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The Baltimore Orioles (60-41) and Miami Marlins (37-65) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 12:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Miami leads 2-0
Miami picked up its 2nd straght 6-3 win over Baltimore Wednesday while covering as a +122 home underdog. The Marlins scored 3 runs in the 7th to break a 3-3 tie. Miami had more hits (9-4), home runs (1-0), and total bases (13-5) than the Orioles.
The Orioles have lost each of their last 3 games and have failed to eclipse 3 runs in each of their last 8 losses.
Orioles at Marlins projected starters
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Roddery Munoz
Burnes (10-4, 2.38 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 124 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 9-1 win over Texas Rangers Friday
- Career vs. Miami: 2-1, 1.95 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 22 H, 2 BB, 31 K in 6 appearances (4 starts)
Munoz (1-5, 5.14 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 56 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K in an 0-1 outings vs. the New York Mets Saturday
- First career start vs. Baltimore
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Orioles at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Marlins +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -2.5 (+105) | Marlins +2.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Orioles at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Marlins 4
Moneyline
PASS.
Even with being so cold, the Orioles are simply the much better team and I like them to cover as -275 favorites. However, this line is far too risky to bet on. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET MARLINS +2.5 (-125).
Miami is the slightly hotter team, being 3-1 in its last 4 while Baltimore has dropped 3 straight. The Marlins are also 4-1 in their last 5 matchups vs. Baltimore in Miami, meaning that the Marlins are not only likely to cover the spread, but also have a very good chance of winning the game.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Baltimore and is 5-1 in its last 6 overall. For Miami, the Over is 3-0 in its last 3 and 7-3 in its last 10.
The Over has also hit in each of the last 4 Baltimore-Miami meetings and is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. It is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
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