphia trailing 3-2 in the series for Game 6 and pulled it out? And their following blow-out win in Game 7? Yes, the Celtics have the lowest winning percentage in the playoffs (53%) of the remaining 4 teams, but when it matters they come to play.
If they fall 0-3 they will not advance, and frankly even down 2-1 is a sizable hole but one step at a time.
BET CELTICS (-160).
Against the spread
The Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS loss. Also, in these playoffs the Celtics lowest margin of victory is 8 points. I like the increased value in the spread.
LEAN CELTICS -3.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Trends point toward a relatively high-scoring game. Boston has gone Over in 10 of their last 12 road games. The Heat pair that perfectly with their recent home record where they are 10-2 in their last 12 in Miami.
LEAN OVER 213.5 (-110).
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