Boise State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boise State Broncos at Air Force Falcons odds and lines, with college football expert picks and predictions.

The Boise State Broncos (4-2, 3-0 Mountain West) and Air Force Falcons (5-2, 2-2) clash in a conference showdown Saturday at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Boise State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Defense has led the way to Boise State winning back-to-back games and 4 of its last 5. Over those 5 games, the Broncos have held opponents to just 189.4 yards per game (YPG). Overall, BSU has allowed 235.7 YPG (2nd FBS).

The Falcons are coming off a 42-7 triumph at UNLV. Air Force has held 6 of 7 foes to under 21 points this season. The Falcons rank 2nd in the MWC and 12th in the nation in scoring defense.

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Boise State at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Boise State +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Air Force -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Boise State +2.5 (-115) | Air Force -2.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -118 | U: -107)

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Boise State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 28, Boise State 24

Moneyline

PASS.

Air Force would be a decent play if the ML wasn’t more than -125, but there’s too much juice here at -135.

Against the spread

A strong running game has helped keep the Air Force defense off the field for long stretches. Senior RB Brad Roberts has rushed for 853 yards (5th FBS) and 12 touchdowns. Roberts rushed for 138 yards and 2 TDs in last year’s game against Boise State, a 24-17 AFA win Oct. 16.

Figure on the Falcons coming through on a few more red-zone runs and other plays in key situations.

TAKE AIR FORCE -2.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The running games, defenses, and slow paces play into a low total here. But figure on both sides trading some effective drives and on a game totaling something in the mid-50s ensues.

BACK OVER 46.5 (-118).

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