After Webb Simpson withdrew in order to rest, a condensed 69-man field will compete in the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club just outside of Chicago this week.
The event is the second of three in the PGA Tour’s season-ending playoffs for the FedEx Cup. The final event is next week’s Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.
Below, we look at the best prop bets, matchups, placings and first-round leader bets for the BMW Championship. Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:57 p.m. ET.
BMW Championship: Odds | Betting on Tiger | DJ back to work
Matchup bets
Jon Rahm (-112) vs. Dustin Johnson
Rahm finished T-6 last week but was a distant 14 strokes back of Johnson at The Northern Trust. Rahm led the field with 1.24 Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee per round, according to Data Golf, and still ranks first in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. He’s the play here as a slight underdog.
Rory McIlroy vs. Daniel Berger (-112)
Berger leads the PGA Tour with 2.77 total strokes gained per round over the average Tour pro across his last 20 rounds. The Charles Schwab Challenge champ has three finishes of T-3 or better in his last five events. McIlroy hasn’t finished better than his T-11 at the Travelers Championship since the PGA Tour’s restart.
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Placing bets
Top 5: Tyrrell Hatton (+750)
Hatton ranks fifth on Tour for the 2019-20 season with 0.749 SG: Approach per round, and his 69.654 scoring average through 34 measured rounds ranks 11th. He tied for third at the RBC Heritage and fourth at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Top 10: Corey Conners (+450)
Conners enters the week 54th in the FedEx Cup standings and needs a big week in order to advance to East Lake. He ranked fourth among those who made the cut last week with 0.75 SG: Off-the-Tee per round en route to a T-25 finish, despite a worse-than-usual iron performance.
Top American: Bryson DeChambeau (+1000)
These odds are greatly inflated for DeChambeau after a missed cut last week. He still leads the PGA Tour with 1.174 SG: Off-the-Tee per round on the season and is well-suited for the 7,366-yard, par-70 Olympia Fields.
First-round leader bet
Dustin Johnson (+1400)
This is a much better price than the +800 odds for Johnson to win this event outright in hopes he can continue his lights-out form of last week. He opened with a modest 4-under-par 67 last week, but he finished the tournament 60-64-63 and shared honors for low score in Round 4.
Louis Oosthuizen (+5500)
Oosty enters the week 70th in the FedEx Cup standings and needs to make the biggest climb in order to get inside the top 30 and move on to next week. He’s tied for fifth on Tour this season with a first-round scoring average of 69.00.
He’ll tee-off in the final group Thursday morning, but there isn’t nearly as big of a difference as usual in tee times this week with the 70-man field.
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