The Baltimore Orioles (74-45) continue their 9-game road trip with the 2nd game of a 3-game series on Tuesday against the San Diego Padres (56-63). First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 1-0
The Orioles beat the Padres 4-1 on Monday and lead the AL East by 3 games over the Tampa Bay Rays and have the best record in the American League. They have won 3 straight games and are 11-4 in their last 15 games.
The Padres have lost 3 in a row and are coming off a 1-4 road trip. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games.
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Orioles at Padres projected starters
RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Michael Wacha
Flaherty (8-7, 4.33 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 120 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 8-2 home loss to Houston Astros on Wednesday
- Is 1-1 with 3.27 ERA in 2 starts since joining Baltimore
Wacha (8-2, 2.84 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 85 2/3 innings.
- Making 1st start since July 15 after suffering shoulder inflammation
- Is 6-1 with 1.19 ERA over last 10 starts
Orioles at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-185) | Padres -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Orioles at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, Orioles 4
Moneyline
Wacha was unstoppable before his shoulder injury, allowing only 8 ER in his last 60 1/3 IP. The Padres are 10-5 in his starts this season.
Flaherty has allowed 3 or more ER in 4 of his last 5 outings.
I like the Padres to bounce back Tuesday, but 20 of their last 21 wins have been by at least 2 runs, so the run line is a better bet.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles are 74-45 ATS this season, the 2nd-best mark in MLB. They are 43-16 ATS as the underdog while the Padres are 42-49 ATS as the favorite.
But with Wacha on the mound, the pitching matchup is favorable to the Padres and as stated, 20 of their last 21 wins have been by at least 2 runs.
BET PADRES -1.5 (+150).
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Over/Under
Eight of the Padres’ last 12 games have had 9 or more total runs while 6 of the Orioles’ last 10 have had 9 or more runs.
Three of Wacha’s last 4 outings have had 9 or more total runs
BET OVER 8 (-115).
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