The Baltimore Orioles (62-39) and Philadelphia Phillies (54-47) play the finale of a 3-game set at Citizens Bank Park Wednesday. First pitch is at 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The O’s had a 3-game winning streak snapped with a 4-3 loss Tuesday night to the Phils. Baltimore has gone 14-6 over the last 20 games to take a 1 1/2-game lead in the AL East. They are 15-13 in interleague play and 32-19 on the road this season. The O’s love left-handed starters as they are 23-10 against them this season.
The Phillies have hit their stride to pull within a half-game from a NL Wild-Card spot. They are 17-13 over the last 30 games, and Bryce Harper has yet to find his power stroke. His .807 OPS would be the 2nd-worst of his career, but he’s making up for that with a .296 BA and .388 OBP.
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Orioles at Phillies projected starters
RHP Kyle Bradish vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Bradish (6-5, 3.05 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 97 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K against the Tampa Bay Rays Friday
- Has never faced the Phillies
- Away splits: 3-2, 3.72 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 vs. 3-3, 2.39 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 at home
Suarez (2-5, 4.07 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 73 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K vs. Cleveland Guardians Friday
- 1 career start vs. Orioles: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K on Sept. 20, 2021
Orioles at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Phillies 3
Moneyline
Bradish has been a big reason for the Orioles’ ascent to the top of one of the toughest divisions in baseball. He has a 1.62 ERA over his last 7 starts and hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in any of them. Suarez has been touched for at least 3 ER in his last 4 starts, and we mentioned the O’s take care of business against southpaws.
I’m a little surprised to see Baltimore as short dogs here, and I’d be delighted to take ORIOLES -105.
Run line/Against the spread
I’m a big fan of the Orioles’ side of the RL here, They are a dominant 37-12 on the RL on the road this year. Conversely, the Phillies are just 14-33 on the RL at home. It’s risky, but the numbers add up. Take the ORIOLES -1.5 (+150).
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Over/Under
The Over is just 2-7-1 in the last 10 matchups between the teams, and we haven’t seen more than 7 runs in the last 5. Baltimore is 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and Philadelphia is 3-7.
Take the UNDER 9 (-110).
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